Casa Pia AC at Arouca

Updated

Casa Pia AC

27.7%27.9%44.4%
Casa Pia AC WinDrawArouca Win
0.97Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+115
T 1-1 at Boavista+220
L 2-1 vs Sporting CP+615
W 3-0 at SC Farense+230
L 0-1 at Gil Vicente FC+210
Arouca
Money Line
T 1-1 at Porto+1150
T 1-1 vs Portimonense-135
T 2-2 at FC Vizela+245
W 3-4 vs Estoril+105
W 2-0 at Portimonense+120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+235+169+165+166+166+166+169+179.2
Arouca+125+182+175+177+177+177+182+190.7
Draw+236+220+205+220+220+220+220+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+220----+205+205+179.2
Arouca+130----+145+145+190.7
Draw+230----+215+215+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +172 to +166
Arouca ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 60.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Arouca: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 80.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +220 to +205
Arouca ML moved from +145 to +135

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+107o2½+118o2¼-102o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-108o2¼-102o2¼+102
Underu2½-127u2½-140u2¼-118u2¼-112u2¼-112u2¼-112u2½-140u2¼-102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+102
Under-----u2¼-102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.11%
Exactly 226.55%
Exactly 411.62%
Exactly 62.03%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.17%
Exactly 320.28%
Exactly 55.33%
Exactly 70.67%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 037.69%
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 217.94%
Exactly 35.83%
Exactly 41.42%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 026.82%
Exactly 135.30%
Exactly 223.23%
Exactly 310.19%
Exactly 43.35%
Exactly 50.88%
Exactly 60.19%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.61%
Exactly 219.48%
Exactly 41.83%
 
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 36.89%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 063.65%
Exactly 128.75%
Exactly 26.49%
Exactly 30.98%
Exactly 40.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 054.37%
Exactly 133.13%
Exactly 210.09%
Exactly 32.05%
Exactly 40.31%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals9.92%
Wins by 3+ goals2.69%
Wins by 4+ goals0.55%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals20.50%
Wins by 3+ goals7.34%
Wins by 4+ goals2.10%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal17.71%
Wins by 2 goals7.23%
Wins by 3 goals2.13%
Wins by 4 goals0.48%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal23.88%
Wins by 2 goals13.16%
Wins by 3 goals5.24%
Wins by 4 goals1.62%
Wins by 5 goals0.40%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.89%10.11%
1.566.72%33.28%
2.540.18%59.82%
3.519.90%80.10%
4.58.28%91.72%
5.52.95%97.05%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.31%37.69%
1.525.53%74.47%
2.57.59%92.41%
3.51.75%98.25%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.18%26.82%
1.537.88%62.12%
2.514.66%85.34%
3.54.47%95.53%
4.51.12%98.88%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.39%34.61%
1.528.67%71.33%
2.59.19%90.81%
3.52.30%97.70%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score012345
0
10.11%
13.30%
8.75%
3.84%
1.26%
0.33%
1
9.86%
12.98%
8.54%
3.75%
1.23%
0.32%
2
4.81%
6.33%
4.17%
1.83%
0.60%
0.16%
3
1.56%
2.06%
1.36%
0.59%
0.20%
0.05%
4
0.38%
0.50%
0.33%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-09.86%
2-04.81%
2-16.33%
3-01.56%
3-12.06%
3-21.36%
4-00.38%
4-10.50%
4-20.33%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.11%
1-112.98%
2-24.17%
3-30.59%
Arouca
0-113.30%
0-28.75%
1-28.54%
0-33.84%
1-33.75%
2-31.83%
0-41.26%
1-41.23%
2-40.60%
3-40.20%
0-50.33%
1-50.32%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Arouca
Score01234
0
34.61%
21.09%
6.42%
1.30%
0.20%
1
15.63%
9.53%
2.90%
0.59%
0.09%
2
3.53%
2.15%
0.66%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.53%
0.32%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Casa Pia AC
1-015.63%
2-03.53%
2-12.15%
3-00.53%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-034.61%
1-19.53%
2-20.66%
Arouca
0-121.09%
0-26.42%
1-22.90%
0-31.30%
1-30.59%
2-30.13%
0-40.20%