Casa Pia AC at Benfica

Updated

Casa Pia AC

4.2%10.1%85.7%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.55Projected Goals 2.99
0Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Boavista-105
W 2-1 at Famalicao+390
L 1-0 vs Moreirense+165
L 3-4 at Braga+850
W 1-3 vs Chaves+100
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-2 at Famalicao-205
T 1-1 at Rio Ave-245
W 0-5 vs Arouca-375
L 0-2 at Famalicao-260
W 1-3 vs Braga-185

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+1204+1077+1100+1100+1097+1100+1100+1194.3
Benfica-475-396-480-455-439-455-396-316.8
Draw+629+539+550+470+510+470+550+514.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Casa Pia AC+1120----+1125+1125+1194.3
Benfica-485-----425-425-316.8
Draw+610----+525+525+514.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +1162 to +1059
Benfica ML moved from -427 to -439

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Casa Pia AC: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Casa Pia AC: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Casa Pia AC ML moved from +1250 to +1000
Benfica ML moved from -400 to -425

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½+113o3+101o3-102o3-102o3+100o3-102o3+101o3+107
Underu3½-133u3-119u3-118u3-118u3-118u3-118u3-118u3-107
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3+107
Under-----u3-107

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.3%
 
No59.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 02.91%
Exactly 218.19%
Exactly 418.98%
Exactly 67.92%
Exactly 81.77%
Exactly 100.25%
 
Exactly 110.28%
Exactly 321.46%
Exactly 513.43%
Exactly 74.00%
Exactly 90.70%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 057.53%
Exactly 131.81%
Exactly 28.79%
Exactly 31.62%
Exactly 40.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.05%
Exactly 115.08%
Exactly 222.51%
Exactly 322.40%
Exactly 416.72%
Exactly 59.98%
Exactly 64.97%
Exactly 72.12%
Exactly 80.79%
Exactly 90.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 019.43%
Exactly 226.08%
Exactly 45.83%
Exactly 60.52%
 
Exactly 131.83%
Exactly 314.24%
Exactly 51.91%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 077.42%
Exactly 119.82%
Exactly 22.54%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 025.10%
Exactly 134.70%
Exactly 223.98%
Exactly 311.05%
Exactly 43.82%
Exactly 51.06%
Exactly 60.24%

Alternate Props

Spread

Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals0.87%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals67.47%
Wins by 3+ goals45.75%
Wins by 4+ goals26.58%
Wins by 5+ goals13.31%
Wins by 6+ goals5.79%
Wins by 7+ goals2.18%
Wins by 8+ goals0.69%
Wins by 9+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Casa Pia AC
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal3.35%
Wins by 2 goals0.74%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal18.10%
Wins by 2 goals21.72%
Wins by 3 goals19.17%
Wins by 4 goals13.27%
Wins by 5 goals7.52%
Wins by 6 goals3.61%
Wins by 7 goals1.49%
Wins by 8 goals0.54%
Wins by 9 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.597.09%2.91%
1.586.81%13.19%
2.568.62%31.38%
3.547.16%52.84%
4.528.18%71.82%
5.514.75%85.25%
6.56.83%93.17%
7.52.82%97.18%
8.51.05%98.95%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.47%57.53%
1.510.66%89.34%
2.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.95%5.05%
1.579.87%20.13%
2.557.36%42.64%
3.534.95%65.05%
4.518.23%81.77%
5.58.25%91.75%
6.53.28%96.72%
7.51.16%98.84%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.57%19.43%
1.548.73%51.27%
2.522.66%77.34%
3.58.42%91.58%
4.52.59%97.41%

Score Props

Correct Score

Casa Pia AC
Benfica
Score012345
0
2.91%
8.68%
12.95%
12.89%
9.62%
5.74%
1
1.61%
4.80%
7.16%
7.13%
5.32%
3.18%
2
0.44%
1.33%
1.98%
1.97%
1.47%
0.88%
Casa Pia AC
1-01.61%
2-00.44%
2-11.33%
Draw
0-02.91%
1-14.80%
2-21.98%
3-30.36%
Benfica
0-18.68%
0-212.95%
1-27.16%
0-312.89%
1-37.13%
2-31.97%
0-49.62%
1-45.32%
2-41.47%
3-40.27%
0-55.74%
1-53.18%
2-50.88%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Casa Pia AC
Benfica
Score0123456
0
19.43%
26.86%
18.56%
8.55%
2.96%
0.82%
0.19%
1
4.97%
6.88%
4.75%
2.19%
0.76%
0.21%
0.05%
2
0.64%
0.88%
0.61%
0.28%
0.10%
0.03%
0.01%
Casa Pia AC
1-04.97%
2-00.64%
2-10.88%
Draw
0-019.43%
1-16.88%
2-20.61%
Benfica
0-126.86%
0-218.56%
1-24.75%
0-38.55%
1-32.19%
2-30.28%
0-42.96%
1-40.76%
0-50.82%
1-50.21%
0-60.19%