Moreirense at Chaves

Updated

Moreirense

31.2%29.0%39.8%
Moreirense WinDrawChaves Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.19
2Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 0-0 at Famalicao+215
L 2-1 vs Porto+700
W 1-4 vs FC Vizela-115
L 0-1 at Estoril+230
L 2-1 vs Boavista+140
Chaves
Money Line
L 0-5 at SC Farense+250
L 4-2 vs Braga+400
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+320
L 4-1 vs Boavista+140
L 0-1 at Arouca+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+200+147+140+140+140+140+147+151.8
Chaves+140+190+185+192+192+192+192+206.3
Draw+210+246+230+245+245+245+246+261.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+195----+150+150+151.8
Chaves+150----+185+185+206.3
Draw+220----+235+235+261.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +146 to +138
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +165 to +150
No Steam Moves On Chaves ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100o2½-109o2½-110o2½-111o2½-111o2½-111o2½-109o2½-101
Underu2¼-120u2½-107u2½-110u2½-109u2½-109u2½-109u2½-107u2½+101
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-101
Under-----u2½+101

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.40%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 036.31%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 218.63%
Exactly 36.29%
Exactly 41.59%
Exactly 50.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 030.57%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 221.47%
Exactly 38.48%
Exactly 42.51%
Exactly 50.60%
Exactly 60.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.14%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 062.56%
Exactly 129.35%
Exactly 26.88%
Exactly 31.08%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 057.77%
Exactly 131.70%
Exactly 28.70%
Exactly 31.59%
Exactly 40.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals11.62%
Wins by 3+ goals3.27%
Wins by 4+ goals0.70%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals17.00%
Wins by 3+ goals5.58%
Wins by 4+ goals1.46%
Wins by 5+ goals0.30%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Chaves
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal19.49%
Wins by 2 goals8.35%
Wins by 3 goals2.57%
Wins by 4 goals0.60%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal22.80%
Wins by 2 goals11.42%
Wins by 3 goals4.12%
Wins by 4 goals1.15%
Wins by 5 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.50%35.50%
2.537.69%62.31%
3.518.03%81.97%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.69%36.31%
1.526.91%73.09%
2.58.27%91.73%
3.51.98%98.02%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.43%30.57%
1.533.20%66.80%
2.511.73%88.27%
3.53.25%96.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.86%36.14%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Chaves
Score012345
0
11.10%
13.15%
7.79%
3.08%
0.91%
0.22%
1
11.24%
13.33%
7.90%
3.12%
0.92%
0.22%
2
5.70%
6.75%
4.00%
1.58%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.92%
2.28%
1.35%
0.53%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.49%
0.58%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-011.24%
2-05.70%
2-16.75%
3-01.92%
3-12.28%
3-21.35%
4-00.49%
4-10.58%
4-20.34%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-113.33%
2-24.00%
3-30.53%
Chaves
0-113.15%
0-27.79%
1-27.90%
0-33.08%
1-33.12%
2-31.58%
0-40.91%
1-40.92%
2-40.47%
3-40.16%
0-50.22%
1-50.22%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Chaves
Score01234
0
36.14%
19.83%
5.44%
1.00%
0.14%
1
16.95%
9.30%
2.55%
0.47%
0.06%
2
3.98%
2.18%
0.60%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.62%
0.34%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-016.95%
2-03.98%
2-12.18%
3-00.62%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-036.14%
1-19.30%
2-20.60%
Chaves
0-119.83%
0-25.44%
1-22.55%
0-31.00%
1-30.47%
2-30.11%
0-40.14%
Vitória at Benfica
Boavista at Estoril