Moreirense at Vitória

Updated

Moreirense

16.3%22.6%61.0%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.80Projected Goals 1.81
0Final Score 1

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Arouca+125
L 0-1 at Boavista+145
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+130
W 1-0 at SC Farense+170
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+900
Vitoria
Money Line
W 2-1 at Chaves-110
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+105
W 3-1 at Estoril+125
L 2-0 vs Casa Pia AC-190
T 1-1 at Portimonense-120

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+324+325+310+275+321+275+325+304.7
Vitória-106-104-105-102-105-102-102+113.7
Draw+244+239+220+225+242+225+242+250.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+320----+335+335+304.7
Vitória-105-----110-110+113.7
Draw+235----+235+235+250.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Vitória: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 20.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +334 to +321
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Vitória: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 30.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +360 to +320
Vitória ML moved from -105 to -120

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+118o2-146o2¼+100o2¼-101o2¼+101o2¼-101o2¼+101o2¼+108
Underu2½-138u2+124u2¼-120u2¼-119u2¼-119u2¼-119u2¼-119u2¼-108
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+108
Under-----u2¼-108

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes46.3%
 
No53.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.33%
Exactly 225.03%
Exactly 414.24%
Exactly 63.24%
Exactly 80.40%
 
Exactly 119.15%
Exactly 321.80%
Exactly 57.44%
Exactly 71.21%
Exactly 90.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 044.57%
Exactly 136.02%
Exactly 214.55%
Exactly 33.92%
Exactly 40.79%
Exactly 50.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 016.45%
Exactly 129.69%
Exactly 226.79%
Exactly 316.12%
Exactly 47.27%
Exactly 52.63%
Exactly 60.79%
Exactly 70.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.82%
Exactly 221.83%
Exactly 42.66%
Exactly 60.13%
 
Exactly 136.08%
Exactly 38.80%
Exactly 50.64%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 068.78%
Exactly 125.74%
Exactly 24.82%
Exactly 30.60%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 043.36%
Exactly 136.23%
Exactly 215.14%
Exactly 34.22%
Exactly 40.88%
Exactly 50.15%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals4.89%
Wins by 3+ goals1.10%
Wins by 4+ goals0.19%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals35.45%
Wins by 3+ goals16.53%
Wins by 4+ goals6.31%
Wins by 5+ goals2.00%
Wins by 6+ goals0.52%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal11.43%
Wins by 2 goals3.79%
Wins by 3 goals0.91%
Wins by 4 goals0.17%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.53%
Wins by 2 goals18.92%
Wins by 3 goals10.22%
Wins by 4 goals4.31%
Wins by 5 goals1.48%
Wins by 6 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.67%7.33%
1.573.52%26.48%
2.548.49%51.51%
3.526.69%73.31%
4.512.45%87.55%
5.55.00%95.00%
6.51.76%98.24%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.555.43%44.57%
1.519.42%80.58%
2.54.86%95.14%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.583.55%16.45%
1.553.87%46.13%
2.527.07%72.93%
3.510.95%89.05%
4.53.68%96.32%
5.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.18%29.82%
1.534.10%65.90%
2.512.27%87.73%
3.53.46%96.54%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.33%
13.23%
11.94%
7.18%
3.24%
1.17%
1
5.92%
10.69%
9.65%
5.81%
2.62%
0.95%
2
2.39%
4.32%
3.90%
2.35%
1.06%
0.38%
3
0.64%
1.16%
1.05%
0.63%
0.29%
0.10%
4
0.13%
0.24%
0.21%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
Moreirense
1-05.92%
2-02.39%
2-14.32%
3-00.64%
3-11.16%
3-21.05%
4-00.13%
4-10.24%
4-20.21%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-07.33%
1-110.69%
2-23.90%
3-30.63%
Vitoria
0-113.23%
0-211.94%
1-29.65%
0-37.18%
1-35.81%
2-32.35%
0-43.24%
1-42.62%
2-41.06%
3-40.29%
0-51.17%
1-50.95%
2-50.38%
3-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Vitoria
Score012345
0
29.82%
24.92%
10.41%
2.90%
0.61%
0.10%
1
11.16%
9.33%
3.90%
1.09%
0.23%
0.04%
2
2.09%
1.74%
0.73%
0.20%
0.04%
0.01%
3
0.26%
0.22%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-011.16%
2-02.09%
2-11.74%
3-00.26%
3-10.22%
Draw
0-029.82%
1-19.33%
2-20.73%
Vitoria
0-124.92%
0-210.41%
1-23.90%
0-32.90%
1-31.09%
2-30.20%
0-40.61%
1-40.23%
0-50.10%
Sporting CP at Estrela
SC Farense at Arouca