Moreirense at Casa Pia AC

Updated

Moreirense

34.1%29.6%36.3%
Moreirense WinDrawCasa Pia AC Win
1.06Projected Goals 1.09
1Final Score 0

Casa Pia AC

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
W 2-0 at Portimonense+170
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+140
L 0-3 at Benfica+800
T 2-2 vs Estrela+110
Casa Pia AC
Money Line
L 3-4 at Braga+850
W 1-3 vs Chaves+100
L 2-1 vs Porto+800
T 2-2 at Portimonense+190
T 0-0 vs Estoril+200

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+195+186+180+168+182+159+186+179.2
Casa Pia AC+165+169+165+158+168+167+169+187.9
Draw+195+214+205+215+218+215+218+239.6
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+190----+190+190+179.2
Casa Pia AC+170----+165+165+187.9
Draw+200----+205+205+239.6

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 20.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +168 to +162
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +161 to +149

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 30.0%
Casa Pia AC: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +205 to +190
Casa Pia AC ML moved from +170 to +160

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2-112o2-146o2¼-105o2¼-107o2¼-103o2¼-107o2-146o2¼+103
Underu2-108u2+124u2¼-115u2¼-113u2¼-115u2¼-113u2¼-113u2¼-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼+103
Under-----u2¼-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.69%
Exactly 226.93%
Exactly 410.34%
Exactly 61.59%
Exactly 80.13%
 
Exactly 125.10%
Exactly 319.26%
Exactly 54.44%
Exactly 70.49%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 034.93%
Exactly 136.74%
Exactly 219.32%
Exactly 36.78%
Exactly 41.78%
Exactly 50.37%
Exact Goals Scored - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 033.48%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 220.04%
Exactly 37.31%
Exactly 42.00%
Exactly 50.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 037.02%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 41.50%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.05%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 061.44%
Exactly 129.93%
Exactly 27.29%
Exactly 31.18%
Exactly 40.14%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Casa Pia AC
Exactly 060.26%
Exactly 130.52%
Exactly 27.73%
Exactly 31.31%
Exactly 40.17%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals13.19%
Wins by 3+ goals3.86%
Wins by 4+ goals0.86%
Wins by 5+ goals0.13%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 2+ goals14.48%
Wins by 3+ goals4.38%
Wins by 4+ goals1.01%
Wins by 5+ goals0.15%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal20.88%
Wins by 2 goals9.34%
Wins by 3 goals3.00%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.13%
Casa Pia AC
Wins by 1 goal21.71%
Wins by 2 goals10.10%
Wins by 3 goals3.37%
Wins by 4 goals0.86%
Wins by 5 goals0.15%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.31%11.69%
1.563.21%36.79%
2.536.28%63.72%
3.517.01%82.99%
4.56.68%93.32%
5.52.24%97.76%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.565.07%34.93%
1.528.33%71.67%
2.59.01%90.99%
3.52.23%97.77%

Total Goals Casa Pia AC Over/Under

OverUnder
0.566.52%33.48%
1.529.88%70.12%
2.59.84%90.16%
3.52.53%97.47%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.98%37.02%
1.526.19%73.81%
2.57.91%92.09%
3.51.86%98.14%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
Score012345
0
11.69%
12.80%
7.00%
2.55%
0.70%
0.15%
1
12.30%
13.46%
7.36%
2.69%
0.73%
0.16%
2
6.47%
7.08%
3.87%
1.41%
0.39%
0.08%
3
2.27%
2.48%
1.36%
0.50%
0.14%
0.03%
4
0.60%
0.65%
0.36%
0.13%
0.04%
0.01%
5
0.13%
0.14%
0.08%
0.03%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-012.30%
2-06.47%
2-17.08%
3-02.27%
3-12.48%
3-21.36%
4-00.60%
4-10.65%
4-20.36%
4-30.13%
5-00.13%
5-10.14%
Draw
0-011.69%
1-113.46%
2-23.87%
3-30.50%
Casa Pia AC
0-112.80%
0-27.00%
1-27.36%
0-32.55%
1-32.69%
2-31.41%
0-40.70%
1-40.73%
2-40.39%
3-40.14%
0-50.15%
1-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Casa Pia AC
Score01234
0
37.02%
18.76%
4.75%
0.80%
0.10%
1
18.03%
9.13%
2.31%
0.39%
0.05%
2
4.39%
2.22%
0.56%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.71%
0.36%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-018.03%
2-04.39%
2-12.22%
3-00.71%
3-10.36%
Draw
0-037.02%
1-19.13%
2-20.56%
Casa Pia AC
0-118.76%
0-24.75%
1-22.31%
0-30.80%
1-30.39%
0-40.10%