Estoril at Moreirense

Updated

Estoril

19.3%24.7%56.0%
WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+670
L 2-3 at SC Farense+195
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
T 2-2 at Chaves+150
L 1-0 vs Braga+350
Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
W 2-0 at Portimonense+170
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+140
L 0-3 at Benfica+800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+205+236+230+205+233+205+236+229.1
Moreirense+135+125+120+121+123+121+125+138.4
Draw+220+235+220+235+241+235+241+261.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+205----+245+245+229.1
Moreirense+135----+120+120+138.4
Draw+0----+225+225+261.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +249 to +238
Moreirense ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-109o2½-105o2½-107o2½-104o2½-107o2½-104o2½+103
Underu2½-112u2½-107u2½-115u2½-113u2½-114u2½-113u2½-107u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.48%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 413.10%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.93%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 56.46%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 043.19%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.22%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 019.64%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.12%
Exactly 45.74%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.91%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 067.79%
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 25.12%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 047.06%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.37%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals30.36%
Wins by 3+ goals13.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.32%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal13.23%
Wins by 2 goals4.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.65%
Wins by 2 goals17.31%
Wins by 3 goals8.49%
Wins by 4 goals3.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.52%8.48%
1.570.59%29.41%
2.544.78%55.22%
3.523.55%76.45%
4.510.45%89.55%
5.53.99%96.01%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.81%43.19%
1.520.55%79.45%
2.55.33%94.67%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.36%19.64%
1.548.40%51.60%
2.522.38%77.62%
3.58.27%91.73%
4.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.09%31.91%
1.531.65%68.35%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Moreirense
Score012345
0
8.48%
13.81%
11.24%
6.10%
2.48%
0.81%
1
7.12%
11.59%
9.43%
5.12%
2.08%
0.68%
2
2.99%
4.87%
3.96%
2.15%
0.87%
0.28%
3
0.84%
1.36%
1.11%
0.60%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.18%
0.29%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Estoril
1-07.12%
2-02.99%
2-14.87%
3-00.84%
3-11.36%
3-21.11%
4-00.18%
4-10.29%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.48%
1-111.59%
2-23.96%
3-30.60%
Moreirense
0-113.81%
0-211.24%
1-29.43%
0-36.10%
1-35.12%
2-32.15%
0-42.48%
1-42.08%
2-40.87%
3-40.24%
0-50.81%
1-50.68%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Moreirense
Score01234
0
31.91%
24.05%
9.06%
2.28%
0.43%
1
12.40%
9.35%
3.52%
0.88%
0.17%
2
2.41%
1.82%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.31%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-012.40%
2-02.41%
2-11.82%
3-00.31%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-031.91%
1-19.35%
2-20.68%
Moreirense
0-124.05%
0-29.06%
1-23.52%
0-32.28%
1-30.88%
2-30.17%
0-40.43%
1-40.17%
Vitória at Arouca
Chaves at Sporting CP