Estoril at Braga

Updated

Estoril

9.2%16.5%74.3%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.69Projected Goals 2.33
1Final Score 3

Braga

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-4 vs Casa Pia AC+145
W 1-0 at Porto+1250
L 0-1 at Portimonense+175
L 1-0 vs Benfica+800
L 2-3 at Vitoria+330
Braga
Money Line
W 1-0 at Arouca-145
W 1-6 vs Portimonense-410
T 3-3 at Gil Vicente FC-165
W 1-2 vs Rio Ave-310
W 4-2 at Estrela-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+688+557+550+550+560+550+560+582.5
Braga-290-236-260-250-250-250-236-212.8
Draw+490+439+400+450+438+450+450+477.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+650----+600+600+582.5
Braga-275-----265-265-212.8
Draw+445----+450+450+477.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +577 to +548
Braga ML moved from -265 to -275

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +725 to +600
Braga ML moved from -315 to -330

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
0.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½-103o3¼-120o3½-105o3½-105o3½-105o3¼-120o3½+104
Underu3½-120u3½-113u3¼+100u3½-115u3½-113u3½-115u3½-113u3½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+104
Under-----u3½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.89%
Exactly 222.27%
Exactly 416.91%
Exactly 65.13%
Exactly 80.84%
 
Exactly 114.75%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.21%
Exactly 72.21%
Exactly 90.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 050.29%
Exactly 134.57%
Exactly 211.88%
Exactly 32.72%
Exactly 40.47%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 09.72%
Exactly 122.65%
Exactly 226.41%
Exactly 320.52%
Exactly 411.96%
Exactly 55.58%
Exactly 62.17%
Exactly 70.72%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.72%
Exactly 224.14%
Exactly 43.93%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.55%
Exactly 311.25%
Exactly 51.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 072.74%
Exactly 123.15%
Exactly 23.68%
Exactly 30.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 033.98%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.79%
Exactly 37.12%
Exactly 41.92%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals2.31%
Wins by 3+ goals0.42%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals50.90%
Wins by 3+ goals28.95%
Wins by 4+ goals13.77%
Wins by 5+ goals5.55%
Wins by 6+ goals1.91%
Wins by 7+ goals0.54%
Wins by 8+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal6.86%
Wins by 2 goals1.89%
Wins by 3 goals0.37%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.31%
Wins by 2 goals21.96%
Wins by 3 goals15.18%
Wins by 4 goals8.22%
Wins by 5 goals3.64%
Wins by 6 goals1.36%
Wins by 7 goals0.44%
Wins by 8 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.11%4.89%
1.580.36%19.64%
2.558.10%41.90%
3.535.69%64.31%
4.518.79%81.21%
5.58.58%91.42%
6.53.45%96.55%
7.51.23%98.77%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.549.71%50.29%
1.515.14%84.86%
2.53.26%96.74%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.28%9.72%
1.567.63%32.37%
2.541.22%58.78%
3.520.70%79.30%
4.58.74%91.26%
5.53.17%96.83%
6.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.28%24.72%
1.540.73%59.27%
2.516.59%83.41%
3.55.35%94.65%
4.51.42%98.58%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Braga
Score012345
0
4.89%
11.39%
13.28%
10.32%
6.01%
2.80%
1
3.36%
7.83%
9.13%
7.09%
4.13%
1.93%
2
1.15%
2.69%
3.14%
2.44%
1.42%
0.66%
3
0.26%
0.62%
0.72%
0.56%
0.33%
0.15%
Estoril
1-03.36%
2-01.15%
2-12.69%
3-00.26%
3-10.62%
3-20.72%
Draw
0-04.89%
1-17.83%
2-23.14%
3-30.56%
Braga
0-111.39%
0-213.28%
1-29.13%
0-310.32%
1-37.09%
2-32.44%
0-46.01%
1-44.13%
2-41.42%
3-40.33%
0-52.80%
1-51.93%
2-50.66%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Braga
Score012345
0
24.72%
26.68%
14.40%
5.18%
1.40%
0.30%
1
7.87%
8.49%
4.58%
1.65%
0.44%
0.10%
2
1.25%
1.35%
0.73%
0.26%
0.07%
0.02%
3
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-07.87%
2-01.25%
2-11.35%
3-00.13%
3-10.14%
Draw
0-024.72%
1-18.49%
2-20.73%
Braga
0-126.68%
0-214.40%
1-24.58%
0-35.18%
1-31.65%
2-30.26%
0-41.40%
1-40.44%
0-50.30%