Casa Pia AC at Arouca

Updated

Casa Pia AC

27.7%27.9%44.4%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawArouca Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+115
T 1-1 at Boavista+220
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+615
W 3-0 at SC Farense+230
L 0-1 at Gil Vicente FC+210
Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 at Porto+1150
T 1-1 vs Portimonense-135
T 2-2 at FC Vizela+245
W 3-4 vs Estoril+105
W 2-0 at Portimonense+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+235+169+165+166+166+166+169+179.2
Arouca+125+182+175+177+177+177+182+190.7
Draw+236+220+205+220+220+220+220+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+220----+205+205+179.2
Arouca+130----+145+145+190.7
Draw+230----+215+215+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +172 to +166
Arouca ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 80.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +220 to +205
Arouca ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½+118o2¼-102o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-102o2¼+102
Underu2½-127u2½-140u2¼-118u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2½-140u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.11%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 411.62%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.17%
Exactly 320.28%
Exactly 55.33%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.69%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 026.82%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.23%
Exactly 310.19%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.61%
Exactly 219.48%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.65%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 054.37%
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 210.09%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals9.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals20.50%
Wins by 3+ goals7.34%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal17.71%
Wins by 2 goals7.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals13.16%
Wins by 3 goals5.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.89%10.11%
1.566.72%33.28%
2.540.18%59.82%
3.519.90%80.10%
4.58.28%91.72%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.31%37.69%
1.525.53%74.47%
2.57.59%92.41%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.18%26.82%
1.537.88%62.12%
2.514.66%85.34%
3.54.47%95.53%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.39%34.61%
1.528.67%71.33%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score012345
0
10.11%
13.30%
8.75%
3.84%
1.26%
0.33%
1
9.86%
12.98%
8.54%
3.75%
1.23%
0.32%
2
4.81%
6.33%
4.17%
1.83%
0.60%
0.16%
3
1.56%
2.06%
1.36%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.38%
0.50%
0.33%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-09.86%
2-04.81%
2-16.33%
3-01.56%
3-12.06%
3-21.36%
4-00.38%
4-10.50%
4-20.33%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.11%
1-112.98%
2-24.17%
3-30.59%
Arouca
0-113.30%
0-28.75%
1-28.54%
0-33.84%
1-33.75%
2-31.83%
0-41.26%
1-41.23%
2-40.60%
3-40.20%
0-50.33%
1-50.32%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score01234
0
34.61%
21.09%
6.42%
1.30%
0.20%
1
15.63%
9.53%
2.90%
0.59%
0.09%
2
3.53%
2.15%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-015.63%
2-03.53%
2-12.15%
3-00.53%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-034.61%
1-19.53%
2-20.66%
Arouca
0-121.09%
0-26.42%
1-22.90%
0-31.30%
1-30.59%
2-30.13%
0-40.20%
Benfica at FC Vizela
Estoril at Gil Vicente FC