Estrela at Sporting CP

Updated

Estrela

3.9%10.0%86.1%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.95
2Final Score 3

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+150
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+270
L 4-2 vs Braga+345
T 2-2 at Chaves+170
L 1-0 vs Porto+525
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 2-0 at Boavista-245
W 1-2 vs Arouca-525
W 3-2 at SC Farense-260
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-625
W 0-3 vs Moreirense-430

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+1000-+1000+1100+1100+1100+1100+1160.3
Sporting CP-420--460-520-520-520-460-396.5
Draw+500-+525+680+680+680+680+719.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+965----+1225+1225+1160.3
Sporting CP-425-----550-550-396.5
Draw+565----+675+675+719.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +1100 to +1000
Sporting CP ML moved from -510 to -520

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estrela ML
Sporting CP ML moved from -485 to -550

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3¼-112-o3¼-105o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+102o3¼+111
Underu3¼-108-u3¼-115u3¼-122u3¼-122u3¼-122u3¼-115u3¼-111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+111
Under-----u3¼-111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.0%
 
No62.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.13%
Exactly 218.77%
Exactly 418.78%
Exactly 67.52%
Exactly 81.61%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.84%
Exactly 321.68%
Exactly 513.02%
Exactly 73.72%
Exactly 90.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 059.88%
Exactly 130.71%
Exactly 27.87%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 05.22%
Exactly 115.42%
Exactly 222.76%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.53%
Exactly 59.76%
Exactly 64.80%
Exactly 72.03%
Exactly 80.75%
Exactly 90.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.10%
Exactly 225.87%
Exactly 45.55%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.25%
Exactly 313.83%
Exactly 51.78%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 078.86%
Exactly 118.73%
Exactly 22.22%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 025.49%
Exactly 134.84%
Exactly 223.81%
Exactly 310.85%
Exactly 43.71%
Exactly 51.01%
Exactly 60.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals0.76%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals67.75%
Wins by 3+ goals45.80%
Wins by 4+ goals26.48%
Wins by 5+ goals13.18%
Wins by 6+ goals5.69%
Wins by 7+ goals2.13%
Wins by 8+ goals0.67%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal3.16%
Wins by 2 goals0.66%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal18.22%
Wins by 2 goals21.95%
Wins by 3 goals19.32%
Wins by 4 goals13.30%
Wins by 5 goals7.49%
Wins by 6 goals3.56%
Wins by 7 goals1.46%
Wins by 8 goals0.52%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.87%3.13%
1.586.04%13.96%
2.567.26%32.74%
3.545.58%54.42%
4.526.80%73.20%
5.513.78%86.22%
6.56.26%93.74%
7.52.54%97.46%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.12%59.88%
1.59.41%90.59%
2.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.78%5.22%
1.579.36%20.64%
2.556.60%43.40%
3.534.21%65.79%
4.517.68%82.32%
5.57.92%92.08%
6.53.12%96.88%
7.51.09%98.91%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.90%20.10%
1.547.65%52.35%
2.521.78%78.22%
3.57.94%92.06%
4.52.39%97.61%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
3.13%
9.23%
13.63%
13.41%
9.90%
5.84%
1
1.60%
4.73%
6.99%
6.88%
5.08%
3.00%
2
0.41%
1.21%
1.79%
1.76%
1.30%
0.77%
Estrela
1-01.60%
2-00.41%
2-11.21%
Draw
0-03.13%
1-14.73%
2-21.79%
3-30.30%
Sporting CP
0-19.23%
0-213.63%
1-26.99%
0-313.41%
1-36.88%
2-31.76%
0-49.90%
1-45.08%
2-41.30%
3-40.22%
0-55.84%
1-53.00%
2-50.77%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
20.10%
27.48%
18.78%
8.56%
2.92%
0.80%
0.18%
1
4.77%
6.52%
4.46%
2.03%
0.69%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.57%
0.77%
0.53%
0.24%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
Estrela
1-04.77%
2-00.57%
2-10.77%
Draw
0-020.10%
1-16.52%
2-20.53%
Sporting CP
0-127.48%
0-218.78%
1-24.46%
0-38.56%
1-32.03%
2-30.24%
0-42.92%
1-40.69%
0-50.80%
1-50.19%
0-60.18%
Boavista at Rio Ave
Arouca at SC Farense