Portimonense at Arouca

Updated

Portimonense

43.6%28.2%28.2%
Portimonense WinDrawArouca Win
1.29Projected Goals 0.97
0Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Portimonense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+140
L 0-7 at Porto+2000
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+200
L 0-2 at Belenenses+125
L 2-1 vs Braga+340
Arouca
Money Line
L 1-2 at FC Vizela+255
T 1-1 vs Santa Clara+135
L 0-1 at Boavista+285
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC+200
T 2-2 at Tondela+180

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+225+330+300+344+325+300+344+348.3
Arouca+125-115-119-112-115-119-112-102.6
Draw+215+235+240+256+244+240+256+269.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Portimonense+270----+300+300+348.3
Arouca+110-----105-105-102.6
Draw+230----+245+245+269.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 50.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Portimonense ML moved from +310 to +300
Arouca ML moved from -106 to -115

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Portimonense: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Portimonense: 50.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Portimonense: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Portimonense ML
Arouca ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+102o2¼-122o2½+102-o2¼-122o2¼-122o2½+114
Underu2¼-102u2½-122u2¼+102u2½-117-u2¼+102u2½-117u2½-114
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+114
Under-----u2½-114

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.0%
 
No55.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.47%
Exactly 226.66%
Exactly 411.32%
Exactly 61.92%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.62%
Exactly 320.06%
Exactly 55.11%
Exactly 70.62%
Exact Goals Scored - Portimonense
Exactly 027.71%
Exactly 135.56%
Exactly 222.82%
Exactly 39.76%
Exactly 43.13%
Exactly 50.80%
Exactly 60.17%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 037.77%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 217.90%
Exactly 35.81%
Exactly 41.41%
Exactly 50.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.17%
Exactly 219.20%
Exactly 41.75%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 36.69%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Portimonense
Exactly 055.20%
Exactly 132.80%
Exactly 29.75%
Exactly 31.93%
Exactly 40.29%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 063.71%
Exactly 128.72%
Exactly 26.47%
Exactly 30.97%
Exactly 40.11%

Alternate Props

Spread

Portimonense
Wins by 2+ goals19.75%
Wins by 3+ goals6.93%
Wins by 4+ goals1.94%
Wins by 5+ goals0.43%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals10.12%
Wins by 3+ goals2.74%
Wins by 4+ goals0.57%

Exact Winning Margin

Portimonense
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
Portimonense
Wins by 1 goal23.77%
Wins by 2 goals12.82%
Wins by 3 goals4.99%
Wins by 4 goals1.51%
Wins by 5 goals0.37%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal18.03%
Wins by 2 goals7.38%
Wins by 3 goals2.18%
Wins by 4 goals0.49%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.53%10.47%
1.565.91%34.09%
2.539.26%60.74%
3.519.20%80.80%
4.57.88%92.12%
5.52.77%97.23%

Total Goals Portimonense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.29%27.71%
1.536.73%63.27%
2.513.91%86.09%
3.54.15%95.85%
4.51.01%98.99%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.23%37.77%
1.525.46%74.54%
2.57.55%92.45%
3.51.74%98.26%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.83%35.17%
1.528.08%71.92%
2.58.88%91.12%
3.52.19%97.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Portimonense
Arouca
Score01234
0
10.47%
10.19%
4.96%
1.61%
0.39%
1
13.43%
13.08%
6.37%
2.07%
0.50%
2
8.62%
8.39%
4.09%
1.33%
0.32%
3
3.69%
3.59%
1.75%
0.57%
0.14%
4
1.18%
1.15%
0.56%
0.18%
0.04%
5
0.30%
0.30%
0.14%
0.05%
0.01%
Portimonense
1-013.43%
2-08.62%
2-18.39%
3-03.69%
3-13.59%
3-21.75%
4-01.18%
4-11.15%
4-20.56%
4-30.18%
5-00.30%
5-10.30%
5-20.14%
Draw
0-010.47%
1-113.08%
2-24.09%
3-30.57%
Arouca
0-110.19%
0-24.96%
1-26.37%
0-31.61%
1-32.07%
2-31.33%
0-40.39%
1-40.50%
2-40.32%
3-40.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Portimonense
Arouca
Score0123
0
35.17%
15.85%
3.57%
0.54%
1
20.90%
9.42%
2.12%
0.32%
2
6.21%
2.80%
0.63%
0.09%
3
1.23%
0.55%
0.12%
0.02%
4
0.18%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Portimonense
1-020.90%
2-06.21%
2-12.80%
3-01.23%
3-10.55%
3-20.12%
4-00.18%
Draw
0-035.17%
1-19.42%
2-20.63%
Arouca
0-115.85%
0-23.57%
1-22.12%
0-30.54%
1-30.32%