Arouca at Estrela

Updated

Arouca

26.0%27.9%46.0%
Arouca WinDrawEstrela Win
0.92Projected Goals 1.33
4Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 0-3 vs Gil Vicente FC-105
T 2-2 vs Rio Ave+110
W 4-0 at Boavista+210
L 1-0 vs Braga+375
L 0-2 at SC Farense+200
Estrela
Money Line
T 0-0 at SC Farense+245
W 1-3 vs Boavista+120
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+225
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165
L 2-3 at Sporting CP+1225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+180-+160+165+158+160+160+172.8
Estrela+160-+180+175+189+184+189+198.0
Draw+205-+210+224+224+220+224+235.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+165----+165+165+172.8
Estrela+170----+175+175+198.0
Draw+230----+220+220+235.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +176 to +169
Estrela ML moved from +195 to +189

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-122-o2¼-108o2¼-112o2¼-114o2¼-112o2¼-108o2¼-102
Underu2¼+102-u2¼-112u2¼-108u2¼-104u2¼-108u2¼-104u2¼+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-102
Under-----u2¼+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.4%
 
No55.6%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.49%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.30%
Exactly 61.91%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.65%
Exactly 320.04%
Exactly 55.09%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 039.64%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.97%
Exactly 35.24%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 026.46%
Exactly 135.18%
Exactly 223.38%
Exactly 310.36%
Exactly 43.44%
Exactly 50.92%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.21%
Exactly 219.18%
Exactly 41.74%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.68%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.15%
Exactly 127.92%
Exactly 25.98%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 054.04%
Exactly 133.26%
Exactly 210.24%
Exactly 32.10%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals8.96%
Wins by 3+ goals2.32%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals21.49%
Wins by 3+ goals7.79%
Wins by 4+ goals2.25%
Wins by 5+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal17.04%
Wins by 2 goals6.64%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal24.47%
Wins by 2 goals13.70%
Wins by 3 goals5.54%
Wins by 4 goals1.74%
Wins by 5 goals0.44%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.51%10.49%
1.565.86%34.14%
2.539.19%60.81%
3.519.15%80.85%
4.57.86%92.14%
5.52.76%97.24%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.36%39.64%
1.523.68%76.32%
2.56.71%93.29%
3.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.54%26.46%
1.538.35%61.65%
2.514.97%85.03%
3.54.61%95.39%
4.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.79%35.21%
1.528.04%71.96%
2.58.86%91.14%
3.52.18%97.82%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Estrela
Score012345
0
10.49%
13.94%
9.27%
4.11%
1.36%
0.36%
1
9.71%
12.90%
8.58%
3.80%
1.26%
0.34%
2
4.49%
5.97%
3.97%
1.76%
0.58%
0.16%
3
1.39%
1.84%
1.22%
0.54%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.32%
0.43%
0.28%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-09.71%
2-04.49%
2-15.97%
3-01.39%
3-11.84%
3-21.22%
4-00.32%
4-10.43%
4-20.28%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-010.49%
1-112.90%
2-23.97%
3-30.54%
Estrela
0-113.94%
0-29.27%
1-28.58%
0-34.11%
1-33.80%
2-31.76%
0-41.36%
1-41.26%
2-40.58%
3-40.18%
0-50.36%
1-50.34%
2-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Estrela
Score01234
0
35.21%
21.67%
6.67%
1.37%
0.21%
1
15.08%
9.28%
2.86%
0.59%
0.09%
2
3.23%
1.99%
0.61%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-015.08%
2-03.23%
2-11.99%
3-00.46%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-035.21%
1-19.28%
2-20.61%
Estrela
0-121.67%
0-26.67%
1-22.86%
0-31.37%
1-30.59%
2-30.13%
0-40.21%
Moreirense at FC Vizela
Famalicão at Benfica