Estoril at Porto

Updated

Estoril

5.8%13.0%81.2%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.55Projected Goals 2.60
1Final Score 0

Porto

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 0-1 at Portimonense+175
L 1-0 vs Benfica+800
L 2-3 at Vitoria+330
T 2-2 vs FC Vizela+155
L 3-5 at Gil Vicente FC+280
Porto
Money Line
W 2-0 at FC Vizela-245
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-650
L 0-1 at Benfica+305
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-450
W 1-0 at Estrela-195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1583+1156+1100+1300+1300+1300+1300+1369.1
Porto-554-467-480-580-580-580-467-434.2
Draw+649+631+575+700+700+700+700+739.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1450----+1250+1250+1369.1
Porto-585-----550-550-434.2
Draw+650----+650+650+739.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Porto ML moved from -580 to -590

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1450 to +1250
Porto ML moved from -585 to -625

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-134o3½+105o3¼-120o3¼-123o3¼-123o3¼-123o3¼-120o3¼-112
Underu3+114u3½-123u3¼+100u3¼+103u3¼+103u3¼+103u3½-123u3¼+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-112
Under-----u3¼+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.3%
 
No60.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.29%
Exactly 221.26%
Exactly 417.58%
Exactly 65.81%
Exactly 81.03%
Exactly 100.11%
 
Exactly 113.50%
Exactly 322.32%
Exactly 511.07%
Exactly 72.62%
Exactly 90.36%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 057.53%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 28.79%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 07.45%
Exactly 119.35%
Exactly 225.12%
Exactly 321.75%
Exactly 414.12%
Exactly 57.33%
Exactly 63.17%
Exactly 71.18%
Exactly 80.38%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 023.26%
Exactly 224.74%
Exactly 44.38%
Exactly 60.31%
 
Exactly 133.92%
Exactly 312.03%
Exactly 51.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 077.41%
Exactly 119.82%
Exactly 22.54%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 030.05%
Exactly 136.13%
Exactly 221.72%
Exactly 38.71%
Exactly 42.62%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals1.21%
Wins by 3+ goals0.18%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals59.89%
Wins by 3+ goals37.16%
Wins by 4+ goals19.46%
Wins by 5+ goals8.70%
Wins by 6+ goals3.36%
Wins by 7+ goals1.13%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal4.53%
Wins by 2 goals1.02%
Wins by 3 goals0.16%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal21.28%
Wins by 2 goals22.74%
Wins by 3 goals17.70%
Wins by 4 goals10.75%
Wins by 5 goals5.34%
Wins by 6 goals2.24%
Wins by 7 goals0.81%
Wins by 8 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.71%4.29%
1.582.22%17.78%
2.560.96%39.04%
3.538.63%61.37%
4.521.05%78.95%
5.59.98%90.02%
6.54.16%95.84%
7.51.55%98.45%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.47%57.53%
1.510.67%89.33%
2.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.55%7.45%
1.573.20%26.80%
2.548.08%51.92%
3.526.34%73.66%
4.512.22%87.78%
5.54.88%95.12%
6.51.71%98.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.74%23.26%
1.542.82%57.18%
2.518.08%81.92%
3.56.05%93.95%
4.51.67%98.33%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Porto
Score012345
0
4.29%
11.13%
14.45%
12.51%
8.12%
4.22%
1
2.37%
6.15%
7.99%
6.92%
4.49%
2.33%
2
0.66%
1.70%
2.21%
1.91%
1.24%
0.64%
3
0.12%
0.31%
0.41%
0.35%
0.23%
0.12%
Estoril
1-02.37%
2-00.66%
2-11.70%
3-00.12%
3-10.31%
3-20.41%
Draw
0-04.29%
1-16.15%
2-22.21%
3-30.35%
Porto
0-111.13%
0-214.45%
1-27.99%
0-312.51%
1-36.92%
2-31.91%
0-48.12%
1-44.49%
2-41.24%
3-40.23%
0-54.22%
1-52.33%
2-50.64%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Porto
Score012345
0
23.26%
27.97%
16.82%
6.74%
2.03%
0.49%
1
5.95%
7.16%
4.30%
1.73%
0.52%
0.12%
2
0.76%
0.92%
0.55%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
Estoril
1-05.95%
2-00.76%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-023.26%
1-17.16%
2-20.55%
Porto
0-127.97%
0-216.82%
1-24.30%
0-36.74%
1-31.73%
2-30.22%
0-42.03%
1-40.52%
0-50.49%
1-50.12%