Estoril at SC Farense

Updated

Estoril

25.9%28.4%45.7%
Estoril WinDrawSC Farense Win
0.90Projected Goals 1.30
2Final Score 3

SC Farense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
T 2-2 at Chaves+150
L 1-0 vs Braga+350
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+165
W 0-1 vs Porto+850
SC Farense
Money Line
W 3-0 at Estrela+315
L 3-1 vs Benfica+725
T 1-1 at Vitoria+560
W 0-2 vs Boavista+110
L 1-2 at Arouca+375

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+175+190+180+165+186+165+186+191.5
SC Farense+150+169+175+163+171+163+175+189.3
Draw+235+210+190+192+209+192+210+221.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+200----+195+195+191.5
SC Farense+170----+160+160+189.3
Draw+190----+205+205+221.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
SC Farense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +190 to +184
SC Farense ML moved from +155 to +140

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
SC Farense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
SC Farense: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 10.0%
SC Farense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +210 to +195
SC Farense ML moved from +170 to +150

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-118o2½-117o2½-115o2½-115o2½-113o2½-115o2½-113o2½-104
Underu2½-102u2½-101u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-105u2½-101u2½+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½-104
Under-----u2½+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2¼-136 to o2½-115
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.05%
Exactly 226.81%
Exactly 410.84%
Exactly 61.75%
Exactly 80.15%
 
Exactly 124.34%
Exactly 319.68%
Exactly 54.78%
Exactly 70.55%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 040.55%
Exactly 136.60%
Exactly 216.52%
Exactly 34.97%
Exactly 41.12%
Exactly 50.20%
Exact Goals Scored - SC Farense
Exactly 027.25%
Exactly 135.43%
Exactly 223.03%
Exactly 39.98%
Exactly 43.24%
Exactly 50.84%
Exactly 60.18%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.06%
Exactly 218.76%
Exactly 41.63%
 
Exactly 136.78%
Exactly 36.38%
Exactly 50.33%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 065.84%
Exactly 127.52%
Exactly 25.75%
Exactly 30.80%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - SC Farense
Exactly 054.77%
Exactly 132.97%
Exactly 29.92%
Exactly 31.99%
Exactly 40.30%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals8.77%
Wins by 3+ goals2.23%
Wins by 4+ goals0.43%
SC Farense
Wins by 2+ goals21.09%
Wins by 3+ goals7.52%
Wins by 4+ goals2.14%
Wins by 5+ goals0.48%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
SC Farense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal17.09%
Wins by 2 goals6.54%
Wins by 3 goals1.80%
Wins by 4 goals0.38%
SC Farense
Wins by 1 goal24.61%
Wins by 2 goals13.57%
Wins by 3 goals5.38%
Wins by 4 goals1.65%
Wins by 5 goals0.41%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.95%11.05%
1.564.61%35.39%
2.537.81%62.19%
3.518.12%81.88%
4.57.28%92.72%
5.52.50%97.50%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.45%40.55%
1.522.85%77.15%
2.56.33%93.67%
3.51.36%98.64%

Total Goals SC Farense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.572.75%27.25%
1.537.32%62.68%
2.514.29%85.71%
3.54.31%95.69%
4.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.94%36.06%
1.527.16%72.84%
2.58.40%91.60%
3.52.02%97.98%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
SC Farense
Score012345
0
11.05%
14.36%
9.34%
4.05%
1.32%
0.34%
1
9.97%
12.97%
8.43%
3.65%
1.19%
0.31%
2
4.50%
5.85%
3.80%
1.65%
0.54%
0.14%
3
1.35%
1.76%
1.14%
0.50%
0.16%
0.04%
4
0.31%
0.40%
0.26%
0.11%
0.04%
0.01%
Estoril
1-09.97%
2-04.50%
2-15.85%
3-01.35%
3-11.76%
3-21.14%
4-00.31%
4-10.40%
4-20.26%
4-30.11%
Draw
0-011.05%
1-112.97%
2-23.80%
3-30.50%
SC Farense
0-114.36%
0-29.34%
1-28.43%
0-34.05%
1-33.65%
2-31.65%
0-41.32%
1-41.19%
2-40.54%
3-40.16%
0-50.34%
1-50.31%
2-50.14%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
SC Farense
Score01234
0
36.06%
21.71%
6.53%
1.31%
0.20%
1
15.07%
9.07%
2.73%
0.55%
0.08%
2
3.15%
1.90%
0.57%
0.11%
0.02%
3
0.44%
0.26%
0.08%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-015.07%
2-03.15%
2-11.90%
3-00.44%
3-10.26%
Draw
0-036.06%
1-19.07%
2-20.57%
SC Farense
0-121.71%
0-26.53%
1-22.73%
0-31.31%
1-30.55%
2-30.11%
0-40.20%
Porto at Chaves
Estrela at Arouca