Braga at Benfica

Updated

Braga

11.5%17.5%71.0%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.81Projected Goals 2.31
0Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Portimonense-400
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-165
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-315
W 1-4 vs Estoril-360
W 2-1 at Chaves-180
Benfica
Money Line
W 2-0 at Gil Vicente FC-305
W 0-1 vs Estoril-900
L 0-1 at Chaves-400
L 2-1 vs Porto-115
W 1-0 at Rio Ave-375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+315+498+460+485+526+485+526+514.2
Benfica-109-180-185-185-182-185-180-161.9
Draw+260+335+320+335+344+335+344+356.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga+430----+490+490+514.2
Benfica-165-----185-185-161.9
Draw+320----+330+330+356.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 50.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +540 to +522
Benfica ML moved from -176 to -182

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Braga: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from +485 to +465
Benfica ML moved from -175 to -190

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122o3+103o3+102o2¾-125o3+107o2¾-125o3+109o2¾-114
Underu2½+104u3-121u3-122u2¾+105u3-122u2¾+105u3-121u2¾+114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-114
Under-----u2¾+114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.1%
 
No49.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.41%
Exactly 221.49%
Exactly 417.44%
Exactly 65.66%
Exactly 80.98%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.77%
Exactly 322.35%
Exactly 510.88%
Exactly 72.52%
Exactly 90.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 044.39%
Exactly 136.05%
Exactly 214.64%
Exactly 33.96%
Exactly 40.80%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 09.94%
Exactly 122.95%
Exactly 226.49%
Exactly 320.38%
Exactly 411.77%
Exactly 55.43%
Exactly 62.09%
Exactly 70.69%
Exactly 80.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.58%
Exactly 224.61%
Exactly 44.28%
Exactly 60.30%
 
Exactly 134.07%
Exactly 311.85%
Exactly 51.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 068.66%
Exactly 125.82%
Exactly 24.85%
Exactly 30.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 034.34%
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 219.62%
Exactly 36.99%
Exactly 41.87%
Exactly 50.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals3.34%
Wins by 3+ goals0.74%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals47.70%
Wins by 3+ goals26.64%
Wins by 4+ goals12.46%
Wins by 5+ goals4.95%
Wins by 6+ goals1.67%
Wins by 7+ goals0.47%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Braga
Wins by 1 goal8.17%
Wins by 2 goals2.60%
Wins by 3 goals0.61%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.23%
Wins by 2 goals21.06%
Wins by 3 goals14.18%
Wins by 4 goals7.52%
Wins by 5 goals3.27%
Wins by 6 goals1.21%
Wins by 7 goals0.38%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.59%4.41%
1.581.82%18.18%
2.560.33%39.67%
3.537.98%62.02%
4.520.54%79.46%
5.59.66%90.34%
6.54.00%96.00%
7.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.61%44.39%
1.519.56%80.44%
2.54.92%95.08%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.06%9.94%
1.567.12%32.88%
2.540.63%59.37%
3.520.24%79.76%
4.58.48%91.52%
5.53.05%96.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.42%23.58%
1.542.36%57.64%
2.517.75%82.25%
3.55.89%94.11%
4.51.61%98.39%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
4.41%
10.19%
11.76%
9.05%
5.22%
2.41%
1
3.58%
8.27%
9.55%
7.35%
4.24%
1.96%
2
1.45%
3.36%
3.88%
2.98%
1.72%
0.80%
3
0.39%
0.91%
1.05%
0.81%
0.47%
0.22%
Braga
1-03.58%
2-01.45%
2-13.36%
3-00.39%
3-10.91%
3-21.05%
Draw
0-04.41%
1-18.27%
2-23.88%
3-30.81%
Benfica
0-110.19%
0-211.76%
1-29.55%
0-39.05%
1-37.35%
2-32.98%
0-45.22%
1-44.24%
2-41.72%
3-40.47%
0-52.41%
1-51.96%
2-50.80%
3-50.22%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Benfica
Score012345
0
23.58%
25.20%
13.47%
4.80%
1.28%
0.27%
1
8.86%
9.48%
5.06%
1.80%
0.48%
0.10%
2
1.67%
1.78%
0.95%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
3
0.21%
0.22%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
0.00%
Braga
1-08.86%
2-01.67%
2-11.78%
3-00.21%
3-10.22%
3-20.12%
Draw
0-023.58%
1-19.48%
2-20.95%
Benfica
0-125.20%
0-213.47%
1-25.06%
0-34.80%
1-31.80%
2-30.34%
0-41.28%
1-40.48%
0-50.27%
1-50.10%
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