Chaves at Arouca

Updated

Chaves

17.3%23.4%59.3%
WinDrawArouca Win
0.82Projected Goals 1.74
0Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Pacos+115
W 2-1 at Famalicao+370
W 0-1 vs Casa Pia AC+155
T 1-1 at Santa Clara+190
W 0-1 vs Benfica+1000
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-2 at Estoril+190
L 1-0 vs Porto+800
L 0-1 at Rio Ave+225
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+170
T 1-1 at Sporting CP+1100

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+170+280+255+285+284+285+285+304.1
Arouca+165+102+105-105+101-105+102+104.9
Draw+215+255+235+260+260+260+260+277.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+230----+225+225+304.1
Arouca+130----+125+125+104.9
Draw+220----+235+235+277.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 70.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +227 to +220
Arouca ML moved from +102 to -105

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Arouca: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnline5DimesSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-104o2½+102o2½+100o2½+100o2½+100o2½+102o2½+109
Underu2¼+105u2½-114u2½-122u2½-120u2½-115u2½-120u2½-114u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-116 to u2¼-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.74%
Exactly 225.34%
Exactly 413.83%
Exactly 63.02%
Exactly 80.35%
 
Exactly 119.80%
Exactly 321.61%
Exactly 57.08%
Exactly 71.10%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 044.14%
Exactly 136.10%
Exactly 214.76%
Exactly 34.02%
Exactly 40.82%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 017.53%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 226.58%
Exactly 315.43%
Exactly 46.72%
Exactly 52.34%
Exactly 60.68%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.58%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 50.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 068.48%
Exactly 125.93%
Exactly 24.91%
Exactly 30.62%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 044.65%
Exactly 136.00%
Exactly 214.51%
Exactly 33.90%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals5.26%
Wins by 3+ goals1.20%
Wins by 4+ goals0.21%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals33.65%
Wins by 3+ goals15.26%
Wins by 4+ goals5.65%
Wins by 5+ goals1.74%
Wins by 6+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal12.04%
Wins by 2 goals4.06%
Wins by 3 goals0.99%
Wins by 4 goals0.19%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal25.63%
Wins by 2 goals18.39%
Wins by 3 goals9.61%
Wins by 4 goals3.92%
Wins by 5 goals1.30%
Wins by 6 goals0.36%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.26%7.74%
1.572.46%27.54%
2.547.13%52.87%
3.525.52%74.48%
4.511.69%88.31%
5.54.61%95.39%
6.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.86%44.14%
1.519.77%80.23%
2.55.00%95.00%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.47%17.53%
1.551.95%48.05%
2.525.37%74.63%
3.59.95%90.05%
4.53.23%96.77%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.42%30.58%
1.533.19%66.81%
2.511.73%88.27%
3.53.25%96.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Arouca
Score012345
0
7.74%
13.47%
11.73%
6.81%
2.96%
1.03%
1
6.33%
11.02%
9.59%
5.57%
2.42%
0.84%
2
2.59%
4.51%
3.92%
2.28%
0.99%
0.35%
3
0.71%
1.23%
1.07%
0.62%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.14%
0.25%
0.22%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Chaves
1-06.33%
2-02.59%
2-14.51%
3-00.71%
3-11.23%
3-21.07%
4-00.14%
4-10.25%
4-20.22%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.74%
1-111.02%
2-23.92%
3-30.62%
Arouca
0-113.47%
0-211.73%
1-29.59%
0-36.81%
1-35.57%
2-32.28%
0-42.96%
1-42.42%
2-40.99%
3-40.27%
0-51.03%
1-50.84%
2-50.35%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Arouca
Score01234
0
30.58%
24.65%
9.94%
2.67%
0.54%
1
11.58%
9.34%
3.76%
1.01%
0.20%
2
2.19%
1.77%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.28%
0.22%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-011.58%
2-02.19%
2-11.77%
3-00.28%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-030.58%
1-19.34%
2-20.71%
Arouca
0-124.65%
0-29.94%
1-23.76%
0-32.67%
1-31.01%
2-30.19%
0-40.54%
1-40.20%
FC Vizela at Marítimo
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