Arouca at Sporting CP

Updated

Arouca

4.9%11.8%83.3%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.52Projected Goals 2.71
1Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 2-0 vs Chaves-105
L 0-1 at Famalicao+265
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+145
T 1-1 at Porto+1150
T 1-1 vs Portimonense-135
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 3-2 at SC Farense-260
W 0-2 vs Rio Ave-625
W 0-3 vs Moreirense-430
T 1-1 at Braga+110
W 0-1 vs Famalicao-425

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+1100+1508+1300+1400+1400+1400+1508+1474.7
Sporting CP-435-522-550-550-550-550-522-415.5
Draw+500+622+550+630+630+630+630+666.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+950----+1275+1275+1474.7
Sporting CP-350-----525-525-415.5
Draw+465----+625+625+666.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +1250 to +1220
Sporting CP ML moved from -503 to -522

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +950 to +925
Sporting CP ML moved from -500 to -525

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-112o3-124o3-118o3-120o3-120o3-120o3-118o3-109
Underu3-108u3+106u3-102u3+100u3+100u3+100u3+106u3+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-109
Under-----u3+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.9%
 
No62.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.94%
Exactly 220.61%
Exactly 417.95%
Exactly 66.26%
Exactly 81.17%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.75%
Exactly 322.21%
Exactly 511.61%
Exactly 72.89%
Exactly 90.42%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 059.45%
Exactly 130.92%
Exactly 28.04%
Exactly 31.39%
Exactly 40.18%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 06.63%
Exactly 117.99%
Exactly 224.41%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 414.98%
Exactly 58.13%
Exactly 63.67%
Exactly 71.42%
Exactly 80.48%
Exactly 90.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.38%
Exactly 225.08%
Exactly 44.68%
Exactly 60.35%
 
Exactly 133.50%
Exactly 312.51%
Exactly 51.40%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 078.60%
Exactly 118.93%
Exactly 22.28%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 42.95%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals0.97%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals63.04%
Wins by 3+ goals40.38%
Wins by 4+ goals21.91%
Wins by 5+ goals10.18%
Wins by 6+ goals4.09%
Wins by 7+ goals1.43%
Wins by 8+ goals0.42%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal3.88%
Wins by 2 goals0.83%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal20.24%
Wins by 2 goals22.66%
Wins by 3 goals18.46%
Wins by 4 goals11.73%
Wins by 5 goals6.09%
Wins by 6 goals2.67%
Wins by 7 goals1.01%
Wins by 8 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.06%3.94%
1.583.31%16.69%
2.562.70%37.30%
3.540.49%59.51%
4.522.53%77.47%
5.510.92%89.08%
6.54.67%95.33%
7.51.78%98.22%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.55%59.45%
1.59.63%90.37%
2.51.60%98.40%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.37%6.63%
1.575.37%24.63%
2.550.96%49.04%
3.528.88%71.12%
4.513.91%86.09%
5.55.78%94.22%
6.52.11%97.89%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.62%22.38%
1.544.12%55.88%
2.519.04%80.96%
3.56.53%93.47%
4.51.84%98.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
3.94%
10.70%
14.51%
13.13%
8.90%
4.83%
1
2.05%
5.56%
7.55%
6.83%
4.63%
2.51%
2
0.53%
1.45%
1.96%
1.77%
1.20%
0.65%
Arouca
1-02.05%
2-00.53%
2-11.45%
Draw
0-03.94%
1-15.56%
2-21.96%
3-30.31%
Sporting CP
0-110.70%
0-214.51%
1-27.55%
0-313.13%
1-36.83%
2-31.77%
0-48.90%
1-44.63%
2-41.20%
3-40.21%
0-54.83%
1-52.51%
2-50.65%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Sporting CP
Score0123456
0
22.38%
28.11%
17.66%
7.39%
2.32%
0.58%
0.12%
1
5.39%
6.77%
4.25%
1.78%
0.56%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.65%
0.81%
0.51%
0.21%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.39%
2-00.65%
2-10.81%
Draw
0-022.38%
1-16.77%
2-20.51%
Sporting CP
0-128.11%
0-217.66%
1-24.25%
0-37.39%
1-31.78%
2-30.21%
0-42.32%
1-40.56%
0-50.58%
1-50.14%
0-60.12%