Estoril at Moreirense

Updated

Estoril

19.3%24.7%56.0%
WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.84Projected Goals 1.63
1Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
L 1-0 vs Sporting CP+670
L 2-3 at SC Farense+195
W 0-1 vs Famalicao+140
T 2-2 at Chaves+150
L 1-0 vs Braga+350
Moreirense
Money Line
W 1-0 at Casa Pia AC+190
W 0-1 vs FC Vizela+125
W 2-0 at Portimonense+170
L 1-0 vs Gil Vicente FC+140
L 0-3 at Benfica+800

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.4%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
5.0%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+205+236+230+205+233+205+236+229.1
Moreirense+135+125+120+121+123+121+125+138.4
Draw+220+235+220+235+241+235+241+261.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+205----+245+245+229.1
Moreirense+135----+120+120+138.4
Draw+0----+225+225+261.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +249 to +238
Moreirense ML moved from +130 to +123

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Estoril ML
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
2.6%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2½-108o2½-109o2½-105o2½-107o2½-104o2½-107o2½-104o2½+103
Underu2½-112u2½-107u2½-115u2½-113u2½-114u2½-113u2½-107u2½-103
 Open LineSouth PointCircaWynnStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+103
Under-----u2½-103

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.7%
 
No54.3%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.48%
Exactly 225.82%
Exactly 413.10%
Exactly 62.66%
Exactly 80.29%
 
Exactly 120.93%
Exactly 321.23%
Exactly 56.46%
Exactly 70.94%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 043.19%
Exactly 136.26%
Exactly 215.22%
Exactly 34.26%
Exactly 40.89%
Exactly 50.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 019.64%
Exactly 131.96%
Exactly 226.02%
Exactly 314.12%
Exactly 45.74%
Exactly 51.87%
Exactly 60.51%
Exactly 70.12%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.91%
Exactly 220.82%
Exactly 42.26%
 
Exactly 136.45%
Exactly 37.93%
Exactly 50.52%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 067.79%
Exactly 126.35%
Exactly 25.12%
Exactly 30.66%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 047.06%
Exactly 135.47%
Exactly 213.37%
Exactly 33.36%
Exactly 40.63%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals6.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.41%
Wins by 4+ goals0.25%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals30.36%
Wins by 3+ goals13.05%
Wins by 4+ goals4.56%
Wins by 5+ goals1.32%
Wins by 6+ goals0.31%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal13.23%
Wins by 2 goals4.60%
Wins by 3 goals1.16%
Wins by 4 goals0.22%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.65%
Wins by 2 goals17.31%
Wins by 3 goals8.49%
Wins by 4 goals3.24%
Wins by 5 goals1.01%
Wins by 6 goals0.26%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.52%8.48%
1.570.59%29.41%
2.544.78%55.22%
3.523.55%76.45%
4.510.45%89.55%
5.53.99%96.01%
6.51.33%98.67%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.556.81%43.19%
1.520.55%79.45%
2.55.33%94.67%
3.51.07%98.93%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.36%19.64%
1.548.40%51.60%
2.522.38%77.62%
3.58.27%91.73%
4.52.52%97.48%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.09%31.91%
1.531.65%68.35%
2.510.83%89.17%
3.52.90%97.10%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Moreirense
Score012345
0
8.48%
13.81%
11.24%
6.10%
2.48%
0.81%
1
7.12%
11.59%
9.43%
5.12%
2.08%
0.68%
2
2.99%
4.87%
3.96%
2.15%
0.87%
0.28%
3
0.84%
1.36%
1.11%
0.60%
0.24%
0.08%
4
0.18%
0.29%
0.23%
0.13%
0.05%
0.02%
Estoril
1-07.12%
2-02.99%
2-14.87%
3-00.84%
3-11.36%
3-21.11%
4-00.18%
4-10.29%
4-20.23%
4-30.13%
Draw
0-08.48%
1-111.59%
2-23.96%
3-30.60%
Moreirense
0-113.81%
0-211.24%
1-29.43%
0-36.10%
1-35.12%
2-32.15%
0-42.48%
1-42.08%
2-40.87%
3-40.24%
0-50.81%
1-50.68%
2-50.28%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Moreirense
Score01234
0
31.91%
24.05%
9.06%
2.28%
0.43%
1
12.40%
9.35%
3.52%
0.88%
0.17%
2
2.41%
1.82%
0.68%
0.17%
0.03%
3
0.31%
0.24%
0.09%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-012.40%
2-02.41%
2-11.82%
3-00.31%
3-10.24%
Draw
0-031.91%
1-19.35%
2-20.68%
Moreirense
0-124.05%
0-29.06%
1-23.52%
0-32.28%
1-30.88%
2-30.17%
0-40.43%
1-40.17%