Chaves at Arouca

Updated

Chaves

20.1%25.4%54.5%
Chaves WinDrawArouca Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.57
2Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Estrela+155
L 1-4 at Boavista+410
L 2-1 vs Moreirense+185
L 0-5 at SC Farense+250
L 4-2 vs Braga+400
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-1 at Famalicao+265
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+145
T 1-1 at Porto+1150
T 1-1 vs Portimonense-135
T 2-2 at FC Vizela+245

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.0%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+352+305+280+302+302+302+305+322.0
Arouca-123-101-105-108-108-108-101+102.2
Draw+275+245+235+255+255+255+255+272.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+335----+285+285+322.0
Arouca-125-----105-105+102.2
Draw+275----+255+255+272.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +300 to +280
Arouca ML moved from +101 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +330 to +285
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-120o2½+104o2¼-125o2½+105o2½+105o2½+105o2¼-125o2½+114
Underu2½+102u2½-122u2¼+105u2½-125u2½-125u2½-125u2½-122u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.99%
Exactly 226.09%
Exactly 412.62%
Exactly 62.44%
Exactly 80.25%
 
Exactly 121.66%
Exactly 320.95%
Exactly 56.08%
Exactly 70.84%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 043.10%
Exactly 136.28%
Exactly 215.27%
Exactly 34.28%
Exactly 40.90%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 020.86%
Exactly 132.70%
Exactly 225.62%
Exactly 313.38%
Exactly 45.24%
Exactly 51.64%
Exactly 60.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.78%
Exactly 220.39%
Exactly 42.11%
 
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 37.58%
Exactly 50.47%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 067.72%
Exactly 126.39%
Exactly 25.14%
Exactly 30.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 048.40%
Exactly 135.12%
Exactly 212.74%
Exactly 33.08%
Exactly 40.56%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals6.33%
Wins by 3+ goals1.50%
Wins by 4+ goals0.27%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals28.68%
Wins by 3+ goals11.91%
Wins by 4+ goals3.97%
Wins by 5+ goals1.05%
Wins by 6+ goals0.19%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal13.79%
Wins by 2 goals4.84%
Wins by 3 goals1.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.24%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal25.67%
Wins by 2 goals16.77%
Wins by 3 goals7.94%
Wins by 4 goals2.92%
Wins by 5 goals0.86%
Wins by 6 goals0.19%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.01%8.99%
1.569.35%30.65%
2.543.26%56.74%
3.522.32%77.68%
4.59.70%90.30%
5.53.62%96.38%
6.51.18%98.82%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.90%43.10%
1.520.63%79.37%
2.55.36%94.64%
3.51.08%98.92%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.14%20.86%
1.546.44%53.56%
2.520.82%79.18%
3.57.44%92.56%
4.52.19%97.81%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.22%32.78%
1.530.66%69.34%
2.510.27%89.73%
3.52.69%97.31%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Arouca
Score012345
0
8.99%
14.09%
11.04%
5.77%
2.26%
0.71%
1
7.57%
11.86%
9.29%
4.86%
1.90%
0.60%
2
3.19%
4.99%
3.91%
2.04%
0.80%
0.25%
3
0.89%
1.40%
1.10%
0.57%
0.22%
0.07%
4
0.19%
0.29%
0.23%
0.12%
0.05%
0.01%
Chaves
1-07.57%
2-03.19%
2-14.99%
3-00.89%
3-11.40%
3-21.10%
4-00.19%
4-10.29%
4-20.23%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-08.99%
1-111.86%
2-23.91%
3-30.57%
Arouca
0-114.09%
0-211.04%
1-29.29%
0-35.77%
1-34.86%
2-32.04%
0-42.26%
1-41.90%
2-40.80%
3-40.22%
0-50.71%
1-50.60%
2-50.25%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Arouca
Score01234
0
32.78%
23.79%
8.63%
2.09%
0.38%
1
12.78%
9.27%
3.36%
0.81%
0.15%
2
2.49%
1.81%
0.66%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.32%
0.23%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-012.78%
2-02.49%
2-11.81%
3-00.32%
3-10.23%
Draw
0-032.78%
1-19.27%
2-20.66%
Arouca
0-123.79%
0-28.63%
1-23.36%
0-32.09%
1-30.81%
2-30.16%
0-40.38%
1-40.15%
Sporting CP at SC Farense
Estoril at Vitória