Moreirense at Porto

Updated

Moreirense

6.0%13.2%80.8%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.58Projected Goals 2.60
0Final Score 5

Porto

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 3-1 at Estoril+195
L 4-1 vs Casa Pia AC-145
T 0-0 at FC Vizela+155
W 2-5 vs Portimonense-145
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+120
Porto
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Braga-130
T 1-1 at Boavista-250
W 0-1 vs Chaves-525
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+230
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC-450

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1297+773+675+800+720+800+800+845.6
Porto-415-269-275-310-275-310-269-256.7
Draw+515+409+380+445+415+445+445+472.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1000----+685+685+845.6
Porto-350-----275-275-256.7
Draw+450----+425+425+472.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +735 to +700
Porto ML moved from -275 to -310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +905 to +685
Porto ML moved from -330 to -340

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+116o2½-135o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-105o2¾-105o2½-135o2¾+104
Underu3-136u2½+115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-115u2¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾+104
Under-----u2¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-108 to o2¾-102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.5%
 
No59.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 04.17%
Exactly 221.04%
Exactly 417.71%
Exactly 65.96%
Exactly 81.08%
Exactly 100.12%
 
Exactly 113.24%
Exactly 322.29%
Exactly 511.26%
Exactly 72.71%
Exactly 90.38%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 056.25%
Exactly 132.36%
Exactly 29.31%
Exactly 31.79%
Exactly 40.26%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 07.41%
Exactly 119.28%
Exactly 225.09%
Exactly 321.77%
Exactly 414.16%
Exactly 57.37%
Exactly 63.20%
Exactly 71.19%
Exactly 80.39%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.96%
Exactly 224.86%
Exactly 44.48%
Exactly 60.32%
 
Exactly 133.78%
Exactly 312.19%
Exactly 51.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 076.61%
Exactly 120.41%
Exactly 22.72%
Exactly 30.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 029.97%
Exactly 136.11%
Exactly 221.76%
Exactly 38.74%
Exactly 42.63%
Exactly 50.63%
Exactly 60.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals1.30%
Wins by 3+ goals0.20%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals59.51%
Wins by 3+ goals36.89%
Wins by 4+ goals19.32%
Wins by 5+ goals8.64%
Wins by 6+ goals3.34%
Wins by 7+ goals1.12%
Wins by 8+ goals0.32%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Porto
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal4.70%
Wins by 2 goals1.10%
Wins by 3 goals0.18%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal21.26%
Wins by 2 goals22.62%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals10.67%
Wins by 5 goals5.30%
Wins by 6 goals2.22%
Wins by 7 goals0.80%
Wins by 8 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.595.83%4.17%
1.582.59%17.41%
2.561.55%38.45%
3.539.26%60.74%
4.521.55%78.45%
5.510.29%89.71%
6.54.33%95.67%
7.51.62%98.38%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.75%56.25%
1.511.39%88.61%
2.52.08%97.92%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.59%7.41%
1.573.31%26.69%
2.548.23%51.77%
3.526.46%73.54%
4.512.30%87.70%
5.54.92%95.08%
6.51.73%98.27%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.04%22.96%
1.543.26%56.74%
2.518.40%81.60%
3.56.21%93.79%
4.51.73%98.27%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Porto
Score012345
0
4.17%
10.84%
14.11%
12.24%
7.97%
4.15%
1
2.40%
6.24%
8.12%
7.04%
4.58%
2.39%
2
0.69%
1.79%
2.34%
2.03%
1.32%
0.69%
3
0.13%
0.34%
0.45%
0.39%
0.25%
0.13%
Moreirense
1-02.40%
2-00.69%
2-11.79%
3-00.13%
3-10.34%
3-20.45%
Draw
0-04.17%
1-16.24%
2-22.34%
3-30.39%
Porto
0-110.84%
0-214.11%
1-28.12%
0-312.24%
1-37.04%
2-32.03%
0-47.97%
1-44.58%
2-41.32%
3-40.25%
0-54.15%
1-52.39%
2-50.69%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Porto
Score012345
0
22.96%
27.67%
16.67%
6.70%
2.02%
0.49%
1
6.12%
7.37%
4.44%
1.78%
0.54%
0.13%
2
0.81%
0.98%
0.59%
0.24%
0.07%
0.02%
Moreirense
1-06.12%
2-00.81%
2-10.98%
Draw
0-022.96%
1-17.37%
2-20.59%
Porto
0-127.67%
0-216.67%
1-24.44%
0-36.70%
1-31.78%
2-30.24%
0-42.02%
1-40.54%
0-50.49%
1-50.13%
SC Farense at Casa Pia AC
Gil Vicente FC at Portimonense