Estrela at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Estrela

20.0%24.7%55.3%
Estrela WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
0.87Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 0

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
L 4-2 vs Braga+345
T 2-2 at Chaves+170
L 1-0 vs Porto+525
T 1-1 at Portimonense+185
W 1-2 vs Estoril+130
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 0-2 at Gil Vicente FC+210
T 0-0 vs Vitoria+140
W 1-0 at Arouca+205
T 1-1 vs Rio Ave+115
T 1-1 at Boavista+220

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+255-+245+270+270+270+270+288.3
Casa Pia AC+110-+110+108+108+108+110+118.3
Draw+230-+240+235+235+235+240+251.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+290----+270+270+288.3
Casa Pia AC+100----+105+105+118.3
Draw+240----+240+240+251.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +280 to +270
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +290 to +275
No Steam Moves On Casa Pia AC ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼+100-o2¼-122o2½-102o2½-102o2½-102o2¼-122o2½+107
Underu2¼-120-u2¼+102u2½-118u2½-118u2½-118u2½-118u2½-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+107
Under-----u2½-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-112 to o2½+103
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.7%
 
No53.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.21%
Exactly 225.65%
Exactly 413.36%
Exactly 62.78%
Exactly 80.31%
 
Exactly 120.52%
Exactly 321.38%
Exactly 56.68%
Exactly 70.99%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 041.85%
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 215.88%
Exactly 34.61%
Exactly 41.00%
Exactly 50.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 019.61%
Exactly 131.95%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.13%
Exactly 45.75%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.43%
Exactly 221.05%
Exactly 42.35%
Exactly 60.10%
 
Exactly 136.38%
Exactly 38.12%
Exactly 50.54%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 066.81%
Exactly 126.95%
Exactly 25.43%
Exactly 30.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 047.04%
Exactly 135.48%
Exactly 213.38%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals6.43%
Wins by 3+ goals1.56%
Wins by 4+ goals0.29%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals29.85%
Wins by 3+ goals12.80%
Wins by 4+ goals4.47%
Wins by 5+ goals1.29%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal13.57%
Wins by 2 goals4.87%
Wins by 3 goals1.27%
Wins by 4 goals0.25%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal25.39%
Wins by 2 goals17.05%
Wins by 3 goals8.33%
Wins by 4 goals3.18%
Wins by 5 goals0.99%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.79%8.21%
1.571.27%28.73%
2.545.62%54.38%
3.524.24%75.76%
4.510.88%89.12%
5.54.20%95.80%
6.51.42%98.58%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.558.15%41.85%
1.521.70%78.30%
2.55.82%94.18%
3.51.21%98.79%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.39%19.61%
1.548.44%51.56%
2.522.41%77.59%
3.58.28%91.72%
4.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.57%31.43%
1.532.20%67.80%
2.511.14%88.86%
3.53.02%96.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
8.21%
13.37%
10.89%
5.91%
2.41%
0.78%
1
7.15%
11.65%
9.49%
5.15%
2.10%
0.68%
2
3.11%
5.07%
4.13%
2.24%
0.91%
0.30%
3
0.90%
1.47%
1.20%
0.65%
0.27%
0.09%
4
0.20%
0.32%
0.26%
0.14%
0.06%
0.02%
Estrela
1-07.15%
2-03.11%
2-15.07%
3-00.90%
3-11.47%
3-21.20%
4-00.20%
4-10.32%
4-20.26%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-08.21%
1-111.65%
2-24.13%
3-30.65%
Casa Pia AC
0-113.37%
0-210.89%
1-29.49%
0-35.91%
1-35.15%
2-32.24%
0-42.41%
1-42.10%
2-40.91%
3-40.27%
0-50.78%
1-50.68%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
31.43%
23.70%
8.94%
2.25%
0.42%
1
12.67%
9.56%
3.60%
0.91%
0.17%
2
2.56%
1.93%
0.73%
0.18%
0.03%
3
0.34%
0.26%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-012.67%
2-02.56%
2-11.93%
3-00.34%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-031.43%
1-19.56%
2-20.73%
Casa Pia AC
0-123.70%
0-28.94%
1-23.60%
0-32.25%
1-30.91%
2-30.18%
0-40.42%
1-40.17%
Benfica at Estoril
Vitória at Famalicão