Benfica at Porto

Updated

Benfica

31.1%26.1%42.8%
Benfica WinDrawPorto Win
1.07Projected Goals 1.47
1Final Score 3

Porto

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
W 1-7 vs Maritimo-650
W 4-1 at Famalicao-170
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+110
W 1-6 vs Braga-175
T 1-1 at Estoril-250
Porto
Money Line
W 4-0 at FC Vizela-350
W 0-1 vs Braga-240
W 3-0 at Portimonense-270
W 1-2 vs Vitoria-425
W 3-0 at Santa Clara-250

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+237+320+380+369+355+380+380+398.8
Porto+111-130-135-124-131-135-124-118.7
Draw+246+260+270+284+267+270+284+289.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+330----+350+350+398.8
Porto-125-----130-130-118.7
Draw+280----+280+280+289.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +350 to +340
Porto ML moved from -120 to -135

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 40.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 40.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Benfica: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +375 to +350
Porto ML moved from -130 to -145

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.2%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-112o2¾-105o2¾+102o2½-120-o2¾+102o2½-120o2½-110
Underu2½-108u2¾-115u2¾-122u2½+105-u2¾-122u2¾-115u2½+110
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-110
Under-----u2½+110

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-121 to o2¾-108
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes50.5%
 
No49.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.92%
Exactly 225.46%
Exactly 413.65%
Exactly 62.93%
Exactly 80.34%
 
Exactly 120.08%
Exactly 321.53%
Exactly 56.92%
Exactly 71.06%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 034.43%
Exactly 136.71%
Exactly 219.57%
Exactly 36.96%
Exactly 41.85%
Exactly 50.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 022.99%
Exactly 133.80%
Exactly 224.84%
Exactly 312.17%
Exactly 44.47%
Exactly 51.32%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.90%
Exactly 221.31%
Exactly 42.45%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.29%
Exactly 38.34%
Exactly 50.58%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 061.03%
Exactly 130.13%
Exactly 27.44%
Exactly 31.22%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 050.63%
Exactly 134.46%
Exactly 211.73%
Exactly 32.66%
Exactly 40.45%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals10.34%
Wins by 3+ goals2.98%
Wins by 4+ goals0.65%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals22.87%
Wins by 3+ goals8.88%
Wins by 4+ goals2.77%
Wins by 5+ goals0.68%
Wins by 6+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Porto
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal17.03%
Wins by 2 goals7.36%
Wins by 3 goals2.32%
Wins by 4 goals0.56%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal23.47%
Wins by 2 goals13.99%
Wins by 3 goals6.11%
Wins by 4 goals2.09%
Wins by 5 goals0.57%
Wins by 6 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.08%7.92%
1.572.01%27.99%
2.546.55%53.45%
3.525.02%74.98%
4.511.37%88.63%
5.54.45%95.55%
6.51.52%98.48%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.57%34.43%
1.528.86%71.14%
2.59.29%90.71%
3.52.33%97.67%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.01%22.99%
1.543.21%56.79%
2.518.37%81.63%
3.56.19%93.81%
4.51.72%98.28%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.10%30.90%
1.532.81%67.19%
2.511.50%88.50%
3.53.16%96.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Porto
Score012345
0
7.92%
11.64%
8.55%
4.19%
1.54%
0.45%
1
8.44%
12.41%
9.12%
4.47%
1.64%
0.48%
2
4.50%
6.62%
4.86%
2.38%
0.88%
0.26%
3
1.60%
2.35%
1.73%
0.85%
0.31%
0.09%
4
0.43%
0.63%
0.46%
0.23%
0.08%
0.02%
Benfica
1-08.44%
2-04.50%
2-16.62%
3-01.60%
3-12.35%
3-21.73%
4-00.43%
4-10.63%
4-20.46%
4-30.23%
Draw
0-07.92%
1-112.41%
2-24.86%
3-30.85%
Porto
0-111.64%
0-28.55%
1-29.12%
0-34.19%
1-34.47%
2-32.38%
0-41.54%
1-41.64%
2-40.88%
3-40.31%
0-50.45%
1-50.48%
2-50.26%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Porto
Score01234
0
30.90%
21.03%
7.16%
1.62%
0.28%
1
15.26%
10.38%
3.53%
0.80%
0.14%
2
3.77%
2.56%
0.87%
0.20%
0.03%
3
0.62%
0.42%
0.14%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-015.26%
2-03.77%
2-12.56%
3-00.62%
3-10.42%
3-20.14%
Draw
0-030.90%
1-110.38%
2-20.87%
Porto
0-121.03%
0-27.16%
1-23.53%
0-31.62%
1-30.80%
2-30.20%
0-40.28%
1-40.14%
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