Benfica at Braga

Updated

Benfica

45.2%26.1%28.7%
Benfica WinDrawBraga Win
1.46Projected Goals 1.11
1Final Score 0

Braga

Last 5 Games

Benfica
Money Line
T 1-1 vs SC Farense-635
T 0-0 at Moreirense-215
W 1-2 vs Sporting CP+160
W 2-0 at Chaves-395
T 1-1 vs Casa Pia AC-485
Braga
Money Line
W 3-1 at FC Vizela-185
W 1-3 vs Estoril-265
W 1-0 at Arouca-145
W 1-6 vs Portimonense-410
T 3-3 at Gil Vicente FC-165

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+120+132+130+125+128+125+132+136.3
Braga+200+196+185+189+193+189+196+203.5
Draw+255+270+250+285+282+285+285+304.3
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Benfica+130----+125+125+136.3
Braga+195----+200+200+203.5
Draw+260----+265+265+304.3

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Benfica ML moved from +140 to +130
Braga ML moved from +198 to +190

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Braga: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Benfica: 20.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Benfica: 0.0%
Braga: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Benfica ML
No Steam Moves On Braga ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
1.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3+105o3-125o3-118o3-118o3-114o3-118o3-114o3-107
Underu3-125u3+107u3-102u3-102u3-104u3-102u3+107u3+107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-107
Under-----u3+107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¾-118 to o3-110
The Under moved from u3-102 to u2¾-102

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes51.5%
 
No48.5%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.62%
Exactly 225.25%
Exactly 413.94%
Exactly 63.08%
Exactly 80.36%
 
Exactly 119.62%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 57.18%
Exactly 71.13%
Exactly 90.10%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 023.15%
Exactly 133.87%
Exactly 224.78%
Exactly 312.09%
Exactly 44.42%
Exactly 51.29%
Exactly 60.32%
Exact Goals Scored - Braga
Exactly 032.94%
Exactly 136.58%
Exactly 220.31%
Exactly 37.52%
Exactly 42.09%
Exactly 50.46%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 030.37%
Exactly 221.56%
Exactly 42.55%
Exactly 60.12%
 
Exactly 136.19%
Exactly 38.57%
Exactly 50.61%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 050.79%
Exactly 134.41%
Exactly 211.66%
Exactly 32.63%
Exactly 40.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Braga
Exactly 059.80%
Exactly 130.75%
Exactly 27.90%
Exactly 31.35%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals22.11%
Wins by 3+ goals8.53%
Wins by 4+ goals2.64%
Wins by 5+ goals0.65%
Braga
Wins by 2+ goals11.13%
Wins by 3+ goals3.31%
Wins by 4+ goals0.75%
Wins by 5+ goals0.11%

Exact Winning Margin

Benfica
Braga
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal23.04%
Wins by 2 goals13.59%
Wins by 3 goals5.89%
Wins by 4 goals1.99%
Wins by 5 goals0.54%
Braga
Wins by 1 goal17.48%
Wins by 2 goals7.82%
Wins by 3 goals2.56%
Wins by 4 goals0.64%
Wins by 5 goals0.11%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.592.38%7.62%
1.572.75%27.25%
2.547.50%52.50%
3.525.83%74.17%
4.511.89%88.11%
5.54.71%95.29%
6.51.64%98.36%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.576.85%23.15%
1.542.98%57.02%
2.518.20%81.80%
3.56.11%93.89%
4.51.69%98.31%

Total Goals Braga Over/Under

OverUnder
0.567.06%32.94%
1.530.48%69.52%
2.510.17%89.83%
3.52.65%97.35%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.569.63%30.37%
1.533.44%66.56%
2.511.87%88.13%
3.53.31%96.69%

Score Props

Correct Score

Benfica
Braga
Score012345
0
7.62%
8.47%
4.70%
1.74%
0.48%
0.11%
1
11.16%
12.39%
6.88%
2.55%
0.71%
0.16%
2
8.16%
9.06%
5.03%
1.86%
0.52%
0.11%
3
3.98%
4.42%
2.46%
0.91%
0.25%
0.06%
4
1.46%
1.62%
0.90%
0.33%
0.09%
0.02%
5
0.43%
0.47%
0.26%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Benfica
1-011.16%
2-08.16%
2-19.06%
3-03.98%
3-14.42%
3-22.46%
4-01.46%
4-11.62%
4-20.90%
4-30.33%
5-00.43%
5-10.47%
5-20.26%
Draw
0-07.62%
1-112.39%
2-25.03%
3-30.91%
Braga
0-18.47%
0-24.70%
1-26.88%
0-31.74%
1-32.55%
2-31.86%
0-40.48%
1-40.71%
2-40.52%
3-40.25%
0-50.11%
1-50.16%
2-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Benfica
Braga
Score0123
0
30.37%
15.62%
4.01%
0.69%
1
20.58%
10.58%
2.72%
0.47%
2
6.97%
3.58%
0.92%
0.16%
3
1.57%
0.81%
0.21%
0.04%
4
0.27%
0.14%
0.04%
0.01%
Benfica
1-020.58%
2-06.97%
2-13.58%
3-01.57%
3-10.81%
3-20.21%
4-00.27%
4-10.14%
Draw
0-030.37%
1-110.58%
2-20.92%
Braga
0-115.62%
0-24.01%
1-22.72%
0-30.69%
1-30.47%
2-30.16%