Arouca at Benfica

Updated

Arouca

5.1%11.8%83.1%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.75
0Final Score 5

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Arouca
Money Line
T 0-0 vs Estrela+110
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+175
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+190
W 1-2 vs Boavista-145
W 3-0 at Braga+540
Benfica
Money Line
L 0-2 at Famalicao-260
W 1-3 vs Braga-185
W 3-1 at SC Farense-300
W 0-3 vs Moreirense-325
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+240

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+921+819+700+830+843+830+843+905.1
Benfica-366-354-345-417-384-417-345-294.2
Draw+539+560+500+500+542+500+560+548.5
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Arouca+900----+810+810+905.1
Benfica-410-----375-375-294.2
Draw+575----+560+560+548.5

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +866 to +843
Benfica ML moved from -379 to -388

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Arouca: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Arouca: 0.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Arouca ML moved from +815 to +765
Benfica ML moved from -355 to -375

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.5%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3½-102o3½-130o3¾-105o3¾-106o3¾-104o3¾-106o3½-130o3¾+104
Underu3½-116u3½+110u3¾-115u3¾-114u3¾-114u3¾-114u3¾-114u3¾-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3¾+104
Under-----u3¾-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes39.9%
 
No60.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.66%
Exactly 220.03%
Exactly 418.25%
Exactly 66.65%
Exactly 81.30%
Exactly 100.16%
 
Exactly 112.11%
Exactly 322.08%
Exactly 512.07%
Exactly 73.14%
Exactly 90.48%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 057.42%
Exactly 131.86%
Exactly 28.84%
Exactly 31.63%
Exactly 40.23%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 06.38%
Exactly 117.56%
Exactly 224.16%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 415.25%
Exactly 58.39%
Exactly 63.85%
Exactly 71.51%
Exactly 80.52%
Exactly 90.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 021.63%
Exactly 225.35%
Exactly 44.95%
Exactly 60.39%
 
Exactly 133.12%
Exactly 312.94%
Exactly 51.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 077.35%
Exactly 119.87%
Exactly 22.55%
Exactly 30.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 027.96%
Exactly 135.63%
Exactly 222.70%
Exactly 39.64%
Exactly 43.07%
Exactly 50.78%
Exactly 60.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals1.06%
Wins by 3+ goals0.16%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals63.03%
Wins by 3+ goals40.61%
Wins by 4+ goals22.22%
Wins by 5+ goals10.42%
Wins by 6+ goals4.23%
Wins by 7+ goals1.49%
Wins by 8+ goals0.44%

Exact Winning Margin

Arouca
Benfica
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal4.03%
Wins by 2 goals0.91%
Wins by 3 goals0.14%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal20.00%
Wins by 2 goals22.43%
Wins by 3 goals18.39%
Wins by 4 goals11.80%
Wins by 5 goals6.19%
Wins by 6 goals2.74%
Wins by 7 goals1.05%
Wins by 8 goals0.35%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.34%3.66%
1.584.22%15.78%
2.564.20%35.80%
3.542.12%57.88%
4.523.87%76.13%
5.511.80%88.20%
6.55.14%94.86%
7.52.00%98.00%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.542.58%57.42%
1.510.73%89.27%
2.51.89%98.11%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.62%6.38%
1.576.06%23.94%
2.551.91%48.09%
3.529.74%70.26%
4.514.49%85.51%
5.56.10%93.90%
6.52.25%97.75%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.578.37%21.63%
1.545.25%54.75%
2.519.90%80.10%
3.56.96%93.04%
4.52.01%97.99%

Score Props

Correct Score

Arouca
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.66%
10.08%
13.87%
12.73%
8.76%
4.82%
1
2.03%
5.59%
7.70%
7.06%
4.86%
2.67%
2
0.56%
1.55%
2.13%
1.96%
1.35%
0.74%
3
0.10%
0.29%
0.39%
0.36%
0.25%
0.14%
Arouca
1-02.03%
2-00.56%
2-11.55%
3-00.10%
3-10.29%
3-20.39%
Draw
0-03.66%
1-15.59%
2-22.13%
3-30.36%
Benfica
0-110.08%
0-213.87%
1-27.70%
0-312.73%
1-37.06%
2-31.96%
0-48.76%
1-44.86%
2-41.35%
3-40.25%
0-54.82%
1-52.67%
2-50.74%
3-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Arouca
Benfica
Score0123456
0
21.63%
27.56%
17.56%
7.46%
2.38%
0.61%
0.13%
1
5.56%
7.08%
4.51%
1.92%
0.61%
0.16%
0.03%
2
0.71%
0.91%
0.58%
0.25%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Arouca
1-05.56%
2-00.71%
2-10.91%
Draw
0-021.63%
1-17.08%
2-20.58%
Benfica
0-127.56%
0-217.56%
1-24.51%
0-37.46%
1-31.92%
2-30.25%
0-42.38%
1-40.61%
0-50.61%
1-50.16%
0-60.13%
SC Farense at Gil Vicente FC
Moreirense at Casa Pia AC