FC Vizela at Estrela

Updated

FC Vizela

30.1%28.6%41.3%
FC Vizela WinDrawEstrela Win
1.01Projected Goals 1.23
1Final Score 1

Estrela

Last 5 Games

FC Vizela
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Moreirense+190
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+215
L 3-1 vs Braga+460
L 1-2 at Chaves+150
T 0-0 vs Famalicao+130
Estrela
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Arouca+175
T 0-0 at SC Farense+245
W 1-3 vs Boavista+120
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+225
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
FC Vizela+265-+150+154+153+154+154+166.5
Estrela+105-+185+189+192+189+192+203.3
Draw+230-+215+223+229+223+229+238.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
FC Vizela+175----+155+155+166.5
Estrela+160----+185+185+203.3
Draw+230----+225+225+238.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
FC Vizela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

FC Vizela: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

FC Vizela: 30.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

FC Vizela: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

FC Vizela ML moved from +162 to +154
Estrela ML moved from +176 to +166

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
FC Vizela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

FC Vizela: 0.0%
Estrela: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

FC Vizela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

FC Vizela: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

FC Vizela ML moved from +180 to +160
No Steam Moves On Estrela ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.1%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-102-o2¼-110o2¼-107o2¼-112o2¼-107o2¼-107o2¼+103
Underu2½-118-u2¼-110u2¼-113u2¼-106u2¼-113u2¼-106u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-122 to o2½-108
The Under moved from u2½-112 to u2¼-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.9%
 
No55.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.70%
Exactly 226.72%
Exactly 411.13%
Exactly 61.85%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.91%
Exactly 319.91%
Exactly 54.97%
Exactly 70.59%
Exact Goals Scored - FC Vizela
Exactly 036.58%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 36.20%
Exactly 41.56%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 029.24%
Exactly 135.95%
Exactly 222.10%
Exactly 39.06%
Exactly 42.79%
Exactly 50.68%
Exactly 60.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.53%
Exactly 219.02%
Exactly 41.70%
 
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 36.56%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - FC Vizela
Exactly 062.78%
Exactly 129.23%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.06%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 056.59%
Exactly 132.22%
Exactly 29.17%
Exactly 31.74%
Exactly 40.25%

Alternate Props

Spread

FC Vizela
Wins by 2+ goals11.11%
Wins by 3+ goals3.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.66%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals18.10%
Wins by 3+ goals6.12%
Wins by 4+ goals1.65%
Wins by 5+ goals0.35%

Exact Winning Margin

FC Vizela
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
FC Vizela
Wins by 1 goal18.93%
Wins by 2 goals8.01%
Wins by 3 goals2.44%
Wins by 4 goals0.57%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal23.14%
Wins by 2 goals11.98%
Wins by 3 goals4.47%
Wins by 4 goals1.30%
Wins by 5 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.30%10.70%
1.565.39%34.61%
2.538.67%61.33%
3.518.76%81.24%
4.57.64%92.36%
5.52.66%97.34%

Total Goals FC Vizela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.42%36.58%
1.526.63%73.37%
2.58.13%91.87%
3.51.93%98.07%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.76%29.24%
1.534.80%65.20%
2.512.70%87.30%
3.53.64%96.36%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.47%35.53%
1.527.71%72.29%
2.58.68%91.32%
3.52.12%97.88%

Score Props

Correct Score

FC Vizela
Estrela
Score012345
0
10.70%
13.15%
8.09%
3.31%
1.02%
0.25%
1
10.76%
13.23%
8.13%
3.33%
1.02%
0.25%
2
5.41%
6.65%
4.09%
1.68%
0.52%
0.13%
3
1.81%
2.23%
1.37%
0.56%
0.17%
0.04%
4
0.46%
0.56%
0.34%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
FC Vizela
1-010.76%
2-05.41%
2-16.65%
3-01.81%
3-12.23%
3-21.37%
4-00.46%
4-10.56%
4-20.34%
4-30.14%
Draw
0-010.70%
1-113.23%
2-24.09%
3-30.56%
Estrela
0-113.15%
0-28.09%
1-28.13%
0-33.31%
1-33.33%
2-31.68%
0-41.02%
1-41.02%
2-40.52%
3-40.17%
0-50.25%
1-50.25%
2-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

FC Vizela
Estrela
Score01234
0
35.53%
20.23%
5.76%
1.09%
0.16%
1
16.54%
9.42%
2.68%
0.51%
0.07%
2
3.85%
2.19%
0.62%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.60%
0.34%
0.10%
0.02%
0.00%
FC Vizela
1-016.54%
2-03.85%
2-12.19%
3-00.60%
3-10.34%
Draw
0-035.53%
1-19.42%
2-20.62%
Estrela
0-120.23%
0-25.76%
1-22.68%
0-31.09%
1-30.51%
2-30.12%
0-40.16%
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