Chaves at Benfica

Updated

Chaves

3.0%8.0%89.0%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.50Projected Goals 3.27
0Final Score 1

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Chaves
Money Line
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+310
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+325
L 5-1 vs Arouca+235
T 1-1 at Estrela+330
W 1-2 vs Boavista+180
Benfica
Money Line
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-350
W 1-3 vs Estoril-350
L 0-5 at Porto+195
W 0-4 vs Portimonense-1100
W 1-6 vs FC Vizela-600

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1400-+1800+1600+1989+1600+1989+1726.3
Benfica-833--950-1000-982-1000-950-550.3
Draw+730-+800+840+856+840+856+909.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Chaves+1850----+2000+2000+1726.3
Benfica-900-----1000-1000-550.3
Draw+930----+950+950+909.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 30.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Chaves ML moved from +1600 to +1500
Benfica ML moved from -939 to -988

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Chaves: 0.0%
Benfica: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Chaves: 30.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Chaves ML
Benfica ML moved from -950 to -1000

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-111-o3¾-105o3¾-107o3¾-101o3¾-107o3¾-101o3¾+103
Underu3½-109-u3¾-115u3¾-113u3¾-119u3¾-113u3¾-113u3¾-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+103
Under-----u3¾-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes38.2%
 
No61.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.30%
Exactly 216.38%
Exactly 419.40%
Exactly 69.20%
Exactly 82.33%
Exactly 100.37%
 
Exactly 18.69%
Exactly 320.58%
Exactly 514.63%
Exactly 74.95%
Exactly 90.98%
Exactly 110.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 060.33%
Exactly 130.49%
Exactly 27.70%
Exactly 31.30%
Exactly 40.16%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 03.82%
Exactly 112.47%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 418.09%
Exactly 511.81%
Exactly 66.43%
Exactly 73.00%
Exactly 81.22%
Exactly 90.44%
Exactly 100.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 017.45%
Exactly 226.59%
Exactly 46.75%
Exactly 60.69%
 
Exactly 130.47%
Exactly 315.48%
Exactly 52.36%
Exactly 70.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 079.14%
Exactly 118.52%
Exactly 22.17%
Exactly 30.17%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 022.05%
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 51.45%
Exactly 60.37%

Alternate Props

Spread

Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals0.57%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals73.25%
Wins by 3+ goals52.66%
Wins by 4+ goals32.78%
Wins by 5+ goals17.73%
Wins by 6+ goals8.40%
Wins by 7+ goals3.50%
Wins by 8+ goals1.28%
Wins by 9+ goals0.40%

Exact Winning Margin

Chaves
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal2.42%
Wins by 2 goals0.49%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal15.69%
Wins by 2 goals20.59%
Wins by 3 goals19.88%
Wins by 4 goals15.05%
Wins by 5 goals9.33%
Wins by 6 goals4.89%
Wins by 7 goals2.22%
Wins by 8 goals0.88%
Wins by 9 goals0.31%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.70%2.30%
1.589.01%10.99%
2.572.63%27.37%
3.552.05%47.95%
4.532.64%67.36%
5.518.01%81.99%
6.58.82%91.18%
7.53.86%96.14%
8.51.53%98.47%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.539.67%60.33%
1.59.18%90.82%
2.51.48%98.52%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.18%3.82%
1.583.71%16.29%
2.563.36%36.64%
3.541.20%58.80%
4.523.11%76.89%
5.511.30%88.70%
6.54.87%95.13%
7.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.582.55%17.45%
1.552.08%47.92%
2.525.49%74.51%
3.510.02%89.98%
4.53.26%96.74%

Score Props

Correct Score

Chaves
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.30%
7.52%
12.28%
13.37%
10.91%
7.13%
1
1.16%
3.80%
6.21%
6.75%
5.51%
3.60%
2
0.29%
0.96%
1.57%
1.71%
1.39%
0.91%
Chaves
1-01.16%
2-00.29%
2-10.96%
Draw
0-02.30%
1-13.80%
2-21.57%
3-30.29%
Benfica
0-17.52%
0-212.28%
1-26.21%
0-313.37%
1-36.75%
2-31.71%
0-410.91%
1-45.51%
2-41.39%
3-40.23%
0-57.13%
1-53.60%
2-50.91%
3-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Chaves
Benfica
Score0123456
0
17.45%
26.38%
19.94%
10.05%
3.80%
1.15%
0.29%
1
4.08%
6.17%
4.67%
2.35%
0.89%
0.27%
0.07%
2
0.48%
0.72%
0.55%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Chaves
1-04.08%
2-00.48%
2-10.72%
Draw
0-017.45%
1-16.17%
2-20.55%
Benfica
0-126.38%
0-219.94%
1-24.67%
0-310.05%
1-32.35%
2-30.28%
0-43.80%
1-40.89%
2-40.10%
0-51.15%
1-50.27%
0-60.29%