Arouca at Moreirense

Updated

Arouca

26.1%28.0%45.9%
Arouca WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.93Projected Goals 1.32
1Final Score 3

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+220
L 3-1 vs Vitoria+195
L 0-5 at Benfica+810
T 0-0 vs Estrela+110
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+175
Moreirense
Money Line
W 2-1 at SC Farense+155
W 1-2 vs Estoril+120
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
W 2-0 at Portimonense+170

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+243+310+300+270+314+270+314+298.8
Moreirense+125+104+100+102+101+102+104+117.7
Draw+228+228+215+220+230+220+230+244.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+205----+285+285+298.8
Moreirense+135----+115+115+117.7
Draw+235----+210+210+244.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 10.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +265 to +255
Moreirense ML moved from +119 to +111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Moreirense: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Arouca ML
Moreirense ML moved from +125 to +115

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½+113o2-140o2¼+105o2¼+100o2¼+103o2¼+100o2-140o2¼+109
Underu2½-133u2+119u2¼-125u2¼-120u2¼-121u2¼-120u2¼-120u2¼-109
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+109
Under-----u2¼-109

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 010.56%
Exactly 226.69%
Exactly 411.24%
Exactly 61.89%
Exactly 80.17%
 
Exactly 123.74%
Exactly 319.99%
Exactly 55.05%
Exactly 70.61%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 039.67%
Exactly 136.68%
Exactly 216.95%
Exactly 35.22%
Exactly 41.21%
Exactly 50.22%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 026.62%
Exactly 135.23%
Exactly 223.31%
Exactly 310.28%
Exactly 43.40%
Exactly 50.90%
Exactly 60.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 035.32%
Exactly 219.13%
Exactly 41.73%
 
Exactly 136.76%
Exactly 36.64%
Exactly 50.36%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 065.18%
Exactly 127.90%
Exactly 25.97%
Exactly 30.85%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 054.19%
Exactly 133.20%
Exactly 210.17%
Exactly 32.08%
Exactly 40.32%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals8.99%
Wins by 3+ goals2.33%
Wins by 4+ goals0.46%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals21.36%
Wins by 3+ goals7.71%
Wins by 4+ goals2.22%
Wins by 5+ goals0.51%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal17.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.66%
Wins by 3 goals1.87%
Wins by 4 goals0.40%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal24.46%
Wins by 2 goals13.65%
Wins by 3 goals5.49%
Wins by 4 goals1.71%
Wins by 5 goals0.43%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.589.44%10.56%
1.565.69%34.31%
2.539.01%60.99%
3.519.01%80.99%
4.57.78%92.22%
5.52.73%97.27%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.560.33%39.67%
1.523.65%76.35%
2.56.69%93.31%
3.51.47%98.53%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.573.38%26.62%
1.538.14%61.86%
2.514.83%85.17%
3.54.55%95.45%
4.51.14%98.86%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.68%35.32%
1.527.92%72.08%
2.58.79%91.21%
3.52.16%97.84%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Moreirense
Score012345
0
10.56%
13.98%
9.25%
4.08%
1.35%
0.36%
1
9.77%
12.92%
8.55%
3.77%
1.25%
0.33%
2
4.51%
5.97%
3.95%
1.74%
0.58%
0.15%
3
1.39%
1.84%
1.22%
0.54%
0.18%
0.05%
4
0.32%
0.43%
0.28%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Arouca
1-09.77%
2-04.51%
2-15.97%
3-01.39%
3-11.84%
3-21.22%
4-00.32%
4-10.43%
4-20.28%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-010.56%
1-112.92%
2-23.95%
3-30.54%
Moreirense
0-113.98%
0-29.25%
1-28.55%
0-34.08%
1-33.77%
2-31.74%
0-41.35%
1-41.25%
2-40.58%
3-40.18%
0-50.36%
1-50.33%
2-50.15%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Moreirense
Score01234
0
35.32%
21.64%
6.63%
1.35%
0.21%
1
15.12%
9.26%
2.84%
0.58%
0.09%
2
3.24%
1.98%
0.61%
0.12%
0.02%
3
0.46%
0.28%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-015.12%
2-03.24%
2-11.98%
3-00.46%
3-10.28%
Draw
0-035.32%
1-19.26%
2-20.61%
Moreirense
0-121.64%
0-26.63%
1-22.84%
0-31.35%
1-30.58%
2-30.12%
0-40.21%
Casa Pia AC at Benfica
Estoril at Vitória