Braga at Estrela

Updated

Braga

58.8%22.8%18.4%
Braga WinDrawWin
1.81Projected Goals 0.90
4Final Score 2

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Braga
Money Line
W 1-4 vs Boavista-190
L 1-3 at SC Farense-145
W 3-2 at Moreirense+100
T 1-1 vs Sporting CP+230
W 4-2 at Chaves-165
Estrela
Money Line
T 2-2 at Chaves+170
L 1-0 vs Porto+525
T 1-1 at Portimonense+185
W 1-2 vs Estoril+130
L 0-2 at Benfica+1600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-135--140-140-140-140-140-124.9
Estrela+370-+340+337+337+337+340+359.0
Draw+260-+310+320+320+320+320+341.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Braga-150-----140-140-124.9
Estrela+390----+345+345+359.0
Draw+305----+310+310+341.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Braga ML moved from -135 to -145
Estrela ML moved from +343 to +337

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Braga: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Braga: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Braga ML
Estrela ML moved from +390 to +345

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-122-o3-102o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+103o3+112
Underu2½+102-u3-118u3-123u3-123u3-123u3-118u3-112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+112
Under-----u3-112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes49.5%
 
No50.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.68%
Exactly 224.46%
Exactly 414.92%
Exactly 63.64%
Exactly 80.48%
 
Exactly 118.08%
Exactly 322.06%
Exactly 58.08%
Exactly 71.41%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 016.40%
Exactly 129.65%
Exactly 226.80%
Exactly 316.15%
Exactly 47.30%
Exactly 52.64%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 040.73%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 216.43%
Exactly 34.92%
Exactly 41.10%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.57%
Exactly 222.42%
Exactly 42.93%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.79%
Exactly 39.36%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 043.30%
Exactly 136.24%
Exactly 215.17%
Exactly 34.23%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 065.98%
Exactly 127.44%
Exactly 25.70%
Exactly 30.79%

Alternate Props

Spread

Braga
Wins by 2+ goals33.85%
Wins by 3+ goals15.68%
Wins by 4+ goals5.96%
Wins by 5+ goals1.88%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals5.94%
Wins by 3+ goals1.46%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%

Exact Winning Margin

Braga
Estrela
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.93%
Wins by 2 goals18.16%
Wins by 3 goals9.72%
Wins by 4 goals4.08%
Wins by 5 goals1.40%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal12.38%
Wins by 2 goals4.48%
Wins by 3 goals1.19%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.32%6.68%
1.575.24%24.76%
2.550.78%49.22%
3.528.72%71.28%
4.513.79%86.21%
5.55.72%94.28%
6.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.60%16.40%
1.553.94%46.06%
2.527.14%72.86%
3.510.99%89.01%
4.53.70%96.30%
5.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.27%40.73%
1.522.68%77.32%
2.56.25%93.75%
3.51.34%98.66%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.43%28.57%
1.535.64%64.36%
2.513.22%86.78%
3.53.85%96.15%

Score Props

Correct Score

Braga
Estrela
Score01234
0
6.68%
6.00%
2.69%
0.81%
0.18%
1
12.08%
10.85%
4.87%
1.46%
0.33%
2
10.92%
9.80%
4.40%
1.32%
0.30%
3
6.58%
5.91%
2.65%
0.79%
0.18%
4
2.97%
2.67%
1.20%
0.36%
0.08%
5
1.07%
0.97%
0.43%
0.13%
0.03%
Braga
1-012.08%
2-010.92%
2-19.80%
3-06.58%
3-15.91%
3-22.65%
4-02.97%
4-12.67%
4-21.20%
4-30.36%
5-01.07%
5-10.97%
5-20.43%
5-30.13%
Draw
0-06.68%
1-110.85%
2-24.40%
3-30.79%
Estrela
0-16.00%
0-22.69%
1-24.87%
0-30.81%
1-31.46%
2-31.32%
0-40.18%
1-40.33%
2-40.30%
3-40.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Braga
Estrela
Score0123
0
28.57%
11.88%
2.47%
0.34%
1
23.91%
9.94%
2.07%
0.29%
2
10.01%
4.16%
0.87%
0.12%
3
2.79%
1.16%
0.24%
0.03%
4
0.58%
0.24%
0.05%
0.01%
Braga
1-023.91%
2-010.01%
2-14.16%
3-02.79%
3-11.16%
3-20.24%
4-00.58%
4-10.24%
Draw
0-028.57%
1-19.94%
2-20.87%
Estrela
0-111.88%
0-22.47%
1-22.07%
0-30.34%
1-30.29%
2-30.12%