Arouca at Porto

Updated

Arouca

5.4%12.5%82.1%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.55Projected Goals 2.66
1Final Score 1

Porto

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Portimonense-135
T 2-2 at FC Vizela+245
W 3-4 vs Estoril+105
W 2-0 at Portimonense+120
W 0-1 vs Chaves+125
Porto
Money Line
W 2-1 at Rio Ave-210
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-600
W 2-1 at Moreirense-275
W 0-3 vs Vitoria-500
W 4-2 at Famalicao-225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+900+1405+1200+1200+1200+1200+1405+1264.8
Porto-400-493-500-515-515-515-493-394.2
Draw+475+603+550+638+638+638+638+674.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+935----+1150+1150+1264.8
Porto-375-----430-430-394.2
Draw+510----+530+530+674.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1100 to +1090
Porto ML moved from -490 to -515

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Porto ML moved from -400 to -440

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-118o3-115o3-112o3-108o3-111o3-108o3-108o3+102
Underu3-102u3-103u3-108u3-112u3-109u3-112u3-103u3-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+102
Under-----u3-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.4%
 
No60.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.02%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 417.88%
Exactly 66.16%
Exactly 81.14%
Exactly 100.13%
 
Exactly 112.91%
Exactly 322.24%
Exactly 511.49%
Exactly 72.83%
Exactly 90.41%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 057.65%
Exactly 131.75%
Exactly 28.74%
Exactly 31.61%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 06.97%
Exactly 118.56%
Exactly 224.72%
Exactly 321.95%
Exactly 414.62%
Exactly 57.79%
Exactly 63.46%
Exactly 71.32%
Exactly 80.44%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.57%
Exactly 225.00%
Exactly 44.62%
Exactly 60.34%
 
Exactly 133.60%
Exactly 312.41%
Exactly 51.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 077.49%
Exactly 119.76%
Exactly 22.52%
Exactly 30.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 029.13%
Exactly 135.93%
Exactly 222.16%
Exactly 39.11%
Exactly 42.81%
Exactly 50.69%
Exactly 60.14%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.13%
Wins by 3+ goals0.17%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals61.34%
Wins by 3+ goals38.71%
Wins by 4+ goals20.67%
Wins by 5+ goals9.44%
Wins by 6+ goals3.73%
Wins by 7+ goals1.28%
Wins by 8+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.28%
Wins by 2 goals0.96%
Wins by 3 goals0.15%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal20.72%
Wins by 2 goals22.63%
Wins by 3 goals18.04%
Wins by 4 goals11.23%
Wins by 5 goals5.71%
Wins by 6 goals2.45%
Wins by 7 goals0.91%
Wins by 8 goals0.29%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.98%4.02%
1.583.07%16.93%
2.562.32%37.68%
3.540.08%59.92%
4.522.21%77.79%
5.510.71%89.29%
6.54.55%95.45%
7.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.35%57.65%
1.510.60%89.40%
2.51.85%98.15%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.03%6.97%
1.574.48%25.52%
2.549.76%50.24%
3.527.80%72.20%
4.513.18%86.82%
5.55.39%94.61%
6.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.43%22.57%
1.543.83%56.17%
2.518.83%81.17%
3.56.42%93.58%
4.51.80%98.20%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Porto
Score012345
0
4.02%
10.70%
14.25%
12.66%
8.43%
4.49%
1
2.21%
5.89%
7.85%
6.97%
4.64%
2.47%
2
0.61%
1.62%
2.16%
1.92%
1.28%
0.68%
3
0.11%
0.30%
0.40%
0.35%
0.23%
0.13%
Arouca
1-02.21%
2-00.61%
2-11.62%
3-00.11%
3-10.30%
3-20.40%
Draw
0-04.02%
1-15.89%
2-22.16%
3-30.35%
Porto
0-110.70%
0-214.25%
1-27.85%
0-312.66%
1-36.97%
2-31.92%
0-48.43%
1-44.64%
2-41.28%
3-40.23%
0-54.49%
1-52.47%
2-50.68%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Porto
Score0123456
0
22.57%
27.84%
17.17%
7.06%
2.18%
0.54%
0.11%
1
5.76%
7.10%
4.38%
1.80%
0.56%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.73%
0.91%
0.56%
0.23%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.76%
2-00.73%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-022.57%
1-17.10%
2-20.56%
Porto
0-127.84%
0-217.17%
1-24.38%
0-37.06%
1-31.80%
2-30.23%
0-42.18%
1-40.56%
0-50.54%
1-50.14%
0-60.11%
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