Arouca at Moreirense

Updated

Arouca

26.1%28.0%45.9%
Arouca WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 3

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+220
L 3-1 vs Vitoria+195
L 0-5 at Benfica+810
T 0-0 vs Estrela+110
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+175
Moreirense
Money Line
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
W 2-0 at Portimonense+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+243+310+300+270+314+270+314+298.8
Moreirense+125+104+100+102+101+102+104+117.7
Draw+228+228+215+220+230+220+230+244.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+205----+285+285+298.8
Moreirense+135----+115+115+117.7
Draw+235----+210+210+244.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +265 to +255
Moreirense ML moved from +119 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Moreirense ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+100o2¼+103o2¼+100o2-140o2¼+109
Underu2½-133u2+119u2¼-125u2¼-120u2¼-121u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 039.67%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 026.62%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 310.28%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.18%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 054.19%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals8.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals21.36%
Wins by 3+ goals7.71%
Wins by 4+ goals2.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal17.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals13.65%
Wins by 3 goals5.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.69%34.31%
2.539.01%60.99%
3.519.01%80.99%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.33%39.67%
1.523.65%76.35%
2.56.69%93.31%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.38%26.62%
1.538.14%61.86%
2.514.83%85.17%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.68%35.32%
1.527.92%72.08%
2.58.79%91.21%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Moreirense
Score012345
0
10.56%
13.98%
9.25%
4.08%
1.35%
0.36%
1
9.77%
12.92%
8.55%
3.77%
1.25%
0.33%
2
4.51%
5.97%
3.95%
1.74%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.39%
1.84%
1.22%
0.54%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.32%
0.43%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-09.77%
2-04.51%
2-15.97%
3-01.39%
3-11.84%
3-21.22%
4-00.32%
4-10.43%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-112.92%
2-23.95%
3-30.54%
Moreirense
0-113.98%
0-29.25%
1-28.55%
0-34.08%
1-33.77%
2-31.74%
0-41.35%
1-41.25%
2-40.58%
3-40.18%
0-50.36%
1-50.33%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Moreirense
Score01234
0
35.32%
21.64%
6.63%
1.35%
0.21%
1
15.12%
9.26%
2.84%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.24%
1.98%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-015.12%
2-03.24%
2-11.98%
3-00.46%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-035.32%
1-19.26%
2-20.61%
Moreirense
0-121.64%
0-26.63%
1-22.84%
0-31.35%
1-30.58%
2-30.12%
0-40.21%