Moreirense at Braga

Updated

Moreirense

9.7%16.7%73.6%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.33
0Final Score 1

Braga

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
L 0-5 at Porto+685
W 3-1 at Estoril+195
L 4-1 vs Casa Pia AC-145
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+155
Braga
Money Line
T 1-1 vs Chaves-330
W 2-1 at Famalicao-120
L 0-2 at Porto+330
T 1-1 vs Vitoria-160
W 3-1 at Casa Pia AC-180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+600+579+525+580+585+565+585+598.3
Braga-225-204-210-215-209-210-204-181.8
Draw+320+350+350+355+355+350+355+372.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+520----+610+610+598.3
Braga-195-----225-225-181.8
Draw+335----+360+360+372.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +576 to +558
Braga ML moved from -197 to -204

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +585 to +575
Braga ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-112o3+117o2¾-112o2¾-115o2¾-113o2¾-115o2¾-112o2¾-104
Underu2¾-108u3-139u2¾-108u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾-105u2¾+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-104
Under-----u2¾+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.1%
 
No53.9%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.78%
Exactly 222.09%
Exactly 417.03%
Exactly 65.25%
Exactly 80.87%
 
Exactly 114.53%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 510.36%
Exactly 72.28%
Exactly 90.29%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 048.93%
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 212.50%
Exactly 32.98%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 09.76%
Exactly 122.71%
Exactly 226.42%
Exactly 320.49%
Exactly 411.92%
Exactly 55.55%
Exactly 62.15%
Exactly 70.71%
Exactly 80.21%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 024.46%
Exactly 224.25%
Exactly 44.01%
Exactly 60.26%
 
Exactly 134.44%
Exactly 311.38%
Exactly 51.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 071.83%
Exactly 123.77%
Exactly 23.93%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 034.05%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 219.76%
Exactly 37.09%
Exactly 41.91%
Exactly 50.41%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals2.50%
Wins by 3+ goals0.46%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals50.20%
Wins by 3+ goals28.43%
Wins by 4+ goals13.48%
Wins by 5+ goals5.41%
Wins by 6+ goals1.85%
Wins by 7+ goals0.52%
Wins by 8+ goals0.10%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal7.15%
Wins by 2 goals2.04%
Wins by 3 goals0.41%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal23.30%
Wins by 2 goals21.76%
Wins by 3 goals14.96%
Wins by 4 goals8.06%
Wins by 5 goals3.56%
Wins by 6 goals1.33%
Wins by 7 goals0.42%
Wins by 8 goals0.10%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.22%4.78%
1.580.69%19.31%
2.558.60%41.40%
3.536.20%63.80%
4.519.17%80.83%
5.58.81%91.19%
6.53.56%96.44%
7.51.28%98.72%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.07%48.93%
1.516.09%83.91%
2.53.60%96.40%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.590.24%9.76%
1.567.52%32.48%
2.541.10%58.90%
3.520.61%79.39%
4.58.69%91.31%
5.53.14%96.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.575.54%24.46%
1.541.10%58.90%
2.516.85%83.15%
3.55.46%94.54%
4.51.46%98.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Braga
Score012345
0
4.78%
11.11%
12.93%
10.03%
5.83%
2.71%
1
3.41%
7.94%
9.24%
7.17%
4.17%
1.94%
2
1.22%
2.84%
3.30%
2.56%
1.49%
0.69%
3
0.29%
0.68%
0.79%
0.61%
0.35%
0.17%
Moreirense
1-03.41%
2-01.22%
2-12.84%
3-00.29%
3-10.68%
3-20.79%
Draw
0-04.78%
1-17.94%
2-23.30%
3-30.61%
Braga
0-111.11%
0-212.93%
1-29.24%
0-310.03%
1-37.17%
2-32.56%
0-45.83%
1-44.17%
2-41.49%
3-40.35%
0-52.71%
1-51.94%
2-50.69%
3-50.17%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Braga
Score012345
0
24.46%
26.35%
14.19%
5.10%
1.37%
0.30%
1
8.09%
8.72%
4.70%
1.69%
0.45%
0.10%
2
1.34%
1.44%
0.78%
0.28%
0.08%
0.02%
3
0.15%
0.16%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-08.09%
2-01.34%
2-11.44%
3-00.15%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-024.46%
1-18.72%
2-20.78%
Braga
0-126.35%
0-214.19%
1-24.70%
0-35.10%
1-31.69%
2-30.28%
0-41.37%
1-40.45%
0-50.30%