Estoril at Vitória

Updated

Estoril

12.6%20.3%67.0%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.72Projected Goals 1.98
0Final Score 1

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 4-1 vs Santa Clara+145
L 1-2 at Moreirense+245
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+670
L 2-3 at SC Farense+195
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-0 at Arouca+125
W 3-1 at Arouca+130
L 3-2 vs Braga+205
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+145
W 0-1 vs Boavista-140

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.7%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+400+546+500+540+586+540+586+588.7
Vitória-150-181-185-200-193-200-181-162.8
Draw+265+315+295+295+321+295+321+325.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+455----+525+525+588.7
Vitória-165-----185-185-162.8
Draw+305----+315+315+325.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +500 to +475
Vitória ML moved from -187 to -193

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
Vitória ML moved from -165 to -180

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-105o2½-104o2½+100o2½-105o2½-101o2½-105o2½+100o2½+104
Underu2½-115u2½-113u2½-120u2½-115u2½-117u2½-115u2½-113u2½-104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+104
Under-----u2½-104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes44.3%
 
No55.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 06.71%
Exactly 224.48%
Exactly 414.90%
Exactly 63.63%
Exactly 80.47%
 
Exactly 118.12%
Exactly 322.05%
Exactly 58.05%
Exactly 71.40%
Exactly 90.14%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 048.64%
Exactly 135.06%
Exactly 212.63%
Exactly 33.04%
Exactly 40.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 013.79%
Exactly 127.32%
Exactly 227.06%
Exactly 317.88%
Exactly 48.85%
Exactly 53.51%
Exactly 61.16%
Exactly 70.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 028.62%
Exactly 222.40%
Exactly 42.92%
Exactly 60.15%
 
Exactly 135.81%
Exactly 39.34%
Exactly 50.73%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 071.62%
Exactly 123.90%
Exactly 23.99%
Exactly 30.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 039.96%
Exactly 136.66%
Exactly 216.81%
Exactly 35.14%
Exactly 41.18%
Exactly 50.22%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals3.36%
Wins by 3+ goals0.64%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals41.62%
Wins by 3+ goals20.96%
Wins by 4+ goals8.68%
Wins by 5+ goals2.99%
Wins by 6+ goals0.84%
Wins by 7+ goals0.16%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Vitoria
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal9.20%
Wins by 2 goals2.72%
Wins by 3 goals0.57%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.32%
Wins by 2 goals20.66%
Wins by 3 goals12.28%
Wins by 4 goals5.69%
Wins by 5 goals2.15%
Wins by 6 goals0.68%
Wins by 7 goals0.16%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.29%6.71%
1.575.17%24.83%
2.550.69%49.31%
3.528.64%71.36%
4.513.74%86.26%
5.55.69%94.31%
6.52.06%97.94%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.551.36%48.64%
1.516.31%83.69%
2.53.67%96.33%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.586.21%13.79%
1.558.89%41.11%
2.531.83%68.17%
3.513.95%86.05%
4.55.10%94.90%
5.51.59%98.41%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.571.38%28.62%
1.535.58%64.42%
2.513.18%86.82%
3.53.84%96.16%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Vitoria
Score012345
0
6.71%
13.29%
13.16%
8.69%
4.31%
1.71%
1
4.83%
9.58%
9.49%
6.27%
3.10%
1.23%
2
1.74%
3.45%
3.42%
2.26%
1.12%
0.44%
3
0.42%
0.83%
0.82%
0.54%
0.27%
0.11%
Estoril
1-04.83%
2-01.74%
2-13.45%
3-00.42%
3-10.83%
3-20.82%
Draw
0-06.71%
1-19.58%
2-23.42%
3-30.54%
Vitoria
0-113.29%
0-213.16%
1-29.49%
0-38.69%
1-36.27%
2-32.26%
0-44.31%
1-43.10%
2-41.12%
3-40.27%
0-51.71%
1-51.23%
2-50.44%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Vitoria
Score012345
0
28.62%
26.25%
12.04%
3.68%
0.84%
0.15%
1
9.55%
8.76%
4.02%
1.23%
0.28%
0.05%
2
1.59%
1.46%
0.67%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.18%
0.16%
0.07%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-09.55%
2-01.59%
2-11.46%
3-00.18%
3-10.16%
Draw
0-028.62%
1-18.76%
2-20.67%
Vitoria
0-126.25%
0-212.04%
1-24.02%
0-33.68%
1-31.23%
2-30.21%
0-40.84%
1-40.28%
0-50.15%