Estrela at Rio Ave

Updated

Estrela

23.5%27.2%49.3%
Estrela WinDrawRio Ave Win
0.88Projected Goals 1.41
1Final Score 1

Rio Ave

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165
L 2-3 at Sporting CP+1225
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+150
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+270
L 4-2 vs Braga+345
Rio Ave
Money Line
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+260
W 0-2 vs Boavista+165
L 4-3 vs SC Farense+145
L 1-2 at Braga+800
L 4-0 vs Moreirense+160

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+210-+250+295+276+295+295+314.6
Rio Ave+125-+105-102+102-102+105+107.9
Draw+235-+250+243+257+243+257+260.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+230----+225+225+314.6
Rio Ave+115----+120+120+107.9
Draw+255----+245+245+260.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Rio Ave: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Rio Ave: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Rio Ave: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +267 to +259
Rio Ave ML moved from +103 to -104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Overall Bet Value Active
Rio Ave: 100.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Rio Ave: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Rio Ave: 80.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
No Steam Moves On Rio Ave ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+105-o2½+105o2½+100o2½+103o2½+100o2½+105o2½+109
Underu2½-125-u2½-125u2½-120u2½-121u2½-120u2½-120u2½-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+109
Under-----u2½-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.2%
 
No55.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.15%
Exactly 226.56%
Exactly 411.58%
Exactly 62.02%
Exactly 80.19%
 
Exactly 123.22%
Exactly 320.25%
Exactly 55.30%
Exactly 70.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 041.50%
Exactly 136.50%
Exactly 216.05%
Exactly 34.71%
Exactly 41.03%
Exactly 50.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Rio Ave
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 51.13%
Exactly 60.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 034.67%
Exactly 219.45%
Exactly 41.82%
 
Exactly 136.73%
Exactly 36.87%
Exactly 50.39%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 066.55%
Exactly 127.10%
Exactly 25.52%
Exactly 30.75%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Rio Ave
Exactly 052.10%
Exactly 133.97%
Exactly 211.07%
Exactly 32.41%
Exactly 40.39%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals7.73%
Wins by 3+ goals1.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.36%
Rio Ave
Wins by 2+ goals24.09%
Wins by 3+ goals9.17%
Wins by 4+ goals2.79%
Wins by 5+ goals0.67%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Rio Ave
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal15.72%
Wins by 2 goals5.82%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.32%
Rio Ave
Wins by 1 goal25.17%
Wins by 2 goals14.92%
Wins by 3 goals6.38%
Wins by 4 goals2.12%
Wins by 5 goals0.56%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.85%10.15%
1.566.63%33.37%
2.540.07%59.93%
3.519.82%80.18%
4.58.23%91.77%
5.52.93%97.07%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.50%41.50%
1.522.01%77.99%
2.55.95%94.05%
3.51.25%98.75%

Total Goals Rio Ave Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.54%24.46%
1.541.10%58.90%
2.516.85%83.15%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.33%34.67%
1.528.60%71.40%
2.59.15%90.85%
3.52.28%97.72%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Rio Ave
Score012345
0
10.15%
14.29%
10.06%
4.72%
1.66%
0.47%
1
8.93%
12.57%
8.85%
4.15%
1.46%
0.41%
2
3.93%
5.53%
3.89%
1.83%
0.64%
0.18%
3
1.15%
1.62%
1.14%
0.54%
0.19%
0.05%
4
0.25%
0.36%
0.25%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Estrela
1-08.93%
2-03.93%
2-15.53%
3-01.15%
3-11.62%
3-21.14%
4-00.25%
4-10.36%
4-20.25%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.15%
1-112.57%
2-23.89%
3-30.54%
Rio Ave
0-114.29%
0-210.06%
1-28.85%
0-34.72%
1-34.15%
2-31.83%
0-41.66%
1-41.46%
2-40.64%
3-40.19%
0-50.47%
1-50.41%
2-50.18%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Rio Ave
Score01234
0
34.67%
22.61%
7.37%
1.60%
0.26%
1
14.12%
9.21%
3.00%
0.65%
0.11%
2
2.88%
1.87%
0.61%
0.13%
0.02%
3
0.39%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-014.12%
2-02.88%
2-11.87%
3-00.39%
3-10.25%
Draw
0-034.67%
1-19.21%
2-20.61%
Rio Ave
0-122.61%
0-27.37%
1-23.00%
0-31.60%
1-30.65%
2-30.13%
0-40.26%
1-40.11%
FC Vizela at Chaves
Vitória at SC Farense