Estrela at SC Farense

Updated

Estrela

27.8%28.7%43.5%
Estrela WinDrawSC Farense Win
0.94Projected Goals 1.26
0Final Score 0

SC Farense

Last 5 Games

Estrela
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Boavista+120
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+225
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165
L 2-3 at Sporting CP+1225
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+150
SC Farense
Money Line
T 1-1 at Benfica+1425
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+210
W 3-1 at Boavista+270
W 0-2 vs Arouca+145
W 4-3 at Rio Ave+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+255-+245+265+262+265+265+283.2
SC Farense+110-+110+104+107+104+110+114.2
Draw+225-+230+250+255+250+255+267.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estrela+290----+245+245+283.2
SC Farense-105----+110+110+114.2
Draw+255----+250+250+267.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 20.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +264 to +257
SC Farense ML moved from +111 to +104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estrela: 10.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estrela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estrela: 0.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estrela ML moved from +265 to +245
No Steam Moves On SC Farense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-112-o2½-115o2½-117o2½-116o2½-117o2½-115o2½-106
Underu2¼-108-u2½-105u2½-103u2½-102u2½-103u2½-102u2½+106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-106
Under-----u2½+106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-112 to o2½+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.7%
 
No56.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.10%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.80%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.39%
Exactly 319.65%
Exactly 54.75%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 038.98%
Exactly 136.72%
Exactly 217.30%
Exactly 35.43%
Exactly 41.28%
Exactly 50.24%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 028.47%
Exactly 135.77%
Exactly 222.47%
Exactly 39.41%
Exactly 42.96%
Exactly 50.74%
Exactly 60.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.13%
Exactly 218.72%
Exactly 41.62%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.35%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 064.65%
Exactly 128.20%
Exactly 26.15%
Exactly 30.89%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 055.89%
Exactly 132.51%
Exactly 29.46%
Exactly 31.83%
Exactly 40.27%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals9.76%
Wins by 3+ goals2.58%
Wins by 4+ goals0.52%
SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals19.52%
Wins by 3+ goals6.75%
Wins by 4+ goals1.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.41%

Exact Winning Margin

Estrela
SC Farense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal17.99%
Wins by 2 goals7.18%
Wins by 3 goals2.06%
Wins by 4 goals0.45%
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal23.99%
Wins by 2 goals12.77%
Wins by 3 goals4.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.45%
Wins by 5 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.90%11.10%
1.564.51%35.49%
2.537.69%62.31%
3.518.04%81.96%
4.57.23%92.77%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.02%38.98%
1.524.30%75.70%
2.57.00%93.00%
3.51.56%98.44%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.53%28.47%
1.535.77%64.23%
2.513.30%86.70%
3.53.89%96.11%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.87%36.13%
1.527.08%72.92%
2.58.36%91.64%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estrela
SC Farense
Score012345
0
11.10%
13.94%
8.76%
3.67%
1.15%
0.29%
1
10.45%
13.13%
8.25%
3.46%
1.09%
0.27%
2
4.93%
6.19%
3.89%
1.63%
0.51%
0.13%
3
1.55%
1.94%
1.22%
0.51%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.36%
0.46%
0.29%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Estrela
1-010.45%
2-04.93%
2-16.19%
3-01.55%
3-11.94%
3-21.22%
4-00.36%
4-10.46%
4-20.29%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.10%
1-113.13%
2-23.89%
3-30.51%
SC Farense
0-113.94%
0-28.76%
1-28.25%
0-33.67%
1-33.46%
2-31.63%
0-41.15%
1-41.09%
2-40.51%
3-40.16%
0-50.29%
1-50.27%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Estrela
SC Farense
Score01234
0
36.13%
21.02%
6.11%
1.19%
0.17%
1
15.76%
9.17%
2.67%
0.52%
0.08%
2
3.44%
2.00%
0.58%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.50%
0.29%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estrela
1-015.76%
2-03.44%
2-12.00%
3-00.50%
3-10.29%
Draw
0-036.13%
1-19.17%
2-20.58%
SC Farense
0-121.02%
0-26.11%
1-22.67%
0-31.19%
1-30.52%
2-30.11%
0-40.17%
Moreirense at Gil Vicente FC
FC Vizela at Rio Ave