Moreirense at Porto

Updated

Moreirense

11.1%9.6%79.2%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.41Projected Goals 2.86
0Final Score 5

Porto

Last 5 Games

Moreirense
Money Line
T 2-2 vs Famalicao+170
T 1-1 at Belenenses+120
L 3-2 vs Braga+450
T 2-2 at Santa Clara+325
L 2-1 vs Benfica+750
Porto
Money Line
T 1-1 at Sporting CP+185
W 0-3 vs Arouca-625
T 1-1 at Maritimo-240
W 2-1 at Famalicao-260
W 0-2 vs Belenenses-625

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:2.2%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:5.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1200+1100+1100+1663+1237+1100+1663+1707.3
Porto-475-500-600-551-504-600-500-445.8
Draw+500+550+625+655+564+625+655+681.9
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Moreirense+1300----+1700+1700+1707.3
Porto-480-----650-650-445.8
Draw+550----+685+685+681.9

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Moreirense ML moved from +1835 to +1663
Porto ML moved from -500 to -600

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Moreirense: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Moreirense: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Moreirense: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML
Porto ML moved from -600 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.1%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnlineYouWagerGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¾-115o3¼+102o3¼-102o3-120-o3¼-102o3-120o3-112
Underu2¾-105u3¼-122u3¼-118u3+105-u3¼-118u3¼-118u3+112
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3-112
Under-----u3+112

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 10.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes31.2%
 
No68.8%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.82%
Exactly 220.36%
Exactly 418.09%
Exactly 66.43%
Exactly 81.22%
Exactly 100.14%
 
Exactly 112.47%
Exactly 322.16%
Exactly 511.81%
Exactly 73.00%
Exactly 90.44%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 066.89%
Exactly 126.90%
Exactly 25.41%
Exactly 30.72%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.71%
Exactly 116.35%
Exactly 223.40%
Exactly 322.33%
Exactly 415.99%
Exactly 59.15%
Exactly 64.37%
Exactly 71.79%
Exactly 80.64%
Exactly 90.20%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 022.05%
Exactly 225.20%
Exactly 44.80%
Exactly 60.37%
 
Exactly 133.34%
Exactly 312.70%
Exactly 51.45%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 083.01%
Exactly 115.45%
Exactly 21.44%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.56%
Exactly 135.21%
Exactly 223.34%
Exactly 310.31%
Exactly 43.42%
Exactly 50.91%
Exactly 60.20%

Alternate Props

Spread

Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals0.47%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals68.59%
Wins by 3+ goals46.00%
Wins by 4+ goals26.24%
Wins by 5+ goals12.83%
Wins by 6+ goals5.43%
Wins by 7+ goals2.00%
Wins by 8+ goals0.62%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Moreirense
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal2.59%
Wins by 2 goals0.43%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.55%
Wins by 2 goals22.59%
Wins by 3 goals19.76%
Wins by 4 goals13.40%
Wins by 5 goals7.40%
Wins by 6 goals3.44%
Wins by 7 goals1.38%
Wins by 8 goals0.48%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.18%3.82%
1.583.71%16.29%
2.563.35%36.65%
3.541.20%58.80%
4.523.11%76.89%
5.511.30%88.70%
6.54.87%95.13%
7.51.87%98.13%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.533.11%66.89%
1.56.21%93.79%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.29%5.71%
1.577.95%22.05%
2.554.55%45.45%
3.532.21%67.79%
4.516.23%83.77%
5.57.08%92.92%
6.52.71%97.29%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.577.95%22.05%
1.544.61%55.39%
2.519.41%80.59%
3.56.71%93.29%
4.51.91%98.09%

Score Props

Correct Score

Moreirense
Porto
Score012345
0
3.82%
10.93%
15.65%
14.94%
10.69%
6.12%
1
1.54%
4.40%
6.29%
6.01%
4.30%
2.46%
2
0.31%
0.88%
1.27%
1.21%
0.86%
0.49%
Moreirense
1-01.54%
2-00.31%
2-10.88%
Draw
0-03.82%
1-14.40%
2-21.27%
3-30.16%
Porto
0-110.93%
0-215.65%
1-26.29%
0-314.94%
1-36.01%
2-31.21%
0-410.69%
1-44.30%
2-40.86%
3-40.12%
0-56.12%
1-52.46%
2-50.49%

Correct Score - First Half

Moreirense
Porto
Score0123456
0
22.05%
29.23%
19.38%
8.56%
2.84%
0.75%
0.17%
1
4.11%
5.44%
3.61%
1.59%
0.53%
0.14%
0.03%
2
0.38%
0.51%
0.34%
0.15%
0.05%
0.01%
0.00%
Moreirense
1-04.11%
2-00.38%
2-10.51%
Draw
0-022.05%
1-15.44%
2-20.34%
Porto
0-129.23%
0-219.38%
1-23.61%
0-38.56%
1-31.59%
2-30.15%
0-42.84%
1-40.53%
0-50.75%
1-50.14%
0-60.17%
Paços at FC Vizela
Sporting CP at Estoril