Portimonense at Estrela

Updated

Portimonense

26.4%28.5%45.1%
Portimonense WinDrawEstrela Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.29
0Final Score 3

Estrela

Last 5 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Arouca+275
W 4-1 at Boavista+295
L 2-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+155
W 0-1 vs SC Farense+165
L 0-2 at Rio Ave+375
Estrela
Money Line
L 0-1 at Estoril+290
L 4-1 vs Benfica+1050
L 0-3 at Vitoria+510
T 1-1 at Gil Vicente FC+260
T 1-1 vs FC Vizela+185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+255-+280+290+297+290+297+309.7
Estrela+105-+100-101-101-101+100+109.0
Draw+240-+245+243+249+243+249+260.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+245----+295+295+309.7
Estrela+110-----105-105+109.0
Draw+250----+251+251+260.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +304 to +297
Estrela ML moved from -104 to -110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Estrela: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 20.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Estrela: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +305 to +295
Estrela ML moved from +110 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-105-o2¼-115o2¼-120o2¼-115o2¼-120o2¼-115o2¼-109
Underu2¾-115-u2¼-105u2¼+100u2¼-103u2¼+100u2¼+100u2¼+109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-109
Under-----u2¼+109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.11%
Exactly 226.82%
Exactly 410.79%
Exactly 61.74%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.41%
Exactly 319.64%
Exactly 54.74%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 040.19%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.70%
Exactly 35.07%
Exactly 41.16%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Estrela
Exactly 027.64%
Exactly 135.54%
Exactly 222.85%
Exactly 39.79%
Exactly 43.15%
Exactly 50.81%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.16%
Exactly 218.71%
Exactly 41.61%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.34%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 065.57%
Exactly 127.67%
Exactly 25.84%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estrela
Exactly 055.14%
Exactly 132.83%
Exactly 29.77%
Exactly 31.94%
Exactly 40.29%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals9.02%
Wins by 3+ goals2.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.45%
Estrela
Wins by 2+ goals20.62%
Wins by 3+ goals7.28%
Wins by 4+ goals2.05%
Wins by 5+ goals0.46%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Estrela
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal17.34%
Wins by 2 goals6.70%
Wins by 3 goals1.86%
Wins by 4 goals0.39%
Estrela
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals13.34%
Wins by 3 goals5.23%
Wins by 4 goals1.59%
Wins by 5 goals0.39%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.89%11.11%
1.564.48%35.52%
2.537.66%62.34%
3.518.01%81.99%
4.57.22%92.78%
5.52.48%97.52%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.81%40.19%
1.523.17%76.83%
2.56.48%93.52%
3.51.40%98.60%

Total Goals Estrela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.36%27.64%
1.536.81%63.19%
2.513.96%86.04%
3.54.17%95.83%
4.51.02%98.98%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.84%36.16%
1.527.06%72.94%
2.58.35%91.65%
3.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Estrela
Score012345
0
11.11%
14.29%
9.18%
3.94%
1.27%
0.33%
1
10.13%
13.02%
8.37%
3.59%
1.15%
0.30%
2
4.62%
5.93%
3.82%
1.64%
0.53%
0.14%
3
1.40%
1.80%
1.16%
0.50%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.32%
0.41%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Portimonense
1-010.13%
2-04.62%
2-15.93%
3-01.40%
3-11.80%
3-21.16%
4-00.32%
4-10.41%
4-20.26%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.11%
1-113.02%
2-23.82%
3-30.50%
Estrela
0-114.29%
0-29.18%
1-28.37%
0-33.94%
1-33.59%
2-31.64%
0-41.27%
1-41.15%
2-40.53%
3-40.16%
0-50.33%
1-50.30%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Estrela
Score01234
0
36.16%
21.52%
6.41%
1.27%
0.19%
1
15.26%
9.08%
2.70%
0.54%
0.08%
2
3.22%
1.92%
0.57%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.45%
0.27%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-015.26%
2-03.22%
2-11.92%
3-00.45%
3-10.27%
Draw
0-036.16%
1-19.08%
2-20.57%
Estrela
0-121.52%
0-26.41%
1-22.70%
0-31.27%
1-30.54%
2-30.11%
0-40.19%