Arouca at Braga

Updated

Arouca

10.8%18.2%71.0%
WinDrawBraga Win
0.71Projected Goals 2.18
3Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
W 1-2 vs SC Farense-135
L 0-1 at Moreirense+230
L 3-0 vs Sporting CP+725
W 5-1 at Chaves+120
W 2-3 vs Famalicao+130
Braga
Money Line
W 5-3 at Portimonense-240
W 1-2 vs Gil Vicente FC-235
T 0-0 at Rio Ave-130
W 0-3 vs Estrela-310
W 4-0 at Boavista-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+550+578+525+570+583+570+583+622.2
Braga-225-231-240-263-230-263-230-205.1
Draw+340+413+380+390+404+390+413+428.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+550----+540+540+622.2
Braga-220-----225-225-205.1
Draw+375----+395+395+428.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +540 to +530
Braga ML moved from -256 to -263

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +550 to +525
Braga ML moved from -215 to -225

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-120o3½+110o3¼-110o3¼-114o3¼-112o3¼-114o3¼-110o3¼-104
Underu2¾+100u3½-130u3¼-110u3¼-106u3¼-106u3¼-106u3½-130u3¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼-104
Under-----u3¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.2%
 
No54.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.56%
Exactly 223.22%
Exactly 416.15%
Exactly 64.49%
Exactly 80.67%
 
Exactly 116.07%
Exactly 322.36%
Exactly 59.33%
Exactly 71.85%
Exactly 90.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 049.00%
Exactly 134.95%
Exactly 212.47%
Exactly 32.96%
Exactly 40.53%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 011.35%
Exactly 124.70%
Exactly 226.87%
Exactly 319.49%
Exactly 410.60%
Exactly 54.61%
Exactly 61.67%
Exactly 70.52%
Exactly 80.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 026.25%
Exactly 223.48%
Exactly 43.50%
Exactly 60.21%
 
Exactly 135.11%
Exactly 310.47%
Exactly 50.94%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 071.88%
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 23.92%
Exactly 30.43%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 036.52%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.53%
Exactly 36.22%
Exactly 41.57%
Exactly 50.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals2.82%
Wins by 3+ goals0.53%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals46.66%
Wins by 3+ goals25.22%
Wins by 4+ goals11.34%
Wins by 5+ goals4.31%
Wins by 6+ goals1.39%
Wins by 7+ goals0.37%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Braga
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal7.95%
Wins by 2 goals2.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.47%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal24.26%
Wins by 2 goals21.45%
Wins by 3 goals13.88%
Wins by 4 goals7.03%
Wins by 5 goals2.91%
Wins by 6 goals1.02%
Wins by 7 goals0.30%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.44%5.56%
1.578.36%21.64%
2.555.15%44.85%
3.532.79%67.21%
4.516.64%83.36%
5.57.31%92.69%
6.52.82%97.18%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.00%49.00%
1.516.04%83.96%
2.53.58%96.42%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.65%11.35%
1.563.94%36.06%
2.537.07%62.93%
3.517.59%82.41%
4.56.99%93.01%
5.52.38%97.62%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.75%26.25%
1.538.64%61.36%
2.515.16%84.84%
3.54.69%95.31%
4.51.19%98.81%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Braga
Score012345
0
5.56%
12.11%
13.17%
9.55%
5.19%
2.26%
1
3.97%
8.63%
9.39%
6.81%
3.70%
1.61%
2
1.42%
3.08%
3.35%
2.43%
1.32%
0.57%
3
0.34%
0.73%
0.80%
0.58%
0.31%
0.14%
Arouca
1-03.97%
2-01.42%
2-13.08%
3-00.34%
3-10.73%
3-20.80%
Draw
0-05.56%
1-18.63%
2-23.35%
3-30.58%
Braga
0-112.11%
0-213.17%
1-29.39%
0-39.55%
1-36.81%
2-32.43%
0-45.19%
1-43.70%
2-41.32%
3-40.31%
0-52.26%
1-51.61%
2-50.57%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Braga
Score012345
0
26.25%
26.44%
13.32%
4.47%
1.13%
0.23%
1
8.67%
8.73%
4.40%
1.48%
0.37%
0.07%
2
1.43%
1.44%
0.73%
0.24%
0.06%
0.01%
3
0.16%
0.16%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Arouca
1-08.67%
2-01.43%
2-11.44%
3-00.16%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-026.25%
1-18.73%
2-20.73%
Braga
0-126.44%
0-213.32%
1-24.40%
0-34.47%
1-31.48%
2-30.24%
0-41.13%
1-40.37%
0-50.23%
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