Moreirense at Benfica

Updated

Moreirense

4.6%10.7%84.7%
WinDrawBenfica Win
0.56Projected Goals 2.91
0Final Score 3

Benfica

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Estrela+110
L 0-1 at Vitoria+335
W 0-1 vs Arouca+125
L 0-1 at Boavista+145
T 0-0 vs Rio Ave+130
Benfica
Money Line
L 1-2 at Sporting CP+240
W 0-1 vs Chaves-1000
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC-350
W 1-3 vs Estoril-350
L 0-5 at Porto+195

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.7%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+962+796+700+750+786+750+796+792.0
Benfica-318-286-290-300-290-300-286-250.4
Draw+440+433+390+450+439+450+450+477.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1050----+800+800+792.0
Benfica-400-----325-325-250.4
Draw+505----+475+475+477.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +725 to +700
Benfica ML moved from -290 to -300

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Benfica: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 0.0%
Benfica: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 10.0%
Benfica: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +900 to +800
Benfica ML moved from -350 to -370

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-136o3+108o2¾-122o2¾-128o2¾-118o2¾-128o2¾-118o2¾-117
Underu2½+116u3-128u2¾+102u2¾+108u2¾+100u2¾+108u2¾+108u2¾+117
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-117
Under-----u2¾+117

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 20.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes40.7%
 
No59.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.11%
Exactly 218.73%
Exactly 418.80%
Exactly 67.54%
Exactly 81.62%
Exactly 100.22%
 
Exactly 110.80%
Exactly 321.67%
Exactly 513.05%
Exactly 73.74%
Exactly 90.63%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 056.98%
Exactly 132.05%
Exactly 29.01%
Exactly 31.69%
Exactly 40.24%
Exact Goals Scored - Benfica
Exactly 05.46%
Exactly 115.88%
Exactly 223.08%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.26%
Exactly 59.46%
Exactly 64.58%
Exactly 71.90%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.06%
Exactly 225.88%
Exactly 45.57%
Exactly 60.48%
 
Exactly 132.22%
Exactly 313.86%
Exactly 51.79%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 077.07%
Exactly 120.07%
Exactly 22.61%
Exactly 30.23%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Benfica
Exactly 026.02%
Exactly 135.03%
Exactly 223.58%
Exactly 310.58%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals0.96%
Benfica
Wins by 2+ goals65.84%
Wins by 3+ goals43.88%
Wins by 4+ goals24.99%
Wins by 5+ goals12.25%
Wins by 6+ goals5.21%
Wins by 7+ goals1.92%
Wins by 8+ goals0.59%
Wins by 9+ goals0.13%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Benfica
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal3.63%
Wins by 2 goals0.82%
Benfica
Wins by 1 goal18.76%
Wins by 2 goals21.96%
Wins by 3 goals18.89%
Wins by 4 goals12.74%
Wins by 5 goals7.04%
Wins by 6 goals3.29%
Wins by 7 goals1.33%
Wins by 8 goals0.47%
Wins by 9 goals0.13%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.89%3.11%
1.586.09%13.91%
2.567.36%32.64%
3.545.69%54.31%
4.526.89%73.11%
5.513.84%86.16%
6.56.30%93.70%
7.52.56%97.44%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.543.02%56.98%
1.510.97%89.03%
2.51.96%98.04%

Total Goals Benfica Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.54%5.46%
1.578.66%21.34%
2.555.58%44.42%
3.533.20%66.80%
4.516.94%83.06%
5.57.49%92.51%
6.52.91%97.09%
7.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.94%20.06%
1.547.72%52.28%
2.521.83%78.17%
3.57.97%92.03%
4.52.40%97.60%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Benfica
Score012345
0
3.11%
9.05%
13.15%
12.75%
9.27%
5.39%
1
1.75%
5.09%
7.40%
7.17%
5.21%
3.03%
2
0.49%
1.43%
2.08%
2.02%
1.47%
0.85%
Moreirense
1-01.75%
2-00.49%
2-11.43%
Draw
0-03.11%
1-15.09%
2-22.08%
3-30.38%
Benfica
0-19.05%
0-213.15%
1-27.40%
0-312.75%
1-37.17%
2-32.02%
0-49.27%
1-45.21%
2-41.47%
3-40.27%
0-55.39%
1-53.03%
2-50.85%
3-50.16%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Benfica
Score0123456
0
20.06%
27.00%
18.17%
8.15%
2.74%
0.74%
0.17%
1
5.22%
7.03%
4.73%
2.12%
0.71%
0.19%
0.04%
2
0.68%
0.92%
0.62%
0.28%
0.09%
0.03%
0.01%
Moreirense
1-05.22%
2-00.68%
2-10.92%
Draw
0-020.06%
1-17.03%
2-20.62%
Benfica
0-127.00%
0-218.17%
1-24.73%
0-38.15%
1-32.12%
2-30.28%
0-42.74%
1-40.71%
0-50.74%
1-50.19%
0-60.17%
Boavista at Arouca
Chaves at FC Vizela