Estoril at Porto

Updated

Estoril

3.9%10.1%85.9%
WinDrawPorto Win
0.49Projected Goals 2.91
0Final Score 2

Porto

Last 5 Games

Estoril
Money Line
W 0-1 vs Moreirense+125
L 1-3 at Famalicao+400
T 2-2 vs Belenenses-105
T 0-0 vs Braga+245
L 0-2 at Santa Clara+250
Porto
Money Line
W 1-0 at Benfica+135
W 2-4 vs FC Vizela-600
L 0-1 at Braga-130
W 0-7 vs Portimonense-800
W 1-0 at Vitoria-260

Money Line Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
3.5%

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
4.8%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1200+1800+1450+2009+1857+1450+2009+1685.0
Porto-480-850-833-732-903-833-732-512.2
Draw+500+750+730+819+821+730+821+831.8
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Estoril+1700----+1600+1600+1685.0
Porto-625-----625-625-512.2
Draw+650----+675+675+831.8

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 10.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 20.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1655 to +1624
Porto ML moved from -634 to -903

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Estoril: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Porto: 20.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 20.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Estoril: 0.0%
Porto: 0.0%

Latest ML

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

Estoril ML moved from +1700 to +1600
Porto ML moved from -625 to -650

Over/Under Analysis

Implied Margin

Using the best lines from multiple sportsbooks, this would be the % take from the consensus sportsbook if bets were even on each side.

More on Implied Margin
:
-1.5%
 Open LineBovadaBetOnline5DimesGTBetsSportsBettingBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Overo3-110o3½-102o3½-113o3-170-o3½-113o3-141o3½+100
Underu3-110u3½-118u3½-107u3+150-u3½-107u3½-115u3½+100
 Open LineSouth PointCircaCaesarsStationsWestgateBest Line

No-Vig Odds

Using a market maker sportsbook, this is what the line would be if there was no vigorish (sportsbook fee) in the price.

More on No-Vig Odds
Over-----o3½+100
Under-----u3½+100

Overall

Bet Value Inactive
Over: 0.0%
Bet Value Inactive
Under: 0.0%

Base Rating

Our analytical projection of the match in relation to the implied probability to win from the sportsbooks.

More on Base Rating

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Bet Trends

Doing an analysis on the betting data, we project which team has which team has an edge.

More on Bet Trends

Sharp Line

Our proprietary formula predicting which direction the line will move.

More on Sharp Line

Over: 0.0%
Under: 0.0%

Latest O/U

Steam Move

A quick and uniform line move across every sportsbook. Usually caused by an injury or deep-pocketed sharp bettor.

More on Steam Move

The Over moved from o3-110 to o3¼+102
No Steam Moves On Under

Goal Props

Both Teams to Score
Yes36.9%
 
No63.1%

Total Goals

0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
Exact Goals Scored - Overall
Exactly 03.34%
Exactly 219.29%
Exactly 418.58%
Exactly 67.16%
Exactly 81.48%
Exactly 100.19%
 
Exactly 111.34%
Exactly 321.86%
Exactly 512.64%
Exactly 73.48%
Exactly 90.56%
Exact Goals Scored - Estoril
Exactly 061.01%
Exactly 130.15%
Exactly 27.45%
Exactly 31.23%
Exactly 40.15%
Exact Goals Scored - Porto
Exactly 05.47%
Exactly 115.89%
Exactly 223.09%
Exactly 322.37%
Exactly 416.25%
Exactly 59.45%
Exactly 64.58%
Exactly 71.90%
Exactly 80.69%
Exactly 90.22%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half
Exactly 020.71%
Exactly 225.67%
Exactly 45.30%
Exactly 60.44%
 
Exactly 132.61%
Exactly 313.47%
Exactly 51.67%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Estoril
Exactly 079.55%
Exactly 118.20%
Exactly 22.08%
Exactly 30.16%
Exact Goals Scored - First Half - Porto
Exactly 026.04%
Exactly 135.04%
Exactly 223.57%
Exactly 310.57%
Exactly 43.56%
Exactly 50.96%
Exactly 60.21%

Alternate Props

Spread

Estoril
Wins by 2+ goals0.74%
Porto
Wins by 2+ goals67.33%
Wins by 3+ goals45.16%
Wins by 4+ goals25.85%
Wins by 5+ goals12.72%
Wins by 6+ goals5.43%
Wins by 7+ goals2.01%
Wins by 8+ goals0.62%
Wins by 9+ goals0.14%

Exact Winning Margin

Estoril
Porto
2
1
D
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Estoril
Wins by 1 goal3.15%
Wins by 2 goals0.64%
Porto
Wins by 1 goal18.54%
Wins by 2 goals22.17%
Wins by 3 goals19.31%
Wins by 4 goals13.13%
Wins by 5 goals7.29%
Wins by 6 goals3.42%
Wins by 7 goals1.38%
Wins by 8 goals0.49%
Wins by 9 goals0.14%

Total Goals Over/Under

OverUnder
0.596.66%3.34%
1.585.32%14.68%
2.566.03%33.97%
3.544.17%55.83%
4.525.59%74.41%
5.512.95%87.05%
6.55.79%94.21%
7.52.31%97.69%

Total Goals Estoril Over/Under

OverUnder
0.538.99%61.01%
1.58.84%91.16%
2.51.39%98.61%

Total Goals Porto Over/Under

OverUnder
0.594.53%5.47%
1.578.64%21.36%
2.555.55%44.45%
3.533.18%66.82%
4.516.92%83.08%
5.57.48%92.52%
6.52.90%97.10%
7.51.00%99.00%

Total Goals - First Half Over/Under

OverUnder
0.579.29%20.71%
1.546.67%53.33%
2.521.00%79.00%
3.57.53%92.47%
4.52.23%97.77%

Score Props

Correct Score

Estoril
Porto
Score012345
0
3.34%
9.70%
14.09%
13.65%
9.92%
5.76%
1
1.65%
4.79%
6.96%
6.74%
4.90%
2.85%
2
0.41%
1.18%
1.72%
1.67%
1.21%
0.70%
Estoril
1-01.65%
2-00.41%
2-11.18%
Draw
0-03.34%
1-14.79%
2-21.72%
3-30.27%
Porto
0-19.70%
0-214.09%
1-26.96%
0-313.65%
1-36.74%
2-31.67%
0-49.92%
1-44.90%
2-41.21%
3-40.20%
0-55.76%
1-52.85%
2-50.70%
3-50.12%

Correct Score - First Half

Estoril
Porto
Score0123456
0
20.71%
27.87%
18.75%
8.41%
2.83%
0.76%
0.17%
1
4.74%
6.38%
4.29%
1.92%
0.65%
0.17%
0.04%
2
0.54%
0.73%
0.49%
0.22%
0.07%
0.02%
0.00%
Estoril
1-04.74%
2-00.54%
2-10.73%
Draw
0-020.71%
1-16.38%
2-20.49%
Porto
0-127.87%
0-218.75%
1-24.29%
0-38.41%
1-31.92%
2-30.22%
0-42.83%
1-40.65%
0-50.76%
1-50.17%
0-60.17%