Estrela at Chaves

Updated

Estrela

27.5%27.7%44.7%
Estrela WinDrawChaves Win
0.98Projected Goals 1.33
2Final Score 2

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Porto+525
T 1-1 at Portimonense+185
W 1-2 vs Estoril+130
L 0-2 at Benfica+1600
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+145
Chaves
Money Line
L 1-4 at Boavista+410
L 2-1 vs Moreirense+185
L 0-5 at SC Farense+250
L 4-2 vs Braga+400
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+320

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+175-+165+172+172+172+172+185.5
Chaves+150-+160+155+155+155+160+167.7
Draw+230-+225+245+245+245+245+262.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+180----+170+170+185.5
Chaves+160----+155+155+167.7
Draw+225----+245+245+262.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +173 to +162
Chaves ML moved from +165 to +158

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +180 to +160
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+111-o2½-108o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½-105o2½+104
Underu2½-132-u2½-112u2½-115u2½-115u2½-115u2½-112u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.0%
 
No54.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.90%
Exactly 226.47%
Exactly 411.80%
Exactly 62.10%
Exactly 80.20%
 
Exactly 122.90%
Exactly 320.41%
Exactly 55.46%
Exactly 70.69%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 037.51%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.03%
Exactly 35.89%
Exactly 41.45%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 026.40%
Exactly 135.16%
Exactly 223.41%
Exactly 310.40%
Exactly 43.46%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.28%
Exactly 219.65%
Exactly 41.88%
 
Exactly 136.70%
Exactly 37.01%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 063.51%
Exactly 128.83%
Exactly 26.55%
Exactly 30.99%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 053.97%
Exactly 133.28%
Exactly 210.26%
Exactly 32.11%
Exactly 40.33%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals9.89%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.56%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals20.81%
Wins by 3+ goals7.52%
Wins by 4+ goals2.17%
Wins by 5+ goals0.50%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Chaves
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal17.59%
Wins by 2 goals7.20%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal23.89%
Wins by 2 goals13.29%
Wins by 3 goals5.35%
Wins by 4 goals1.67%
Wins by 5 goals0.42%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.10%9.90%
1.567.20%32.80%
2.540.73%59.27%
3.520.32%79.68%
4.58.52%91.48%
5.53.07%96.93%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.49%37.51%
1.525.71%74.29%
2.57.68%92.32%
3.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.60%26.40%
1.538.44%61.56%
2.515.03%84.97%
3.54.63%95.37%
4.51.17%98.83%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.72%34.28%
1.529.02%70.98%
2.59.38%90.62%
3.52.36%97.64%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Chaves
Score012345
0
9.90%
13.19%
8.78%
3.90%
1.30%
0.35%
1
9.71%
12.93%
8.61%
3.82%
1.27%
0.34%
2
4.76%
6.34%
4.22%
1.87%
0.62%
0.17%
3
1.56%
2.07%
1.38%
0.61%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.38%
0.51%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
Estrela
1-09.71%
2-04.76%
2-16.34%
3-01.56%
3-12.07%
3-21.38%
4-00.38%
4-10.51%
4-20.34%
4-30.15%
Draw
0-09.90%
1-112.93%
2-24.22%
3-30.61%
Chaves
0-113.19%
0-28.78%
1-28.61%
0-33.90%
1-33.82%
2-31.87%
0-41.30%
1-41.27%
2-40.62%
3-40.20%
0-50.35%
1-50.34%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Chaves
Score01234
0
34.28%
21.14%
6.52%
1.34%
0.21%
1
15.56%
9.60%
2.96%
0.61%
0.09%
2
3.53%
2.18%
0.67%
0.14%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.33%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-015.56%
2-03.53%
2-12.18%
3-00.53%
3-10.33%
3-20.10%
Draw
0-034.28%
1-19.60%
2-20.67%
Chaves
0-121.14%
0-26.52%
1-22.96%
0-31.34%
1-30.61%
2-30.14%
0-40.21%
Gil Vicente FC at Porto
Benfica at Portimonense