Vitória at Chaves

Updated

Vitoria

51.9%25.7%22.5%
Vitória WinDrawChaves Win
1.54Projected Goals 0.92
2Final Score 1

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+105
W 3-1 at Estoril+125
L 2-0 vs Casa Pia AC-190
T 1-1 at Portimonense-120
T 2-2 vs Benfica+460
Chaves
Money Line
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+325
L 5-1 vs Arouca+235
T 1-1 at Estrela+330
W 1-2 vs Boavista+180
L 0-1 at Moreirense+380

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.1%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-105+100-115-105-108-105+100+105.0
Chaves+285+305+310+310+322+310+322+330.6
Draw+245+241+250+240+251+240+251+257.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória-125-----110-110+105.0
Chaves+350----+310+310+330.6
Draw+265----+255+255+257.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from -105 to -120
Chaves ML moved from +320 to +310

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 10.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Vitória ML
Chaves ML moved from +390 to +310

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-0.4%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-125o2½+112o2¼-118o2¼-113o2¼-111o2¼-113o2¼-111o2¼-103
Underu2¼+105u2½-132u2¼-102u2¼-107u2¼-107u2¼-107u2½-132u2¼+103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-103
Under-----u2¼+103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.2%
 
No52.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.54%
Exactly 225.85%
Exactly 413.04%
Exactly 62.63%
Exactly 80.28%
 
Exactly 121.01%
Exactly 321.20%
Exactly 56.42%
Exactly 70.92%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 021.41%
Exactly 133.00%
Exactly 225.43%
Exactly 313.07%
Exactly 45.04%
Exactly 51.55%
Exactly 60.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 039.90%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.84%
Exactly 35.16%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 032.01%
Exactly 220.77%
Exactly 42.25%
 
Exactly 136.46%
Exactly 37.89%
Exactly 50.51%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 048.98%
Exactly 134.96%
Exactly 212.48%
Exactly 32.97%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 065.35%
Exactly 127.80%
Exactly 25.91%
Exactly 30.84%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals26.79%
Wins by 3+ goals10.91%
Wins by 4+ goals3.57%
Wins by 5+ goals0.92%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals7.56%
Wins by 3+ goals1.92%
Wins by 4+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Chaves
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal24.97%
Wins by 2 goals15.87%
Wins by 3 goals7.34%
Wins by 4 goals2.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.77%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal14.88%
Wins by 2 goals5.64%
Wins by 3 goals1.55%
Wins by 4 goals0.33%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.46%8.54%
1.570.44%29.56%
2.544.59%55.41%
3.523.40%76.60%
4.510.36%89.64%
5.53.94%96.06%
6.51.31%98.69%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.59%21.41%
1.545.60%54.40%
2.520.16%79.84%
3.57.10%92.90%
4.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.10%39.90%
1.523.44%76.56%
2.56.60%93.40%
3.51.44%98.56%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.99%32.01%
1.531.53%68.47%
2.510.76%89.24%
3.52.87%97.13%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Chaves
Score01234
0
8.54%
7.85%
3.60%
1.10%
0.25%
1
13.17%
12.10%
5.56%
1.70%
0.39%
2
10.15%
9.32%
4.28%
1.31%
0.30%
3
5.21%
4.79%
2.20%
0.67%
0.15%
4
2.01%
1.85%
0.85%
0.26%
0.06%
5
0.62%
0.57%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
Vitoria
1-013.17%
2-010.15%
2-19.32%
3-05.21%
3-14.79%
3-22.20%
4-02.01%
4-11.85%
4-20.85%
4-30.26%
5-00.62%
5-10.57%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-08.54%
1-112.10%
2-24.28%
3-30.67%
Chaves
0-17.85%
0-23.60%
1-25.56%
0-31.10%
1-31.70%
2-31.31%
0-40.25%
1-40.39%
2-40.30%
3-40.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Chaves
Score0123
0
32.01%
13.62%
2.90%
0.41%
1
22.85%
9.72%
2.07%
0.29%
2
8.15%
3.47%
0.74%
0.10%
3
1.94%
0.83%
0.18%
0.02%
4
0.35%
0.15%
0.03%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-022.85%
2-08.15%
2-13.47%
3-01.94%
3-10.83%
3-20.18%
4-00.35%
4-10.15%
Draw
0-032.01%
1-19.72%
2-20.74%
Chaves
0-113.62%
0-22.90%
1-22.07%
0-30.41%
1-30.29%
2-30.10%