Arouca at Boavista

Updated

Arouca

22.4%26.1%51.4%
Arouca WinDrawBoavista Win
0.89Projected Goals 1.50
4Final Score 0

Boavista

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Braga+375
L 0-2 at SC Farense+200
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+150
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+1275
L 2-0 vs Chaves-105
Boavista
Money Line
L 3-1 vs SC Farense+100
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+165
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+625
T 1-1 at Moreirense+295
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+250-+195+181+186+181+195+195.2
Boavista+110-+145+165+162+165+165+178.4
Draw+225-+210+215+222+215+222+231.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+255----+210+210+195.2
Boavista+110----+140+140+178.4
Draw+240----+220+220+231.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Boavista: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +193 to +181
No Steam Moves On Boavista ML

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Boavista: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Boavista: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 60.0%
Boavista: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +230 to +215
No Steam Moves On Boavista ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125-o2¼-120o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-115o2¼-112o2¼-104
Underu2¼+105-u2¼+100u2¼-105u2¼-106u2¼-105u2¼+100u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
The Under moved from u2½-115 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.9%
 
No54.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 09.13%
Exactly 226.16%
Exactly 412.48%
Exactly 62.38%
Exactly 80.24%
 
Exactly 121.86%
Exactly 320.87%
Exactly 55.98%
Exactly 70.81%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 040.95%
Exactly 136.56%
Exactly 216.32%
Exactly 34.86%
Exactly 41.08%
Exactly 50.19%
Exact Goals Scored - Boavista
Exactly 022.30%
Exactly 133.47%
Exactly 225.11%
Exactly 312.56%
Exactly 44.71%
Exactly 51.41%
Exactly 60.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 033.02%
Exactly 220.27%
Exactly 42.07%
 
Exactly 136.59%
Exactly 37.49%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 066.14%
Exactly 127.34%
Exactly 25.65%
Exactly 30.78%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Boavista
Exactly 049.92%
Exactly 134.68%
Exactly 212.05%
Exactly 32.79%
Exactly 40.48%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals7.41%
Wins by 3+ goals1.84%
Wins by 4+ goals0.35%
Boavista
Wins by 2+ goals26.18%
Wins by 3+ goals10.47%
Wins by 4+ goals3.36%
Wins by 5+ goals0.85%
Wins by 6+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Boavista
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal14.98%
Wins by 2 goals5.56%
Wins by 3 goals1.49%
Wins by 4 goals0.31%
Boavista
Wins by 1 goal25.18%
Wins by 2 goals15.71%
Wins by 3 goals7.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.50%
Wins by 5 goals0.71%
Wins by 6 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.87%9.13%
1.569.01%30.99%
2.542.85%57.15%
3.521.99%78.01%
4.59.50%90.50%
5.53.53%96.47%
6.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.05%40.95%
1.522.49%77.51%
2.56.17%93.83%
3.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Boavista Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.70%22.30%
1.544.23%55.77%
2.519.12%80.88%
3.56.57%93.43%
4.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.98%33.02%
1.530.39%69.61%
2.510.12%89.88%
3.52.63%97.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Boavista
Score012345
0
9.13%
13.70%
10.28%
5.14%
1.93%
0.58%
1
8.15%
12.24%
9.18%
4.59%
1.72%
0.52%
2
3.64%
5.46%
4.10%
2.05%
0.77%
0.23%
3
1.08%
1.63%
1.22%
0.61%
0.23%
0.07%
4
0.24%
0.36%
0.27%
0.14%
0.05%
0.02%
Arouca
1-08.15%
2-03.64%
2-15.46%
3-01.08%
3-11.63%
3-21.22%
4-00.24%
4-10.36%
4-20.27%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-09.13%
1-112.24%
2-24.10%
3-30.61%
Boavista
0-113.70%
0-210.28%
1-29.18%
0-35.14%
1-34.59%
2-32.05%
0-41.93%
1-41.72%
2-40.77%
3-40.23%
0-50.58%
1-50.52%
2-50.23%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Boavista
Score01234
0
33.02%
22.94%
7.97%
1.84%
0.32%
1
13.65%
9.48%
3.29%
0.76%
0.13%
2
2.82%
1.96%
0.68%
0.16%
0.03%
3
0.39%
0.27%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-013.65%
2-02.82%
2-11.96%
3-00.39%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-033.02%
1-19.48%
2-20.68%
Boavista
0-122.94%
0-27.97%
1-23.29%
0-31.84%
1-30.76%
2-30.16%
0-40.32%
1-40.13%