Tondela at Moreirense

Updated

Tondela

21.2%24.9%53.9%
Tondela WinDrawMoreirense Win
0.91Projected Goals 1.61
0Final Score 2

Moreirense

Last 5 Games

Tondela
Money Line
L 3-1 vs Sporting CP+1000
W 3-1 at Maritimo+280
T 2-2 vs Arouca+165
L 0-4 at Porto+2000
T 1-1 vs Belenenses-120
Moreirense
Money Line
W 2-1 at Gil Vicente FC+380
L 1-0 vs Vitoria+240
L 1-2 at Pacos+235
L 2-0 vs Sporting CP+700
L 1-0 vs Maritimo+135

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:1.9%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+245+245+225+252+237+225+252+256.9
Moreirense+120+120+117+127+114+117+127+132.4
Draw+215+210+220+232+239+220+239+245.4
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Tondela+265----+240+240+256.9
Moreirense+110----+120+120+132.4
Draw+230----+230+230+245.4

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +261 to +252
Moreirense ML moved from +123 to +116

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Tondela: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Moreirense: 30.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 40.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Tondela: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Tondela: 0.0%
Moreirense: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Tondela ML moved from +265 to +240
No Steam Moves On Moreirense ML

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:0.0%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2¼-118o2¼-113o2½+117-o2¼-113o2¼-113o2¼-104
Underu2¼-102u2¼-102u2¼-107u2½-132-u2¼-107u2½-132u2¼+104
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2¼-104
Under-----u2¼+104

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 10.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes47.8%
 
No52.2%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 08.02%
Exactly 225.53%
Exactly 413.55%
Exactly 62.88%
Exactly 80.33%
 
Exactly 120.23%
Exactly 321.47%
Exactly 56.84%
Exactly 71.04%
Exact Goals Scored - Tondela
Exactly 040.29%
Exactly 136.63%
Exactly 216.65%
Exactly 35.04%
Exactly 41.15%
Exactly 50.21%
Exact Goals Scored - Moreirense
Exactly 019.90%
Exactly 132.13%
Exactly 225.93%
Exactly 313.96%
Exactly 45.63%
Exactly 51.82%
Exactly 60.49%
Exactly 70.11%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 031.09%
Exactly 221.22%
Exactly 42.41%
Exactly 60.11%
 
Exactly 136.32%
Exactly 38.26%
Exactly 50.56%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Tondela
Exactly 065.65%
Exactly 127.63%
Exactly 25.81%
Exactly 30.82%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Moreirense
Exactly 047.36%
Exactly 135.40%
Exactly 213.23%
Exactly 33.30%
Exactly 40.62%

Alternate Props

Spread

Tondela
Wins by 2+ goals7.02%
Wins by 3+ goals1.76%
Wins by 4+ goals0.34%
Moreirense
Wins by 2+ goals28.85%
Wins by 3+ goals12.25%
Wins by 4+ goals4.24%
Wins by 5+ goals1.21%
Wins by 6+ goals0.28%

Exact Winning Margin

Tondela
Moreirense
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
Tondela
Wins by 1 goal14.12%
Wins by 2 goals5.26%
Wins by 3 goals1.43%
Wins by 4 goals0.30%
Moreirense
Wins by 1 goal25.07%
Wins by 2 goals16.59%
Wins by 3 goals8.01%
Wins by 4 goals3.02%
Wins by 5 goals0.93%
Wins by 6 goals0.24%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.591.98%8.02%
1.571.75%28.25%
2.546.22%53.78%
3.524.74%75.26%
4.511.20%88.80%
5.54.36%95.64%
6.51.49%98.51%

Total Goals Tondela Over/Under

OverUnder
0.559.71%40.29%
1.523.08%76.92%
2.56.44%93.56%
3.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Moreirense Over/Under

OverUnder
0.580.10%19.90%
1.547.97%52.03%
2.522.04%77.96%
3.58.08%91.92%
4.52.45%97.55%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.568.91%31.09%
1.532.59%67.41%
2.511.37%88.63%
3.53.11%96.89%

Score Props

Correct Score

Tondela
Moreirense
Score012345
0
8.02%
12.94%
10.45%
5.62%
2.27%
0.73%
1
7.29%
11.77%
9.50%
5.11%
2.06%
0.67%
2
3.31%
5.35%
4.32%
2.32%
0.94%
0.30%
3
1.00%
1.62%
1.31%
0.70%
0.28%
0.09%
4
0.23%
0.37%
0.30%
0.16%
0.06%
0.02%
Tondela
1-07.29%
2-03.31%
2-15.35%
3-01.00%
3-11.62%
3-21.31%
4-00.23%
4-10.37%
4-20.30%
4-30.16%
Draw
0-08.02%
1-111.77%
2-24.32%
3-30.70%
Moreirense
0-112.94%
0-210.45%
1-29.50%
0-35.62%
1-35.11%
2-32.32%
0-42.27%
1-42.06%
2-40.94%
3-40.28%
0-50.73%
1-50.67%
2-50.30%

Correct Score - First Half

Tondela
Moreirense
Score01234
0
31.09%
23.24%
8.68%
2.16%
0.40%
1
13.09%
9.78%
3.66%
0.91%
0.17%
2
2.75%
2.06%
0.77%
0.19%
0.04%
3
0.39%
0.29%
0.11%
0.03%
0.01%
Tondela
1-013.09%
2-02.75%
2-12.06%
3-00.39%
3-10.29%
3-20.11%
Draw
0-031.09%
1-19.78%
2-20.77%
Moreirense
0-123.24%
0-28.68%
1-23.66%
0-32.16%
1-30.91%
2-30.19%
0-40.40%
1-40.17%
Paços at Vitória
Boavista at Marítimo