Moreirense at Arouca

Updated

Moreirense

29.1%29.1%41.8%
Moreirense WinDrawArouca Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Boavista-110
W 4-0 at Rio Ave+180
W 0-1 vs SC Farense+115
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1000
L 3-2 vs Braga+265
Arouca
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+1275
L 2-0 vs Chaves-105
L 0-1 at Famalicao+265
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+145
T 1-1 at Porto+1150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+188+191+180+185+185+185+191+199.4
Arouca+154+157+160+163+163+163+163+176.3
Draw+234+225+205+213+213+213+225+228.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+185----+190+190+199.4
Arouca+150----+150+150+176.3
Draw+235----+225+225+228.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +206 to +200
Arouca ML moved from +160 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+117o2¼-110o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+104
Underu2½-130u2½-137u2¼-110u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-137u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.41%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 410.56%
Exactly 61.66%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 319.45%
Exactly 54.58%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 038.30%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.60%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 41.56%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.19%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 064.12%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals10.41%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals18.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal18.67%
Wins by 2 goals7.61%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal23.56%
Wins by 2 goals12.12%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.59%11.41%
1.563.83%36.17%
2.536.95%63.05%
3.517.50%82.50%
4.56.94%93.06%
5.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.70%38.30%
1.524.94%75.06%
2.57.31%92.69%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.14%65.86%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.40%36.60%
1.526.61%73.39%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Arouca
Score012345
0
11.41%
13.82%
8.37%
3.38%
1.02%
0.25%
1
10.95%
13.26%
8.03%
3.24%
0.98%
0.24%
2
5.25%
6.36%
3.85%
1.56%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.68%
2.04%
1.23%
0.50%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.49%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-010.95%
2-05.25%
2-16.36%
3-01.68%
3-12.04%
3-21.23%
4-00.40%
4-10.49%
4-20.30%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.41%
1-113.26%
2-23.85%
3-30.50%
Arouca
0-113.82%
0-28.37%
1-28.03%
0-33.38%
1-33.24%
2-31.56%
0-41.02%
1-40.98%
2-40.47%
3-40.15%
0-50.25%
1-50.24%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Arouca
Score01234
0
36.60%
20.52%
5.75%
1.08%
0.15%
1
16.26%
9.12%
2.56%
0.48%
0.07%
2
3.61%
2.03%
0.57%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.54%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-016.26%
2-03.61%
2-12.03%
3-00.54%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-036.60%
1-19.12%
2-20.57%
Arouca
0-120.52%
0-25.75%
1-22.56%
0-31.08%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%
Arouca at Sporting CP
Estoril at Portimonense