Vitória at Arouca

Updated

Vitoria

34.7%30.3%35.0%
Vitória WinDrawArouca Win
1.03Projected Goals 1.03
3Final Score 1

Arouca

Last 5 Games

Vitoria
Money Line
L 3-2 vs Braga+205
L 1-2 at Rio Ave+145
W 0-1 vs Boavista-140
L 0-3 at Sporting CP+960
T 1-1 vs SC Farense-200
Arouca
Money Line
L 0-5 at Benfica+810
T 0-0 vs Estrela+110
T 2-2 at Gil Vicente FC+175
T 1-1 at Rio Ave+190
W 1-2 vs Boavista-145

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.3%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+150+127+130+118+124+118+127+135.3
Arouca+185+207+190+195+213+195+213+218.4
Draw+215+265+265+255+263+255+265+283.2
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Vitória+145----+130+130+135.3
Arouca+185----+195+195+218.4
Draw+245----+260+260+283.2

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 10.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +140 to +127
Arouca ML moved from +186 to +174

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Arouca: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Vitória: 0.0%
Arouca: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Vitória: 0.0%
Arouca: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Vitória ML moved from +140 to +130
Arouca ML moved from +185 to +175

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-115o3+117o2¾-112o2¾-112o2¾-109o2¾-112o2¾-109o2¾-102
Underu2½-105u3-137u2¾-108u2¾-108u2¾-109u2¾-108u3-137u2¾+102
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¾-102
Under-----u2¾+102

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o2½-115 to o2¾-105
The Under moved from u3-120 to u2¾-107

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes41.3%
 
No58.7%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 012.76%
Exactly 227.04%
Exactly 49.55%
Exactly 61.35%
Exactly 80.10%
 
Exactly 126.27%
Exactly 318.56%
Exactly 53.93%
Exactly 70.40%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 035.81%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.88%
Exactly 36.46%
Exactly 41.66%
Exactly 50.34%
Exact Goals Scored - Arouca
Exactly 035.64%
Exactly 136.77%
Exactly 218.97%
Exactly 36.52%
Exactly 41.68%
Exactly 50.35%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 038.55%
Exactly 217.51%
Exactly 41.33%
 
Exactly 136.75%
Exactly 35.56%
Exactly 50.25%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 062.16%
Exactly 129.56%
Exactly 27.03%
Exactly 31.11%
Exactly 40.13%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Arouca
Exactly 062.02%
Exactly 129.63%
Exactly 27.08%
Exactly 31.13%
Exactly 40.13%

Alternate Props

Spread

Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals13.26%
Wins by 3+ goals3.82%
Wins by 4+ goals0.84%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%
Arouca
Wins by 2+ goals13.41%
Wins by 3+ goals3.87%
Wins by 4+ goals0.85%
Wins by 5+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Vitoria
Arouca
5
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal21.39%
Wins by 2 goals9.44%
Wins by 3 goals2.98%
Wins by 4 goals0.72%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%
Arouca
Wins by 1 goal21.49%
Wins by 2 goals9.53%
Wins by 3 goals3.02%
Wins by 4 goals0.73%
Wins by 5 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.587.24%12.76%
1.560.96%39.04%
2.533.92%66.08%
3.515.36%84.64%
4.55.81%94.19%
5.51.88%98.12%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.19%35.81%
1.527.42%72.58%
2.58.53%91.47%
3.52.07%97.93%

Total Goals Arouca Over/Under

OverUnder
0.564.36%35.64%
1.527.59%72.41%
2.58.62%91.38%
3.52.10%97.90%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.561.45%38.55%
1.524.70%75.30%
2.57.19%92.81%
3.51.63%98.37%

Score Props

Correct Score

Vitória
Arouca
Score012345
0
12.76%
13.17%
6.79%
2.34%
0.60%
0.12%
1
13.11%
13.52%
6.98%
2.40%
0.62%
0.13%
2
6.73%
6.94%
3.58%
1.23%
0.32%
0.07%
3
2.30%
2.38%
1.23%
0.42%
0.11%
0.02%
4
0.59%
0.61%
0.31%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
5
0.12%
0.13%
0.06%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Vitoria
1-013.11%
2-06.73%
2-16.94%
3-02.30%
3-12.38%
3-21.23%
4-00.59%
4-10.61%
4-20.31%
4-30.11%
5-00.12%
5-10.13%
Draw
0-012.76%
1-113.52%
2-23.58%
3-30.42%
Arouca
0-113.17%
0-26.79%
1-26.98%
0-32.34%
1-32.40%
2-31.23%
0-40.60%
1-40.62%
2-40.32%
3-40.11%
0-50.12%
1-50.13%

Correct Score - First Half

Vitória
Arouca
Score0123
0
38.55%
18.42%
4.40%
0.70%
1
18.33%
8.76%
2.09%
0.33%
2
4.36%
2.08%
0.50%
0.08%
3
0.69%
0.33%
0.08%
0.01%
Vitoria
1-018.33%
2-04.36%
2-12.08%
3-00.69%
3-10.33%
Draw
0-038.55%
1-18.76%
2-20.50%
Arouca
0-118.42%
0-24.40%
1-22.09%
0-30.70%
1-30.33%