Chaves at Porto

Updated

Chaves

4.1%10.4%85.5%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.51Projected Goals 2.90
0Final Score 1

Porto

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Casa Pia AC+160
L 0-4 at Estoril+290
W 1-2 vs FC Vizela+185
L 1-2 at Portimonense+200
L 2-0 vs Benfica+925
Porto
Money Line
L 0-2 at Sporting CP+230
W 1-3 vs Casa Pia AC-450
W 3-0 at Famalicao-210
W 2-1 at Vitoria-140
L 1-0 vs Estoril-550

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1700+1241+1000+1200+1186+1200+1241+1265.3
Porto-725-446-435-500-519-525-435-399.5
Draw+700+572+500+650+596+650+650+687.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1600----+1200+1200+1265.3
Porto-665-----525-525-399.5
Draw+725----+650+650+687.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 20.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +1218 to +1186
Porto ML moved from -435 to -460

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Chaves: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +1600 to +1200
Porto ML moved from -625 to -700

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+102o3½+114o3¼-110o3¼-103o3¼-106o3¼-103o3¼-103o3¼+106
Underu3½-122u3½-134u3¼-110u3¼-117u3¼-114u3¼-117u3½-134u3¼-106
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+106
Under-----u3¼-106

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes37.9%
 
No62.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.31%
Exactly 219.22%
Exactly 418.61%
Exactly 67.21%
Exactly 81.50%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.27%
Exactly 321.84%
Exactly 512.69%
Exactly 73.51%
Exactly 90.57%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 059.84%
Exactly 130.73%
Exactly 27.89%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.53%
Exactly 116.00%
Exactly 223.17%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 416.19%
Exactly 59.38%
Exactly 64.53%
Exactly 71.87%
Exactly 80.68%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.63%
Exactly 225.70%
Exactly 45.34%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.56%
Exactly 313.52%
Exactly 51.68%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 078.84%
Exactly 118.74%
Exactly 22.23%
Exactly 30.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.16%
Exactly 135.08%
Exactly 223.52%
Exactly 310.51%
Exactly 43.52%
Exactly 50.94%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals0.80%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals66.71%
Wins by 3+ goals44.56%
Wins by 4+ goals25.40%
Wins by 5+ goals12.45%
Wins by 6+ goals5.29%
Wins by 7+ goals1.95%
Wins by 8+ goals0.60%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal3.31%
Wins by 2 goals0.69%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.69%
Wins by 2 goals22.15%
Wins by 3 goals19.16%
Wins by 4 goals12.95%
Wins by 5 goals7.16%
Wins by 6 goals3.34%
Wins by 7 goals1.35%
Wins by 8 goals0.47%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.69%3.31%
1.585.42%14.58%
2.566.21%33.79%
3.544.37%55.63%
4.525.76%74.24%
5.513.06%86.94%
6.55.85%94.15%
7.52.34%97.66%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.540.16%59.84%
1.59.43%90.57%
2.51.54%98.46%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.47%5.53%
1.578.48%21.52%
2.555.31%44.69%
3.532.95%67.05%
4.516.76%83.24%
5.57.38%92.62%
6.52.85%97.15%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.37%20.63%
1.546.81%53.19%
2.521.11%78.89%
3.57.59%92.41%
4.52.25%97.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Porto
Score012345
0
3.31%
9.57%
13.86%
13.38%
9.69%
5.61%
1
1.70%
4.92%
7.12%
6.87%
4.97%
2.88%
2
0.44%
1.26%
1.83%
1.76%
1.28%
0.74%
Chaves
1-01.70%
2-00.44%
2-11.26%
Draw
0-03.31%
1-14.92%
2-21.83%
3-30.30%
Porto
0-19.57%
0-213.86%
1-27.12%
0-313.38%
1-36.87%
2-31.76%
0-49.69%
1-44.97%
2-41.28%
3-40.22%
0-55.61%
1-52.88%
2-50.74%
3-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Porto
Score0123456
0
20.63%
27.66%
18.54%
8.29%
2.78%
0.74%
0.17%
1
4.90%
6.58%
4.41%
1.97%
0.66%
0.18%
0.04%
2
0.58%
0.78%
0.52%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Chaves
1-04.90%
2-00.58%
2-10.78%
Draw
0-020.63%
1-16.58%
2-20.52%
Porto
0-127.66%
0-218.54%
1-24.41%
0-38.29%
1-31.97%
2-30.23%
0-42.78%
1-40.66%
0-50.74%
1-50.18%
0-60.17%
Famalicão at Benfica
Boavista at Gil Vicente FC