Nacional at Sporting CP

Updated

Nacional

13.8%13.5%72.7%
WinDrawSporting CP Win
0.46Projected Goals 2.46
0Final Score 2

Sporting CP

Last 5 Games

Nacional
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Vitoria+270
L 1-2 at Tondela+260
L 1-0 vs Porto+1200
L 1-5 at Santa Clara+410
L 5-1 vs Portimonense+190
Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-0 at Braga+165
T 2-2 vs Belenenses-250
W 1-0 at SC Farense-155
T 1-1 vs Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Moreirense-230

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.1%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+860+1176+950+770+871+770+1176-
Sporting CP-370-399-345-312-325-312-312-
Draw+430+481+400+385+420+385+481-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Nacional+1225----+1200+1200-
Sporting CP-410-----400-400-
Draw+465----+475+475-

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 0.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +940 to +871
Sporting CP ML moved from -312 to -323

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Nacional: 20.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Nacional: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Nacional: 10.0%
Sporting CP: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Nacional ML moved from +1225 to +1100
Sporting CP ML moved from -380 to -400

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.5%
 Open LineBookmakerBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+104o2¾-108o2½-130o2¾-118-o2¾-118o2½-130-
Underu3-124u2¾-114u2½+110u2¾-102-u2¾-102u2¾-102-
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over------
Under------

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes34.0%
 
No66.0%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 05.38%
Exactly 222.97%
Exactly 416.35%
Exactly 64.66%
Exactly 80.71%
 
Exactly 115.72%
Exactly 322.38%
Exactly 59.56%
Exactly 71.94%
Exactly 90.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 062.79%
Exactly 129.22%
Exactly 26.80%
Exactly 31.05%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 08.57%
Exactly 121.05%
Exactly 225.86%
Exactly 321.19%
Exactly 413.02%
Exactly 56.40%
Exactly 62.62%
Exactly 70.92%
Exactly 80.28%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 025.84%
Exactly 223.66%
Exactly 43.61%
Exactly 60.22%
 
Exactly 134.97%
Exactly 310.67%
Exactly 50.98%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 080.62%
Exactly 117.37%
Exactly 21.87%
Exactly 30.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 032.05%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 220.75%
Exactly 37.87%
Exactly 42.24%
Exactly 50.51%

Alternate Props

Spread

Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals0.96%
Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals58.80%
Wins by 3+ goals35.42%
Wins by 4+ goals17.85%
Wins by 5+ goals7.62%
Wins by 6+ goals2.77%
Wins by 7+ goals0.84%
Wins by 8+ goals0.18%

Exact Winning Margin

Nacional
Sporting CP
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal4.23%
Wins by 2 goals0.84%
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal22.36%
Wins by 2 goals23.39%
Wins by 3 goals17.57%
Wins by 4 goals10.23%
Wins by 5 goals4.85%
Wins by 6 goals1.93%
Wins by 7 goals0.66%
Wins by 8 goals0.18%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.62%5.38%
1.578.90%21.10%
2.555.93%44.07%
3.533.55%66.45%
4.517.19%82.81%
5.57.63%92.37%
6.52.98%97.02%
7.51.03%98.97%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.537.21%62.79%
1.57.99%92.01%
2.51.19%98.81%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.43%8.57%
1.570.38%29.62%
2.544.52%55.48%
3.523.34%76.66%
4.510.32%89.68%
5.53.92%96.08%
6.51.30%98.70%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.574.16%25.84%
1.539.19%60.81%
2.515.53%84.47%
3.54.86%95.14%
4.51.25%98.75%

Score Props

Correct Score

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
5.38%
13.22%
16.24%
13.30%
8.17%
4.02%
1
2.50%
6.15%
7.56%
6.19%
3.80%
1.87%
2
0.58%
1.43%
1.76%
1.44%
0.88%
0.43%
Nacional
1-02.50%
2-00.58%
2-11.43%
Draw
0-05.38%
1-16.15%
2-21.76%
3-30.22%
Sporting CP
0-113.22%
0-216.24%
1-27.56%
0-313.30%
1-36.19%
2-31.44%
0-48.17%
1-43.80%
2-40.88%
3-40.14%
0-54.02%
1-51.87%
2-50.43%

Correct Score - First Half

Nacional
Sporting CP
Score012345
0
25.84%
29.40%
16.73%
6.34%
1.80%
0.41%
1
5.57%
6.33%
3.60%
1.37%
0.39%
0.09%
2
0.60%
0.68%
0.39%
0.15%
0.04%
0.01%
Nacional
1-05.57%
2-00.60%
2-10.68%
Draw
0-025.84%
1-16.33%
2-20.39%
Sporting CP
0-129.40%
0-216.73%
1-23.60%
0-36.34%
1-31.37%
2-30.15%
0-41.80%
1-40.39%
0-50.41%
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