Sporting CP at Nacional

Updated

Sporting CP

84.9%10.5%4.5%
Sporting CP WinDrawWin
2.94Projected Goals 0.56
6Final Score 1

Nacional

Last 5 Games

Sporting CP
Money Line
W 1-3 vs Rio Ave-800
W 0-3 vs Chaves-1500
W 1-0 at Estoril-270
W 0-3 vs Portimonense-1350
T 2-2 at Porto+195
Nacional
Money Line
T 1-1 at AVS+255
L 2-1 vs Rio Ave+425
L 0-3 at Famalicao+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+675
T 2-2 at Moreirense+225

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.8%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-313-402-435-476-463-476-402-327.7
Nacional+788+1046+1000+1000+1033+1000+1046+1086.4
Draw+490+558+500+520+560+520+560+568.7
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Sporting CP-375-----420-420-327.7
Nacional+950----+1000+1000+1086.4
Draw+500----+550+550+568.7

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -435 to -460
Nacional ML moved from +1050 to +1033

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Sporting CP: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Nacional: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Sporting CP: 20.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Sporting CP: 0.0%
Nacional: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Sporting CP ML moved from -375 to -420
No Steam Moves On Nacional ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-120o3-139o3¼-105o3¼-105o3¼-101o3¼-105o3¼-101o3¼+104
Underu3+102u3+118u3¼-115u3¼-115u3¼-117u3¼-115u3+118u3¼-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¼+104
Under-----u3¼-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.8%
 
No59.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.02%
Exactly 218.50%
Exactly 418.88%
Exactly 67.71%
Exactly 81.68%
Exactly 100.23%
 
Exactly 110.57%
Exactly 321.58%
Exactly 513.21%
Exactly 73.85%
Exactly 90.66%
Exact Goals Scored - Sporting CP
Exactly 05.31%
Exactly 115.59%
Exactly 222.88%
Exactly 322.39%
Exactly 416.43%
Exactly 59.64%
Exactly 64.72%
Exactly 71.98%
Exactly 80.73%
Exactly 90.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Nacional
Exactly 056.88%
Exactly 132.09%
Exactly 29.05%
Exactly 31.70%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.79%
Exactly 225.97%
Exactly 45.68%
Exactly 60.50%
 
Exactly 132.06%
Exactly 314.02%
Exactly 51.84%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Sporting CP
Exactly 025.69%
Exactly 134.92%
Exactly 223.72%
Exactly 310.75%
Exactly 43.65%
Exactly 50.99%
Exactly 60.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Nacional
Exactly 077.01%
Exactly 120.12%
Exactly 22.63%
Exactly 30.23%

Alternate Props

Spread

Sporting CP
Wins by 2+ goals66.31%
Wins by 3+ goals44.44%
Wins by 4+ goals25.48%
Wins by 5+ goals12.58%
Nacional
Wins by 2+ goals0.94%

Exact Winning Margin

Sporting CP
Nacional
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
Sporting CP
Wins by 1 goal18.54%
Wins by 2 goals21.86%
Wins by 3 goals18.96%
Wins by 4 goals12.90%
Wins by 5 goals7.19%
Nacional
Wins by 1 goal3.56%
Wins by 2 goals0.80%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.98%3.02%
1.586.40%13.60%
2.567.90%32.10%
3.546.32%53.68%
4.527.44%72.56%
5.514.23%85.77%
6.56.52%93.48%
7.52.67%97.33%

Total Goals Sporting CP Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.69%5.31%
1.579.09%20.91%
2.556.21%43.79%
3.533.82%66.18%
4.517.39%82.61%
5.57.75%92.25%
6.53.03%96.97%
7.51.06%98.94%

Total Goals Nacional Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.12%56.88%
1.511.03%88.97%
2.51.97%98.03%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.21%19.79%
1.548.15%51.85%
2.522.19%77.81%
3.58.16%91.84%
4.52.48%97.52%

Score Props

Correct Score

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score012
0
3.02%
1.71%
0.48%
1
8.87%
5.00%
1.41%
2
13.02%
7.34%
2.07%
3
12.73%
7.19%
2.03%
4
9.34%
5.27%
1.49%
5
5.48%
3.09%
0.87%
Sporting CP
1-08.87%
2-013.02%
2-17.34%
3-012.73%
3-17.19%
3-22.03%
4-09.34%
4-15.27%
4-21.49%
4-30.28%
5-05.48%
5-13.09%
5-20.87%
5-30.16%
Draw
0-03.02%
1-15.00%
2-22.07%
3-30.38%
Nacional
0-11.71%
0-20.48%
1-21.41%

Correct Score - First Half

Sporting CP
Nacional
Score012
0
19.79%
5.17%
0.68%
1
26.89%
7.02%
0.92%
2
18.27%
4.77%
0.62%
3
8.28%
2.16%
0.28%
4
2.81%
0.73%
0.10%
5
0.76%
0.20%
0.03%
6
0.17%
0.05%
0.01%
Sporting CP
1-026.89%
2-018.27%
2-14.77%
3-08.28%
3-12.16%
3-20.28%
4-02.81%
4-10.73%
5-00.76%
5-10.20%
6-00.17%
Draw
0-019.79%
1-17.02%
2-20.62%
Nacional
0-15.17%
0-20.68%
1-20.92%