Chaves at Portimonense

Updated

Chaves

23.6%27.5%48.9%
Chaves WinDrawPortimonense Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.38
1Final Score 2

Portimonense

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Benfica+925
L 0-5 at Vitoria+410
W 2-4 vs Gil Vicente FC+170
W 2-0 at Arouca+285
T 2-2 vs Estrela+155
Portimonense
Money Line
L 1-6 at Braga+925
W 0-1 vs Estoril+150
L 0-1 at Porto+1500
W 3-2 at FC Vizela+355
L 3-1 vs Benfica+1025

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+245+231+220+210+235+235+235+251.6
Portimonense+115+125+120+130+118+118+125+128.8
Draw+220+241+225+242+242+242+242+259.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+215----+200+200+251.6
Portimonense+125----+135+135+128.8
Draw+245----+240+240+259.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Portimonense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Portimonense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +200 to +190
Portimonense ML moved from +130 to +118

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Portimonense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Portimonense: 20.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +220 to +200
No Steam Moves On Portimonense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½-107o2½-105o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½-103o2½+106
Underu2¼+105u2½-109u2½-115u2½-117u2½-117u2½-117u2½-109u2½-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+106
Under-----u2½-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.4%
 
No56.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.58%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.23%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.76%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.04%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 042.06%
Exactly 136.43%
Exactly 215.78%
Exactly 34.55%
Exactly 40.99%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 025.15%
Exactly 134.71%
Exactly 223.96%
Exactly 311.02%
Exactly 43.80%
Exactly 51.05%
Exactly 60.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.34%
Exactly 219.12%
Exactly 41.72%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.63%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 066.96%
Exactly 126.85%
Exactly 25.38%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 052.78%
Exactly 133.73%
Exactly 210.78%
Exactly 32.30%
Exactly 40.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals7.68%
Wins by 3+ goals1.88%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals23.59%
Wins by 3+ goals8.85%
Wins by 4+ goals2.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.63%
Wins by 6+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Portimonense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal15.84%
Wins by 2 goals5.80%
Wins by 3 goals1.53%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal25.25%
Wins by 2 goals14.74%
Wins by 3 goals6.20%
Wins by 4 goals2.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.53%
Wins by 6 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.42%10.58%
1.565.66%34.34%
2.538.97%61.03%
3.518.99%81.01%
4.57.76%92.24%
5.52.72%97.28%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.557.94%42.06%
1.521.52%78.48%
2.55.74%94.26%
3.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.85%25.15%
1.540.14%59.86%
2.516.18%83.82%
3.55.15%94.85%
4.51.35%98.65%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.66%35.34%
1.527.90%72.10%
2.58.78%91.22%
3.52.15%97.85%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Portimonense
Score012345
0
10.58%
14.60%
10.08%
4.64%
1.60%
0.44%
1
9.16%
12.65%
8.73%
4.02%
1.39%
0.38%
2
3.97%
5.48%
3.78%
1.74%
0.60%
0.17%
3
1.15%
1.58%
1.09%
0.50%
0.17%
0.05%
4
0.25%
0.34%
0.24%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Chaves
1-09.16%
2-03.97%
2-15.48%
3-01.15%
3-11.58%
3-21.09%
4-00.25%
4-10.34%
4-20.24%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-010.58%
1-112.65%
2-23.78%
3-30.50%
Portimonense
0-114.60%
0-210.08%
1-28.73%
0-34.64%
1-34.02%
2-31.74%
0-41.60%
1-41.39%
2-40.60%
3-40.17%
0-50.44%
1-50.38%
2-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Portimonense
Score01234
0
35.34%
22.59%
7.22%
1.54%
0.25%
1
14.17%
9.06%
2.89%
0.62%
0.10%
2
2.84%
1.82%
0.58%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.38%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-014.17%
2-02.84%
2-11.82%
3-00.38%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-035.34%
1-19.06%
2-20.58%
Portimonense
0-122.59%
0-27.22%
1-22.89%
0-31.54%
1-30.62%
2-30.12%
0-40.25%