Porto at Estrela

Updated

Porto

72.1%17.7%10.2%
Porto WinDrawWin
2.21Projected Goals 0.70
1Final Score 0

Estrela

Last Games

Porto
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Arouca-430
W 2-1 at Rio Ave-210
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-600
W 2-1 at Moreirense-275
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-500
Estrela
Money Line
T 1-1 at Portimonense+185
W 1-2 vs Estoril+130
L 0-2 at Benfica+1600
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-290--190-200-200-200-190-174.2
Estrela+700-+475+550+550+550+550+582.1
Draw+390-+320+337+337+337+337+358.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Porto-320-----195-195-174.2
Estrela+845----+525+525+582.1
Draw+445----+335+335+358.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Porto ML moved from -290 to -300
Estrela ML moved from +500 to +475

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Porto: 30.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Porto: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Porto ML
Estrela ML moved from +710 to +525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-118-o2¾-112o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾-108o2¾+102
Underu2¾-102-u2¾-108u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-112u2¾-108u2¾-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+102
Under-----u2¾-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u3-116 to u2¾-103

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.6%
 
No55.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.45%
Exactly 223.07%
Exactly 416.27%
Exactly 64.59%
Exactly 80.69%
 
Exactly 115.86%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 59.47%
Exactly 71.91%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 010.93%
Exactly 124.19%
Exactly 226.78%
Exactly 319.76%
Exactly 410.94%
Exactly 54.84%
Exactly 61.79%
Exactly 70.57%
Exactly 80.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 049.88%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 212.07%
Exactly 32.80%
Exactly 40.49%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.00%
Exactly 223.59%
Exactly 43.57%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 135.02%
Exactly 310.59%
Exactly 50.96%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 035.88%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.85%
Exactly 36.44%
Exactly 41.65%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 072.46%
Exactly 123.34%
Exactly 23.76%
Exactly 30.40%

Alternate Props

Spread

Porto
Wins by 2+ goals47.96%
Wins by 3+ goals26.29%
Wins by 4+ goals12.00%
Wins by 5+ goals4.63%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals2.60%
Wins by 3+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Porto
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
Porto
Wins by 1 goal24.07%
Wins by 2 goals21.68%
Wins by 3 goals14.29%
Wins by 4 goals7.37%
Wins by 5 goals3.11%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal7.56%
Wins by 2 goals2.13%
Wins by 3 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.55%5.45%
1.578.69%21.31%
2.555.62%44.38%
3.533.25%66.75%
4.516.98%83.02%
5.57.51%92.49%
6.52.92%97.08%
7.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.07%10.93%
1.564.88%35.12%
2.538.10%61.90%
3.518.34%81.66%
4.57.40%92.60%
5.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.550.12%49.88%
1.515.43%84.57%
2.53.36%96.64%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.00%26.00%
1.538.98%61.02%
2.515.39%84.61%
3.54.79%95.21%
4.51.23%98.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Porto
Estrela
Score0123
0
5.45%
3.79%
1.32%
0.31%
1
12.07%
8.39%
2.92%
0.68%
2
13.36%
9.29%
3.23%
0.75%
3
9.86%
6.86%
2.38%
0.55%
4
5.46%
3.79%
1.32%
0.31%
5
2.42%
1.68%
0.58%
0.14%
Porto
1-012.07%
2-013.36%
2-19.29%
3-09.86%
3-16.86%
3-22.38%
4-05.46%
4-13.79%
4-21.32%
4-30.31%
5-02.42%
5-11.68%
5-20.58%
5-30.14%
Draw
0-05.45%
1-18.39%
2-23.23%
3-30.55%
Estrela
0-13.79%
0-21.32%
1-22.92%
0-30.31%
1-30.68%
2-30.75%

Correct Score - First Half

Porto
Estrela
Score0123
0
26.00%
8.37%
1.35%
0.14%
1
26.65%
8.58%
1.38%
0.15%
2
13.66%
4.40%
0.71%
0.08%
3
4.67%
1.50%
0.24%
0.03%
4
1.20%
0.39%
0.06%
0.01%
5
0.25%
0.08%
0.01%
0.00%
Porto
1-026.65%
2-013.66%
2-14.40%
3-04.67%
3-11.50%
3-20.24%
4-01.20%
4-10.39%
5-00.25%
Draw
0-026.00%
1-18.58%
2-20.71%
Estrela
0-18.37%
0-21.35%
1-21.38%
0-30.14%
1-30.15%