Estoril at Vitória

Updated

Estoril

14.6%21.6%63.8%
WinDrawVitória Win
0.77Projected Goals 1.89
0Final Score 1

Vitoria

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-2 vs Famalicao+160
L 0-2 at Porto+1600
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+125
L 1-3 at Famalicao+400
T 2-2 vs Belenenses-105
Vitoria
Money Line
W 1-0 at Chaves+180
W 0-5 vs Gil Vicente FC+150
T 1-1 at Boavista+120
T 1-1 vs Santa Clara-135
T 1-1 at Tondela-110

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:3.6%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:4.9%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+300+279+265+245+282+245+282+308.9
Vitória-105+111+110+102+103+102+111+116.8
Draw+230+231+215+225+226+225+231+240.0
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+300----+310+310+308.9
Vitória+105----+100+100+116.8
Draw+220----+225+225+240.0

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 40.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 10.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +250 to +240
Vitória ML moved from +109 to +100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Vitória: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Vitória: 50.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Estoril: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 30.0%
Vitória: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +330 to +310
Vitória ML moved from +100 to -105

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:-0.2%
 Open LineHeritageBovadaBetOnlineGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo2¼-118o2½+108o2¼-118o2¼-116-o2¼-116o2¼-116o2½+122
Underu2¼-102u2½-128u2¼-102u2¼-104-u2¼-104u2½-128u2½-122
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o2½+122
Under-----u2½-122

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 20.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Over: 0.0%

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 10.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

No Steam Moves On Over
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes45.6%
 
No54.4%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 07.00%
Exactly 224.75%
Exactly 414.59%
Exactly 63.44%
Exactly 80.43%
 
Exactly 118.61%
Exactly 321.94%
Exactly 57.76%
Exactly 71.31%
Exactly 90.13%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 046.24%
Exactly 135.67%
Exactly 213.75%
Exactly 33.54%
Exactly 40.68%
Exactly 50.11%
Exact Goals Scored - Vitoria
Exactly 015.14%
Exactly 128.58%
Exactly 226.98%
Exactly 316.98%
Exactly 48.01%
Exactly 53.03%
Exactly 60.95%
Exactly 70.26%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 029.19%
Exactly 222.13%
Exactly 42.80%
Exactly 60.14%
 
Exactly 135.94%
Exactly 39.08%
Exactly 50.69%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 069.97%
Exactly 124.99%
Exactly 24.46%
Exactly 30.53%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Vitoria
Exactly 041.72%
Exactly 136.47%
Exactly 215.94%
Exactly 34.65%
Exactly 41.02%
Exactly 50.18%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals4.20%
Wins by 3+ goals0.91%
Wins by 4+ goals0.15%
Vitoria
Wins by 2+ goals38.26%
Wins by 3+ goals18.51%
Wins by 4+ goals7.35%
Wins by 5+ goals2.43%
Wins by 6+ goals0.65%
Wins by 7+ goals0.12%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Vitoria
4
3
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal10.41%
Wins by 2 goals3.29%
Wins by 3 goals0.76%
Wins by 4 goals0.13%
Vitoria
Wins by 1 goal25.48%
Wins by 2 goals19.75%
Wins by 3 goals11.16%
Wins by 4 goals4.93%
Wins by 5 goals1.77%
Wins by 6 goals0.53%
Wins by 7 goals0.12%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.593.00%7.00%
1.574.39%25.61%
2.549.64%50.36%
3.527.70%72.30%
4.513.11%86.89%
5.55.35%94.65%
6.51.91%98.09%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.553.76%46.24%
1.518.09%81.91%
2.54.34%95.66%

Total Goals Vitoria Over/Under

OverUnder
0.584.86%15.14%
1.556.28%43.72%
2.529.31%70.69%
3.512.33%87.67%
4.54.31%95.69%
5.51.29%98.71%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.570.81%29.19%
1.534.86%65.14%
2.512.74%87.26%
3.53.65%96.35%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Vitoria
Score012345
0
7.00%
13.22%
12.48%
7.85%
3.71%
1.40%
1
5.40%
10.19%
9.62%
6.06%
2.86%
1.08%
2
2.08%
3.93%
3.71%
2.34%
1.10%
0.42%
3
0.54%
1.01%
0.95%
0.60%
0.28%
0.11%
4
0.10%
0.19%
0.18%
0.12%
0.05%
0.02%
Estoril
1-05.40%
2-02.08%
2-13.93%
3-00.54%
3-11.01%
3-20.95%
4-00.10%
4-10.19%
4-20.18%
4-30.12%
Draw
0-07.00%
1-110.19%
2-23.71%
3-30.60%
Vitoria
0-113.22%
0-212.48%
1-29.62%
0-37.85%
1-36.06%
2-32.34%
0-43.71%
1-42.86%
2-41.10%
3-40.28%
0-51.40%
1-51.08%
2-50.42%
3-50.11%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Vitoria
Score012345
0
29.19%
25.52%
11.15%
3.25%
0.71%
0.12%
1
10.42%
9.11%
3.98%
1.16%
0.25%
0.04%
2
1.86%
1.63%
0.71%
0.21%
0.05%
0.01%
3
0.22%
0.19%
0.08%
0.02%
0.01%
0.00%
Estoril
1-010.42%
2-01.86%
2-11.63%
3-00.22%
3-10.19%
Draw
0-029.19%
1-19.11%
2-20.71%
Vitoria
0-125.52%
0-211.15%
1-23.98%
0-33.25%
1-31.16%
2-30.21%
0-40.71%
1-40.25%
0-50.12%
Porto at FC Vizela
Chaves at Marítimo