Portimonense at Braga

Updated

Portimonense

8.5%16.4%75.2%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.63Projected Goals 2.30
1Final Score 4

Braga

Last 5 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC+155
W 1-0 at Estoril+245
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+155
L 0-1 at Porto+1650
L 1-0 vs FC Vizela+210
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-165
W 0-1 vs Gil Vicente FC-315
W 1-4 vs Estoril-360
W 2-1 at Chaves-180
T 0-0 vs Porto+230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+900+1031+1000+1100+1088+1100+1100+1159.0
Braga-345-390-420-415-410-415-390-331.2
Draw+440+542+500+525+605+525+605+555.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+1075----+1000+1000+1159.0
Braga-400-----400-400-331.2
Draw+500----+515+515+555.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +1147 to +1088
Braga ML moved from -400 to -420

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 10.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Braga ML moved from -370 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-125o3-134o3¼+100o3¼+100o3-128o3¼+100o3-128o3¼+109
Underu2¾+105u3+114u3¼-120u3¼-120u3+113u3¼-120u3+114u3¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+109
Under-----u3¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-115

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.9%
 
No58.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.36%
Exactly 222.95%
Exactly 416.38%
Exactly 64.67%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.68%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.58%
Exactly 71.95%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 053.40%
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 210.51%
Exactly 32.20%
Exactly 40.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 010.04%
Exactly 123.07%
Exactly 226.52%
Exactly 320.32%
Exactly 411.68%
Exactly 55.37%
Exactly 62.06%
Exactly 70.68%
Exactly 80.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.80%
Exactly 223.68%
Exactly 43.62%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 310.69%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 074.79%
Exactly 121.73%
Exactly 23.16%
Exactly 30.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 034.49%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.54%
Exactly 36.93%
Exactly 41.84%
Exactly 50.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals1.99%
Wins by 3+ goals0.33%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals51.48%
Wins by 3+ goals29.15%
Wins by 4+ goals13.78%
Wins by 5+ goals5.51%
Wins by 6+ goals1.88%
Wins by 7+ goals0.53%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal6.44%
Wins by 2 goals1.65%
Wins by 3 goals0.30%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.62%
Wins by 2 goals22.32%
Wins by 3 goals15.38%
Wins by 4 goals8.27%
Wins by 5 goals3.63%
Wins by 6 goals1.35%
Wins by 7 goals0.43%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.64%5.36%
1.578.96%21.04%
2.556.01%43.99%
3.533.63%66.37%
4.517.25%82.75%
5.57.67%92.33%
6.52.99%97.01%
7.51.04%98.96%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.546.60%53.40%
1.513.10%86.90%
2.52.59%97.41%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.96%10.04%
1.566.89%33.11%
2.540.37%59.63%
3.520.04%79.96%
4.58.36%91.64%
5.52.99%97.01%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.20%25.80%
1.539.25%60.75%
2.515.57%84.43%
3.54.88%95.12%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Braga
Score012345
0
5.36%
12.32%
14.16%
10.85%
6.24%
2.87%
1
3.36%
7.73%
8.89%
6.81%
3.91%
1.80%
2
1.05%
2.42%
2.79%
2.14%
1.23%
0.56%
3
0.22%
0.51%
0.58%
0.45%
0.26%
0.12%
Portimonense
1-03.36%
2-01.05%
2-12.42%
3-00.22%
3-10.51%
3-20.58%
Draw
0-05.36%
1-17.73%
2-22.79%
3-30.45%
Braga
0-112.32%
0-214.16%
1-28.89%
0-310.85%
1-36.81%
2-32.14%
0-46.24%
1-43.91%
2-41.23%
3-40.26%
0-52.87%
1-51.80%
2-50.56%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Braga
Score012345
0
25.80%
27.46%
14.61%
5.19%
1.38%
0.29%
1
7.49%
7.98%
4.25%
1.51%
0.40%
0.09%
2
1.09%
1.16%
0.62%
0.22%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.11%
0.11%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-07.49%
2-01.09%
2-11.16%
3-00.11%
3-10.11%
Draw
0-025.80%
1-17.98%
2-20.62%
Braga
0-127.46%
0-214.61%
1-24.25%
0-35.19%
1-31.51%
2-30.22%
0-41.38%
1-40.40%
0-50.29%