Moreirense at Arouca

Updated

Moreirense

29.1%29.1%41.8%
Moreirense WinDrawArouca Win
0.96Projected Goals 1.21
1Final Score 0

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Boavista-110
W 4-0 at Rio Ave+180
W 0-1 vs SC Farense+115
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+1000
L 3-2 vs Braga+265
Arouca
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+1275
L 2-0 vs Chaves-105
L 0-1 at Famalicao+265
L 1-0 vs Casa Pia AC+145
T 1-1 at Porto+1150

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+188+191+180+185+185+185+191+199.4
Arouca+154+157+160+163+163+163+163+176.3
Draw+234+225+205+213+213+213+225+228.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+185----+190+190+199.4
Arouca+150----+150+150+176.3
Draw+235----+225+225+228.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +206 to +200
Arouca ML moved from +160 to +152

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
No Steam Moves On Arouca ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+110o2½+117o2¼-110o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼-105o2¼+104
Underu2½-130u2½-137u2¼-110u2¼-115u2¼-115u2¼-115u2½-137u2¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+104
Under-----u2¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.41%
Exactly 226.88%
Exactly 410.56%
Exactly 61.66%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.76%
Exactly 319.45%
Exactly 54.58%
Exactly 70.51%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 038.30%
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 217.64%
Exactly 35.64%
Exactly 41.35%
Exactly 50.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 029.78%
Exactly 136.07%
Exactly 221.85%
Exactly 38.82%
Exactly 42.67%
Exactly 50.65%
Exactly 60.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.60%
Exactly 218.49%
Exactly 41.56%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.19%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 064.12%
Exactly 128.49%
Exactly 26.33%
Exactly 30.94%
Exactly 40.10%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 057.08%
Exactly 132.01%
Exactly 28.97%
Exactly 31.68%
Exactly 40.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals10.41%
Wins by 3+ goals2.80%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals18.23%
Wins by 3+ goals6.11%
Wins by 4+ goals1.63%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Arouca
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal18.67%
Wins by 2 goals7.61%
Wins by 3 goals2.23%
Wins by 4 goals0.50%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal23.56%
Wins by 2 goals12.12%
Wins by 3 goals4.48%
Wins by 4 goals1.28%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.59%11.41%
1.563.83%36.17%
2.536.95%63.05%
3.517.50%82.50%
4.56.94%93.06%
5.52.36%97.64%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.70%38.30%
1.524.94%75.06%
2.57.31%92.69%
3.51.66%98.34%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.22%29.78%
1.534.14%65.86%
2.512.29%87.71%
3.53.47%96.53%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.40%36.60%
1.526.61%73.39%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Arouca
Score012345
0
11.41%
13.82%
8.37%
3.38%
1.02%
0.25%
1
10.95%
13.26%
8.03%
3.24%
0.98%
0.24%
2
5.25%
6.36%
3.85%
1.56%
0.47%
0.11%
3
1.68%
2.04%
1.23%
0.50%
0.15%
0.04%
4
0.40%
0.49%
0.30%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-010.95%
2-05.25%
2-16.36%
3-01.68%
3-12.04%
3-21.23%
4-00.40%
4-10.49%
4-20.30%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.41%
1-113.26%
2-23.85%
3-30.50%
Arouca
0-113.82%
0-28.37%
1-28.03%
0-33.38%
1-33.24%
2-31.56%
0-41.02%
1-40.98%
2-40.47%
3-40.15%
0-50.25%
1-50.24%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Arouca
Score01234
0
36.60%
20.52%
5.75%
1.08%
0.15%
1
16.26%
9.12%
2.56%
0.48%
0.07%
2
3.61%
2.03%
0.57%
0.11%
0.01%
3
0.54%
0.30%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-016.26%
2-03.61%
2-12.03%
3-00.54%
3-10.30%
Draw
0-036.60%
1-19.12%
2-20.57%
Arouca
0-120.52%
0-25.75%
1-22.56%
0-31.08%
1-30.48%
2-30.11%
0-40.15%