Estoril at Chaves

Updated

Estoril

31.0%29.3%39.7%
Estoril WinDrawChaves Win
0.99Projected Goals 1.17
2Final Score 2

Chaves

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Braga+350
T 0-0 at Casa Pia AC+165
W 0-1 vs Porto+850
W 0-1 vs Portimonense-160
L 1-3 at Benfica+850
Chaves
Money Line
W 1-0 at FC Vizela+250
L 3-2 vs Portimonense+120
L 0-1 at Benfica+2000
L 2-1 vs Vitoria+310
T 0-0 at Gil Vicente FC+325

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.8%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+172+152+150+147+147+147+152+166.4
Chaves+170+201+195+177+197+177+201+198.7
Draw+232+222+205+220+233+220+233+245.1
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+155----+150+150+166.4
Chaves+180----+200+200+198.7
Draw+230----+215+215+245.1

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 10.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +160 to +150
Chaves ML moved from +177 to +171

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Chaves: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 30.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Chaves: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +155 to +145
Chaves ML moved from +210 to +200

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.3%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-103o2½+113o2¼-118o2¼-122o2¼-119o2¼-122o2¼-118o2¼-111
Underu2½-113u2½-133u2¼-102u2¼+102u2¼+101u2¼+102u2½-133u2¼+111
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-111
Under-----u2¼+111

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes43.3%
 
No56.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 011.54%
Exactly 226.90%
Exactly 410.45%
Exactly 61.62%
Exactly 80.14%
 
Exactly 124.92%
Exactly 319.36%
Exactly 54.51%
Exactly 70.50%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 037.01%
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 218.28%
Exactly 36.06%
Exactly 41.51%
Exactly 50.30%
Exact Goals Scored - Chaves
Exactly 031.19%
Exactly 136.34%
Exactly 221.17%
Exactly 38.22%
Exactly 42.40%
Exactly 50.56%
Exactly 60.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 036.80%
Exactly 218.39%
Exactly 41.53%
 
Exactly 136.79%
Exactly 36.13%
Exactly 50.31%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 063.12%
Exactly 129.05%
Exactly 26.68%
Exactly 31.03%
Exactly 40.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Chaves
Exactly 058.31%
Exactly 131.45%
Exactly 28.48%
Exactly 31.53%
Exactly 40.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals11.42%
Wins by 3+ goals3.17%
Wins by 4+ goals0.67%
Chaves
Wins by 2+ goals16.76%
Wins by 3+ goals5.43%
Wins by 4+ goals1.40%
Wins by 5+ goals0.29%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Chaves
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal19.53%
Wins by 2 goals8.25%
Wins by 3 goals2.50%
Wins by 4 goals0.58%
Chaves
Wins by 1 goal22.89%
Wins by 2 goals11.33%
Wins by 3 goals4.03%
Wins by 4 goals1.11%
Wins by 5 goals0.25%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.588.46%11.54%
1.563.54%36.46%
2.536.63%63.37%
3.517.27%82.73%
4.56.82%93.18%
5.52.30%97.70%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.562.99%37.01%
1.526.20%73.80%
2.57.92%92.08%
3.51.86%98.14%

Total Goals Chaves Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.81%31.19%
1.532.47%67.53%
2.511.30%88.70%
3.53.08%96.92%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.563.20%36.80%
1.526.41%73.59%
2.58.02%91.98%
3.51.90%98.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Chaves
Score012345
0
11.54%
13.45%
7.84%
3.04%
0.89%
0.21%
1
11.47%
13.37%
7.79%
3.02%
0.88%
0.21%
2
5.70%
6.64%
3.87%
1.50%
0.44%
0.10%
3
1.89%
2.20%
1.28%
0.50%
0.15%
0.03%
4
0.47%
0.55%
0.32%
0.12%
0.04%
0.01%
Estoril
1-011.47%
2-05.70%
2-16.64%
3-01.89%
3-12.20%
3-21.28%
4-00.47%
4-10.55%
4-20.32%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-011.54%
1-113.37%
2-23.87%
3-30.50%
Chaves
0-113.45%
0-27.84%
1-27.79%
0-33.04%
1-33.02%
2-31.50%
0-40.89%
1-40.88%
2-40.44%
3-40.15%
0-50.21%
1-50.21%
2-50.10%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Chaves
Score01234
0
36.80%
19.85%
5.35%
0.96%
0.13%
1
16.94%
9.14%
2.46%
0.44%
0.06%
2
3.90%
2.10%
0.57%
0.10%
0.01%
3
0.60%
0.32%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-016.94%
2-03.90%
2-12.10%
3-00.60%
3-10.32%
Draw
0-036.80%
1-19.14%
2-20.57%
Chaves
0-119.85%
0-25.35%
1-22.46%
0-30.96%
1-30.44%
2-30.10%
0-40.13%
FC Vizela at Braga
Portimonense at Famalicão