Braga at Chaves

Updated

Braga

63.3%21.3%15.4%
Braga WinDrawWin
1.93Projected Goals 0.83
4Final Score 2

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Famalicao-220
W 0-3 vs Pacos-400
T 1-1 at Boavista-165
W 3-5 vs Santa Clara-415
L 0-1 at Benfica+490
Chaves
Money Line
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+320
L 4-1 vs Boavista+140
L 0-1 at Arouca+225
W 0-2 vs Pacos+115
W 2-1 at Famalicao+370

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-160-183-190-185-183-185-183-162.2
Chaves+460+508+475+470+489+470+508+498.1
Draw+270+336+320+345+344+345+345+366.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-160-----165-165-162.2
Chaves+425----+400+400+498.1
Draw+310----+335+335+366.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Chaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -180 to -190
Chaves ML moved from +500 to +470

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -150 to -165
Chaves ML moved from +415 to +380

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-140o2¾-115o2¾-115o2¾-109o2¾-115o2½-140o2¾-104
Underu2½-102u2½+118u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-107u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-118 to o2¾-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes48.1%
 
No51.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.33%
Exactly 224.11%
Exactly 415.30%
Exactly 63.88%
Exactly 80.53%
 
Exactly 117.48%
Exactly 322.18%
Exactly 58.44%
Exactly 71.53%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 014.50%
Exactly 128.00%
Exactly 227.03%
Exactly 317.40%
Exactly 48.40%
Exactly 53.25%
Exactly 61.04%
Exactly 70.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 043.69%
Exactly 136.18%
Exactly 214.98%
Exactly 34.13%
Exactly 40.86%
Exactly 50.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 027.87%
Exactly 222.75%
Exactly 43.09%
Exactly 60.17%
 
Exactly 135.61%
Exactly 39.69%
Exactly 50.79%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 040.89%
Exactly 136.57%
Exactly 216.35%
Exactly 34.87%
Exactly 41.09%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 068.16%
Exactly 126.13%
Exactly 25.01%
Exactly 30.64%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals38.23%
Wins by 3+ goals18.72%
Wins by 4+ goals7.54%
Wins by 5+ goals2.53%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals4.65%
Wins by 3+ goals1.06%
Wins by 4+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal25.00%
Wins by 2 goals19.51%
Wins by 3 goals11.18%
Wins by 4 goals5.01%
Wins by 5 goals1.84%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal10.72%
Wins by 2 goals3.58%
Wins by 3 goals0.88%
Wins by 4 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.67%6.33%
1.576.19%23.81%
2.552.08%47.92%
3.529.90%70.10%
4.514.61%85.39%
5.56.16%93.84%
6.52.28%97.72%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.585.50%14.50%
1.557.51%42.49%
2.530.47%69.53%
3.513.07%86.93%
4.54.67%95.33%
5.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.31%43.69%
1.520.13%79.87%
2.55.15%94.85%
3.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.13%27.87%
1.536.52%63.48%
2.513.78%86.22%
3.54.09%95.91%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Chaves
Score01234
0
6.33%
5.24%
2.17%
0.60%
0.12%
1
12.23%
10.13%
4.19%
1.16%
0.24%
2
11.81%
9.78%
4.05%
1.12%
0.23%
3
7.60%
6.30%
2.61%
0.72%
0.15%
4
3.67%
3.04%
1.26%
0.35%
0.07%
5
1.42%
1.17%
0.49%
0.13%
0.03%
Braga
1-012.23%
2-011.81%
2-19.78%
3-07.60%
3-16.30%
3-22.61%
4-03.67%
4-13.04%
4-21.26%
4-30.35%
5-01.42%
5-11.17%
5-20.49%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.33%
1-110.13%
2-24.05%
3-30.72%
Chaves
0-15.24%
0-22.17%
1-24.19%
0-30.60%
1-31.16%
2-31.12%
0-40.12%
1-40.24%
2-40.23%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Chaves
Score0123
0
27.87%
10.69%
2.05%
0.26%
1
24.92%
9.55%
1.83%
0.23%
2
11.14%
4.27%
0.82%
0.10%
3
3.32%
1.27%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.74%
0.28%
0.05%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-024.92%
2-011.14%
2-14.27%
3-03.32%
3-11.27%
3-20.24%
4-00.74%
4-10.28%
5-00.13%
Draw
0-027.87%
1-19.55%
2-20.82%
Chaves
0-110.69%
0-22.05%
1-21.83%
0-30.26%
1-30.23%
2-30.10%